OddsFilter
Live

Monarcas vs Venados FC• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#31.4:1.62-1FT08/11 · Estadio Morelos, Morelia1.2:1.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.69PINX4.10B36524.75B365Margin at best4.6%Books10Markets87Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 21:54 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.694.064.715.0%
Bet3651.654.104.756.0%
Dafabet1.673.954.507.4%
1xBet1.654.004.497.9%
BetVictor1.653.904.608.0%
Marathonbet1.634.004.508.6%
Betano1.673.754.409.3%
Betfair1.623.904.3310.5%
William Hill1.653.754.2011.1%
SBO1.523.874.3314.7%
Best of all books1.694.104.754.6%
Average1.643.934.488.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MonarcasVenados FC
Last 10#3Table position#61.73Points per game1.677Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.254Attack rating4643Defence rating5754Form rating4671H2H rating2967Goals model3358Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

Monarcas

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

4 NovAVenados FC2-1W
1 NovADurango1-3L
25 OctATapatío2-1W
18 OctHCDS Tampico Madero1-2L
10 OctATepatitlán1-1D
4 OctHTlaxcala1-1D
26 SepAVenados FC1-2L
20 SepHLeones Negros UDG2-0W
13 SepAMineros de Zacatecas1-0W
6 SepHAlebrijes de Oaxaca4-1W

Venados FC

4W 3D 3L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

4 NovHMonarcas1-2L
31 OctACorrecaminos Uat0-0D
24 OctHDurango3-2W
18 OctACancún1-1D
10 OctHLeones Negros UDG1-1D
3 OctACA La Paz2-1W
26 SepHMonarcas2-1W
19 SepAPiratas1-2L
12 SepHTepatitlán5-0W
6 SepACDS Tampico Madero3-4L

Head to head

6Monarcas wins
5draws
4Venados FC wins

15 meetings · goals 21:18 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Monarcas

26 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXVenados FC2-1Monarcas
15 Feb 2026Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXMonarcas2-1Venados FC
5 Sep 2025Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXVenados FC2-2Monarcas
3 Mar 2025Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXMonarcas1-0Venados FC
14 Sep 2024Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXVenados FC2-1Monarcas
29 Mar 2024Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXMonarcas3-4Venados FC
10 Nov 2023Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXMonarcas1-1Venados FC
20 Oct 2023Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXVenados FC2-1Monarcas
27 Jan 2023Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXMonarcas1-0Venados FC
30 Jul 2022Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXVenados FC0-2Monarcas

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 8 Nov 07:20 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Monarcas sit 3rd with 26 points from 15 games, while Venados FC are 6th with 25 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1CA La Paz1593336:18+1830
2Leones Negros UDG1593334:20+1430
3Monarcas1582526:19+726
4Piratas1574427:15+1225
5Cancún1574428:18+1025
6Venados FC1574431:25+625
7Durango1573521:15+624
8Tlaxcala1564529:27+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca1571715:25-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas1553726:26018
11Tapatío1553725:28-318
12Correcaminos Uat1545621:24-317
13Dorados1544723:32-916
14CDS Tampico Madero1543815:25-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo1535717:24-714
16Tepatitlán15211211:44-337

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.64X24%3.89220%4.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 18:007 Nov 23:001 1.64X 3.932 4.48
11.57 → 1.64 +4.5%X4.30 → 3.93 -8.6%24.78 → 4.48 -6.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.692.194.8%
Bet3651.622.256.2%
1xBet1.602.237.3%
Marathonbet1.602.237.3%
Betano1.622.128.9%
BetVictor1.622.128.9%
Best of all books1.692.253.6%
Average1.632.197.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.612.188.0%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.612.158.6%
Betano1.622.128.9%
Best of all books1.622.187.6%
Average1.622.158.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Monarcas 45%Draw 45%Venados FC 10%

The statistical model rated Monarcas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Venados FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.89 | 4.51, which imply roughly 61% for a Monarcas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Monarcas are 3rd (26 pts, 26-19 goals), Venados FC 6th (25 pts, 31-25).

