Carmópolis vs 
Frei Paulistano• Sergipano - 2, Brazil
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 14:38 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.33 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 7.7% |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 10.6% |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 10.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.44 | 2.60 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.44 | 2.60 | 12.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 12.2% |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 12.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.33 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 7.7% |
| Average | 2.27 | 3.43 | 2.64 | 11.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 07:10 UTC
Carmópolis
2W 5D 3L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against
| 10 Nov | H | Olímpico SE | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Nov | A | Socorrense | 0-0 | D |
| 3 Nov | H | Caninde | 3-0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | América de Pedrinhas | 8-0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Flamengo SE | 1-1 | D |
| 1 Mar | A | Guarany SE | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Feb | H | Lagarto | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Feb | H | América SE | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Feb | A | Falcon | 2-3 | L |
| 3 Feb | A | Barra SE | 2-3 | L |
Frei Paulistano
8W 0D 2L · goals 30:5 · per match 3.0 for, 0.5 against
| 11 Nov | H | Socorro Sport | 3-0 | W |
| 7 Nov | A | Independente Simão Dias | 6-1 | W |
| 4 Nov | A | Estanciano | 2-0 | W |
| 1 Nov | H | Barra SE | 5-0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Maruinense | 1-2 | L |
| 1 Nov | A | Flamengo SE | 4-0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Atletico Central | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Desportiva Aracaju | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Independente Simão Dias | 3-0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Boca Júnior | 5-1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Carmópolis and Frei Paulistano on record.
Sergipano - 2 tableSergipano 2: Regular seasonupdated 14 Nov 07:10 UTC
In the Sergipano - 2 table, Carmópolis sit 2nd with 9 points from 5 games, while Frei Paulistano are 1st with 12 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caninde | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | +4 | 10 |
| 1 | Frei Paulistano | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:3 | +14 | 12 |
| 2 | Carmópolis | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14:3 | +11 | 9 |
| 2 | Maruinense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Olímpico SE | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 | Estanciano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | Socorrense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Socorro Sport | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Flamengo SE | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 | Independente Simão Dias | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 6 | América de Pedrinhas | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:23 | -22 | 0 |
| 6 | Barra SE | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0:11 | -11 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 6.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 2.20 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 2.13 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 2.13 | 9.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 2.19 | 9.8% |
| Betano | 1.62 | 2.07 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.65 | 2.20 | 6.1% |
| Average | 1.61 | 2.15 | 8.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.45 | 7.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 2.34 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 2.29 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.51 | 2.45 | 7.0% |
| Average | 1.50 | 2.37 | 8.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Carmópolis at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Frei Paulistano at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.48 | 2.62, which imply roughly 44.1% for a Carmópolis win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Sergipano - 2 table: Carmópolis are 2nd (9 pts, 14-3 goals), Frei Paulistano 1st (12 pts, 17-3).
Over their last five matches, Carmópolis averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Frei Paulistano averaged 3.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Carmópolis or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.27 | 3.43 | 2.64 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | 1.52 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.71 | 2.00 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.51 | 2.37 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.79 | 2.28 | 3.15 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.58 | 2.57 | 2.87 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.68 | 13.8 | 26.0 |
| HT X | 5.80 | 6.00 | 6.65 |
| HT 2 | 23.5 | 14.0 | 4.18 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 14.3 | 1.99 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.16 | 4.15 |
| 2.5 | 1.61 | 2.15 |
| 3.5 | 2.45 | 1.44 |
| 4.5 | 4.50 | 1.13 |
| 5.5 | 8.50 | 1.07 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 3.75 |
| 2 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| 2.25 | 1.42 | 2.54 |
| 2.75 | 1.74 | 1.93 |
| 3 | 1.97 | 1.70 |
| 3.25 | 2.21 | 1.55 |
| 3.75 | 2.89 | 1.32 |
| 4 | 3.84 | 1.18 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.62 | 1.39 |
| -0.5 | 2.25 | 1.56 |
| -0.25 | 1.98 | 1.73 |
| 0 | 1.70 | 1.98 |
| +0.25 | 1.51 | 2.28 |
| +0.5 | 1.40 | 2.63 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.00 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 8.20 | 1.02 |
| -1.5 | 4.30 | 1.15 |
| -1.25 | 3.90 | 1.18 |
| -1 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| +0.75 | 1.27 | 3.14 |
| +1 | 1.14 | 4.35 |
| +1.5 | 1.10 | 5.20 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 10.0 |