Leones Negros UDG vs 
Monarcas• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.45 | 2.30 | 8.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 6.3% |
| Average | 2.71 | 3.48 | 2.34 | 8.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 18:01 UTC
Leones Negros UDG
5W 1D 4L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against
| 13 Nov | A | Monarcas | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Nov | H | Durango | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Nov | A | Durango | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Nov | H | Tepatitlán | 3-1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Mineros de Zacatecas | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 1-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Venados FC | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Oct | H | Dorados | 6-3 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Monarcas | 0-2 | L |
Monarcas
5W 2D 3L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against
| 13 Nov | H | Leones Negros UDG | 1-0 | W |
| 8 Nov | H | Venados FC | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Nov | A | Venados FC | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Nov | A | Durango | 1-3 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Tapatío | 2-1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | CDS Tampico Madero | 1-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Tepatitlán | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Oct | H | Tlaxcala | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Venados FC | 1-2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Leones Negros UDG | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
17 meetings · goals 21:13 · last 10: 7W 0D 3L for Leones Negros UDG
| 20 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Monarcas2-0Leones Negros UDG |
| 5 Apr 2026Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Leones Negros UDG2-0Monarcas |
| 26 Oct 2025Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Monarcas2-3Leones Negros UDG |
| 11 May 2025Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Leones Negros UDG2-0Monarcas |
| 4 May 2025Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Monarcas2-0Leones Negros UDG |
| 21 Mar 2025Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Leones Negros UDG2-1Monarcas |
| 5 Oct 2024Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Monarcas0-2Leones Negros UDG |
| 5 Apr 2024Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Monarcas0-2Leones Negros UDG |
| 19 Nov 2023Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Leones Negros UDG2-0Monarcas |
| 16 Nov 2023Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Monarcas2-1Leones Negros UDG |
Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 13 Nov 08:40 UTC
In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Leones Negros UDG sit 2nd with 30 points from 15 games, while Monarcas are 3rd with 26 points from 15.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancún | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 | Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | -33 | 7 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| Average | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Leones Negros UDG at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Monarcas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.71 | 3.48 | 2.34, which imply roughly 36.9% for a Leones Negros UDG win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Leones Negros UDG are 2nd (30 pts, 34-20 goals), Monarcas 3rd (26 pts, 26-19).
Over their last five matches, Leones Negros UDG averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Monarcas averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Leones Negros UDG or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.71 | 3.48 | 2.34 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.80 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.88 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Next Liga de Expansión MX matches
| 15 Nov | CA La Paz – Piratas |
Latest Liga de Expansión MX results
| 13 Nov | Monarcas 1-0 Leones Negros UDG |
| 12 Nov | Piratas 1-1 CA La Paz |
| 9 Nov | Piratas 1-1 Cancún |
| 8 Nov | CA La Paz 3-3 Tlaxcala |
| 8 Nov | Monarcas 2-1 Venados FC |
| 6 Nov | Cancún 1-1 Piratas |