Over their last five matches, Monarcas averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Venados FC averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Monarcas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Monarcas

4-2-3-1

Coach: I. Hernández

Goalkeeper

  • 22R. Pasquel

Defence

  • 5J. Van Rankin
  • 18G. Martínez
  • 4D. Zamora
  • 16R. Sandoval

Midfield

  • 8J. Martínez
  • 13A. Andrade
  • 6D. de Buen

Attack

  • 19M. Rodríguez
  • 20D. Aguilar
  • 9R. del Campo
Substitutes (10)
  • 170B. A. Vieyra Fuerte
  • 15O. Botello
  • 21Edson Castellanos
  • 14R. Castellanos
  • 30J. Conejo
  • 28J. Flores
  • 1R. Galan
  • 32A. Izarra
  • 11V. López
  • 35E. S. Sanchez Cruz

Venados FC

4-2-3-1

Coach: Nacho Castro

Goalkeeper

  • 3S. Perez-Meraz

Defence

  • 4Á. Grijalva
  • 13Ochoa Brandon
  • 14S. Montiel
  • 31I. Domínguez

Midfield

  • 30M. Torres
  • 5S. Naveda

Attack

  • 11D. Tejeda
  • 8P. Kilani
  • 7J. Reyes
  • 29S. Lora
Substitutes (10)
  • 18K. Amador
  • 33J. Canto
  • 23R. Castellanos
  • 10A. Domínguez
  • 9Lucas Lazarte
  • 16L. Macias
  • 22M. Montelongo
  • 2M. Pinela
  • 6E. Torres
  • 32M. Aguilar

Match Statistics

MonarcasVenados FC
2.11Expected Goals0.53
184Passes accurate265
15Shots insidebox3
6Shots outsidebox7
8Blocked Shots2
10Free Kicks10
6Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
7Shots off Goal6
8Offsides1
262Total passes358
21Total Shots10
3Yellow Cards3
9Corner Kicks1
10Fouls12
0Red Cards0
53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.643.934.48

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.141.20

Draw no bet

12
1.273.38

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.15

1st half

1X2
2.112.384.68

2nd half

1X2
1.942.754.31

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3915.035.5
HT X4.686.659.98
HT 220.115.57.38

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5116.82.57

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.8
1.51.174.26
2.51.632.19
3.52.511.46
4.54.441.17
5.57.811.05
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.60
1.251.066.05
1.751.183.91
21.233.44
2.251.442.58
2.751.771.96
31.991.72
3.252.201.61
3.752.671.42
43.581.21
4.253.991.17
4.755.351.09
57.401.03
5.257.001.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.651.41
-1.252.391.50
-12.071.71
-0.751.791.92
-0.51.652.16
-0.251.442.56
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.301.02
-2.756.401.05
-2.55.001.10
-2.254.651.12
-24.191.18
-1.753.251.28
01.263.43
+0.251.213.89
+0.751.085.50
+11.018.70
+1.51.048.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.027.06
7.51.124.44
8.51.312.98
9.51.572.21
10.51.931.80
11.52.471.45
12.53.291.25
13.54.741.10
14.57.211.01
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.78
71.026.95
7.251.075.35
7.751.144.23
81.164.03
8.251.233.38
8.751.342.82
91.392.67
9.251.482.40
9.751.652.10
101.731.98
10.251.841.86
10.752.061.68
112.221.58
11.252.341.51
11.752.691.38
123.001.30
12.253.161.27
12.753.741.19
134.371.13
13.254.551.12
13.755.531.06
146.781.02
14.257.001.02

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

9 NovPiratas 1-1 Cancún
8 NovCA La Paz 3-3 Tlaxcala
6 NovCancún 1-1 Piratas
5 NovTlaxcala 0-1 CA La Paz
4 NovVenados FC 1-2 Monarcas
1 NovLeones Negros UDG 3-1 Tepatitlán