Cancún vs Piratas• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#52.0:0.601:0006/113.0:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.78PINX3.29PIN22.52PINMargin at best6.0%Books3Markets43Rating56 · 45Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.78	3.29	2.52	6.0%
1xBet	2.62	3.28	2.38	10.7%
Marathonbet	2.62	3.28	2.38	10.7%
Best of all books	2.78	3.29	2.52	6.0%
Average	2.67	3.28	2.43	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CancúnPiratas

Last 10#5Table position#41.67Points per game1.6711Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 53.00.6Goals against · last 51.040Attack rating6063Defence rating3852Form rating48100H2H rating067Goals model3356Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 15:00 UTC

Cancún

5W 4D 1L · goals 23:10 · per match 2.3 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	H	CDS Tampico Madero	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Tepatitlán	4-0	W
18 Oct	H	Venados FC	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Tapatío	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Tlaxcala	1-4	L
20 Sep	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3-0	W
16 Sep	A	Dorados	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Correcaminos Uat	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	6-0	W

Piratas

5W 3D 2L · goals 23:12 · per match 2.3 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	H	Tapatío	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Dorados	5-0	W
18 Oct	H	Tepatitlán	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	Tlaxcala	2-4	L
4 Oct	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4-0	W
25 Sep	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Venados FC	2-1	W
11 Sep	A	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Correcaminos Uat	4-1	W
30 Aug	A	Leones Negros UDG	1-1	D

Head to head

1Cancún wins

0draws

0Piratas wins

1 meeting · goals 1:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Cancún

23 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX

Piratas0-1Cancún

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 3 Nov 15:10 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Cancún sit 5th with 25 points from 15 games, while Piratas are 4th with 25 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	15	9	3	3	36:18	+18	30
2	Leones Negros UDG	15	9	3	3	34:20	+14	30
3	Monarcas	15	8	2	5	26:19	+7	26
4	Piratas	15	7	4	4	27:15	+12	25
5	Cancún	15	7	4	4	28:18	+10	25
6	Venados FC	15	7	4	4	31:25	+6	25
7	Durango	15	7	3	5	21:15	+6	24
8	Tlaxcala	15	6	4	5	29:27	+2	22
9	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	15	7	1	7	15:25	-10	22
10	Mineros de Zacatecas	15	5	3	7	26:26	0	18
11	Tapatío	15	5	3	7	25:28	-3	18
12	Correcaminos Uat	15	4	5	6	21:24	-3	17
13	Dorados	15	4	4	7	23:32	-9	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	15	4	3	8	15:25	-10	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	15	3	5	7	17:24	-7	14
16	Tepatitlán	15	2	1	12	11:44	-33	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.67X28%3.28238%2.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.90	1.88	5.8%
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.88	5.8%
Average	1.86	1.85	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.67	2.06	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.03	9.1%
Best of all books	1.67	2.06	8.4%
Average	1.67	2.04	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cancún 45%Draw 45%Piratas 10%

The statistical model rates Cancún at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Piratas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.67 | 3.28 | 2.43, which imply roughly 37.5% for a Cancún win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Cancún are 5th (25 pts, 28-18 goals), Piratas 4th (25 pts, 27-15).

Over their last five matches, Cancún averaged 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Piratas averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cancún or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.67	3.28	2.43

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.36	1.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
3.34	2.12	3.05

2nd half

1	X	2
2.99	2.43	2.69

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.35	14.0	28.0
HT X	6.25	4.90	5.75
HT 2	29.0	13.7	3.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.07	8.60	1.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	8.60
1.5	1.26	3.38
2.5	1.86	1.85
3.5	3.08	1.30
4.5	5.73	1.09

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.10
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.14	4.46
1.75	1.32	2.93
2	1.41	2.63
2.25	1.63	2.12
2.75	2.07	1.65
3	2.47	1.46
3.25	2.75	1.36
3.75	3.70	1.20
4	4.95	1.11
4.25	5.30	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.76	1.43
-0.25	2.27	1.55
0	1.94	1.77
+0.25	1.66	2.07
+0.5	1.52	2.51
+0.75	1.35	2.87

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.5	1.01
-2	10.5	1.02
-1.75	6.80	1.04
-1.5	5.25	1.09
-1.25	4.85	1.11
-1	4.54	1.15
-0.75	3.23	1.28
+1	1.20	3.94
+1.25	1.15	4.25
+1.5	1.12	4.65
+1.75	1.07	5.95
+2	1.01	8.80
+2.5	1.02	10.0

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

4 Nov	Venados FC – Monarcas
5 Nov	Tlaxcala – CA La Paz

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

1 Nov	Leones Negros UDG 3-1 Tepatitlán
1 Nov	Piratas 1-1 Tapatío
1 Nov	Cancún 2-0 CDS Tampico Madero
31 Oct	CA La Paz 3-0 Dorados
31 Oct	Correcaminos Uat 0-0 Venados FC
30 Oct	Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas