CA La Paz vs Piratas• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#12.2:1.003:0015/11 · Estadio Guaycura, La Paz1.8:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.57PINX3.70B36522.65DAFMargin at best3.7%Books8Markets75Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.57	3.44	2.63	6.0%
Bet365	2.40	3.70	2.60	7.2%
Dafabet	2.45	3.45	2.65	7.5%
1xBet	2.42	3.48	2.59	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.42	3.48	2.59	8.7%
Betano	2.37	3.55	2.60	8.8%
Betfair	2.30	3.40	2.63	10.9%
William Hill	2.40	3.40	2.45	11.9%
Best of all books	2.57	3.70	2.65	3.7%
Average	2.42	3.49	2.59	8.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CA La PazPiratas

Last 10#1Table position#42.00Points per game1.6711Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 50.855Attack rating4544Defence rating5661Form rating3980H2H rating2053Goals model4761Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 18:00 UTC

CA La Paz

6W 3D 1L · goals 24:13 · per match 2.4 for, 1.3 against

12 Nov	A	Piratas	1-1	D
8 Nov	H	Tlaxcala	3-3	D
5 Nov	A	Tlaxcala	1-0	W
31 Oct	H	Dorados	3-0	W
25 Oct	A	CDS Tampico Madero	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Tlaxcala	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	Tapatío	4-2	W
3 Oct	H	Venados FC	1-2	L
25 Sep	A	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Correcaminos Uat	3-1	W

Piratas

4W 4D 2L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

12 Nov	H	CA La Paz	1-1	D
9 Nov	H	Cancún	1-1	D
6 Nov	A	Cancún	1-1	D
1 Nov	H	Tapatío	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Dorados	5-0	W
18 Oct	H	Tepatitlán	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	Tlaxcala	2-4	L
4 Oct	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4-0	W
25 Sep	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Venados FC	2-1	W

Head to head

1CA La Paz wins

0draws

0Piratas wins

1 meeting · goals 2:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for CA La Paz

15 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz2-0Piratas

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 13 Nov 08:40 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, CA La Paz sit 1st with 30 points from 15 games, while Piratas are 4th with 25 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	15	9	3	3	36:18	+18	30
2	Leones Negros UDG	15	9	3	3	34:20	+14	30
3	Monarcas	15	8	2	5	26:19	+7	26
4	Piratas	15	7	4	4	27:15	+12	25
5	Cancún	15	7	4	4	28:18	+10	25
6	Venados FC	15	7	4	4	31:25	+6	25
7	Durango	15	7	3	5	21:15	+6	24
8	Tlaxcala	15	6	4	5	29:27	+2	22
9	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	15	7	1	7	15:25	-10	22
10	Mineros de Zacatecas	15	5	3	7	26:26	0	18
11	Tapatío	15	5	3	7	25:28	-3	18
12	Correcaminos Uat	15	4	5	6	21:24	-3	17
13	Dorados	15	4	4	7	23:32	-9	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	15	4	3	8	15:25	-10	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	15	3	5	7	17:24	-7	14
16	Tepatitlán	15	2	1	12	11:44	-33	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.42X26%3.49236%2.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.36 → 2.42 +2.5%X3.51 → 3.49 -0.6%22.63 → 2.59 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.38	6.1%
Betano	1.52	2.30	9.3%
1xBet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Best of all books	1.60	2.38	4.5%
Average	1.53	2.32	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Betano	1.45	2.50	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.45	2.60	7.4%
Average	1.44	2.54	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CA La Paz 45%Draw 45%Piratas 10%

The statistical model rates CA La Paz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Piratas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.49 | 2.59, which imply roughly 41.3% for a CA La Paz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: CA La Paz are 1st (30 pts, 36-18 goals), Piratas 4th (25 pts, 27-15).

Over their last five matches, CA La Paz averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Piratas averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : CA La Paz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.42	3.49	2.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.54	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	1.98

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.54

1st half

1	X	2
2.86	2.33	3.08

2nd half

1	X	2
2.60	2.70	2.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.71	13.6	24.8
HT X	5.98	5.93	6.58
HT 2	23.3	13.6	4.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	15.8	1.97

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.4
1.5	1.14	4.65
2.5	1.53	2.32
3.5	2.29	1.57
4.5	3.79	1.21
5.5	6.57	1.06

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
1.75	1.15	4.30
2	1.18	3.82
2.25	1.35	2.79
2.75	1.64	2.11
3	1.82	1.87
3.25	2.06	1.69
3.75	2.63	1.40
4	3.16	1.27
4.25	3.51	1.23
4.75	4.71	1.12
5	6.35	1.06
5.25	6.65	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.85	1.36
-0.5	2.55	1.50
-0.25	2.08	1.68
0	1.83	1.94
+0.25	1.59	2.22
+0.5	1.48	2.61

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.01
-2	8.20	1.02
-1.75	5.60	1.08
-1.5	4.40	1.14
-1.25	3.99	1.19
-1	3.74	1.22
+0.75	1.32	3.04
+1	1.19	4.06
+1.25	1.14	4.41
+1.5	1.12	4.80
+1.75	1.06	6.15
+2.5	1.02	9.65

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.04	6.28
7.5	1.18	3.87
8.5	1.38	2.68
9.5	1.69	2.04
10.5	2.10	1.63
11.5	2.75	1.36
12.5	3.82	1.18
13.5	5.66	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.01
7	1.06	5.75
7.25	1.12	4.54
7.75	1.20	3.64
8	1.22	3.45
8.25	1.31	2.97
8.75	1.44	2.51
9	1.50	2.37
9.25	1.60	2.17
9.75	1.79	1.92
10	1.88	1.82
10.25	2.01	1.72
10.75	2.27	1.54
11	2.48	1.45
11.25	2.62	1.40
11.75	3.06	1.29
12	3.49	1.22
12.25	3.66	1.20
12.75	4.39	1.13
13	5.27	1.08
13.25	5.46	1.07

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

15 Nov

Leones Negros UDG – Monarcas

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

13 Nov	Monarcas 1-0 Leones Negros UDG
12 Nov	Piratas 1-1 CA La Paz
9 Nov	Piratas 1-1 Cancún
8 Nov	CA La Paz 3-3 Tlaxcala
8 Nov	Monarcas 2-1 Venados FC
6 Nov	Cancún 1-1 Piratas