Independente Simão Dias vs 
Barra SE• Sergipano - 2, Brazil
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 13:18 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 3.16 | 3.80 | 1.89 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 1.20 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.89 | 1.7% |
| Average | 4.79 | 4.93 | 1.57 | 4.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 10:40 UTC
Independente Simão Dias
1W 3D 6L · goals 7:27 · per match 0.7 for, 2.7 against
| 1 Nov | A | Socorro Sport | 0-5 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Estanciano | 1-1 | D |
| 1 Nov | H | Caninde | 4-2 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | América de Pedrinhas | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Atlético Gloriense | 0-7 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Frei Paulistano | 0-3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Atletico Central | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Oct | H | Desportiva Aracaju | 0-2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Flamengo SE | 0-3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Boca Júnior | 0-2 | L |
Barra SE
2W 1D 7L · goals 7:31 · per match 0.7 for, 3.1 against
| 1 Nov | A | Frei Paulistano | 0-5 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Socorro Sport | 0-0 | D |
| 1 Mar | A | AO Itabaiana | 2-4 | L |
| 22 Feb | H | Dorense | 0-2 | L |
| 15 Feb | A | Confiança | 1-8 | L |
| 9 Feb | H | América SE | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Feb | H | Carmópolis | 3-2 | W |
| 26 Jan | A | Guarany SE | 0-1 | L |
| 23 Jan | H | Lagarto | 0-5 | L |
| 20 Jan | A | Falcon | 0-4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Independente Simão Dias and Barra SE on record.
Sergipano - 2 tableSergipano 2updated 4 Nov 10:20 UTC
In the Sergipano - 2 table, Independente Simão Dias sit 5th with 1 points from 2 games, while Barra SE are 6th with 1 points from 2.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carmópolis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:1 | +11 | 7 |
| 1 | Socorro Sport | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 4 |
| 2 | Socorrense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 | Estanciano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 | Caninde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | +2 | 4 |
| 3 | Frei Paulistano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Olímpico SE | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Maruinense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Flamengo SE | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Independente Simão Dias | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 6 | América de Pedrinhas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:17 | -16 | 0 |
| 6 | Barra SE | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 2.17 | 10.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.42 | 2.45 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.45 | -0.4% |
| Average | 1.58 | 2.21 | 8.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 2.70 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.52 | 2.32 | 8.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.52 | 2.70 | 2.8% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.51 | 8.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Independente Simão Dias at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Barra SE at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.79 | 4.93 | 1.57, which imply roughly 20.9% for a Independente Simão Dias win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Sergipano - 2 table: Independente Simão Dias are 5th (1 pts, 1-6 goals), Barra SE 6th (1 pts, 0-5).
Over their last five matches, Independente Simão Dias averaged 0.5 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Barra SE averaged 0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Independente Simão Dias.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.79 | 4.93 | 1.57 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.81 | 1.26 | 1.19 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.75 | 1.44 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.46 | 2.51 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.80 | 2.39 | 2.39 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 2.63 | 2.27 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.78 | 14.5 | 23.0 |
| HT X | 7.10 | 6.15 | 5.45 |
| HT 2 | 28.0 | 14.5 | 3.18 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 17.0 | 1.57 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 12.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.20 | 4.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.59 | 2.21 |
| 3.5 | 2.14 | 1.63 |
| 4.5 | 3.05 | 1.64 |
| 5.5 | 6.04 | 1.32 |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| 2 | 1.25 | 3.30 |
| 2.25 | 1.44 | 2.49 |
| 2.75 | 1.67 | 2.02 |
| 3 | 1.77 | 1.90 |
| 3.25 | 1.93 | 1.76 |
| 3.75 | 2.17 | 1.92 |
| 4 | 2.67 | 1.75 |
| 4.25 | 2.82 | 1.78 |
| 4.75 | 1.64 | 2.01 |
| 5 | 5.04 | 1.44 |
| 5.25 | 1.93 | 1.70 |
| 5.75 | 2.30 | 1.47 |
| 6 | 4.20 | 1.17 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| +0.5 | 2.06 | 1.62 |
| +0.75 | 1.83 | 1.89 |
| +1.25 | 1.82 | 2.26 |
| +1.75 | 1.94 | 1.69 |
| +2.25 | 1.61 | 2.06 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6.80 | 1.04 |
| -1 | 5.80 | 1.07 |
| -0.75 | 3.88 | 1.18 |
| -0.5 | 3.06 | 1.30 |
| -0.25 | 2.71 | 1.38 |
| 0 | 2.70 | 1.38 |
| +1 | 1.52 | 2.34 |
| +1.5 | 1.66 | 2.52 |
| +2 | 1.41 | 4.22 |
| +2.5 | 1.27 | 4.82 |
| +2.75 | 1.39 | 2.52 |
| +3 | 1.10 | 5.60 |
| +3.5 | 1.07 | 6.30 |
Next Sergipano - 2 matches
| 4 Nov | Estanciano – Frei Paulistano |
| 4 Nov | Maruinense – Socorro Sport |
Latest Sergipano - 2 results
| 3 Nov | Carmópolis 3-0 Caninde |
| 28 Oct | Flamengo SE 1-1 Carmópolis |