Wanderers vs Juventud• Primera División, Uruguay

#70.8:1.623:0016/11 · Montevideo0.4:0.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.37PINX3.32PIN22.931XBMargin at best6.4%Books10Markets79Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.40	3.35	3.00	4.9%
Pinnacle	2.37	3.32	2.89	6.9%
Betfair	2.30	3.30	2.90	8.3%
BetVictor	2.30	3.20	2.88	9.5%
Betano	2.30	3.20	2.82	10.2%
William Hill	2.30	3.10	2.90	10.2%
1xBet	2.22	3.18	2.93	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.20	3.18	2.86	11.9%
Bet365	2.20	3.10	2.88	12.4%
SBO	2.25	2.94	2.59	17.1%
Best of all books	2.40	3.35	3.00	4.9%
Average	2.28	3.19	2.86	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WanderersJuventud

Last 10#7Table position#91.46Points per game1.171Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 50.41.6Goals against · last 50.867Attack rating3333Defence rating6744Form rating5620H2H rating8057Goals model4344Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 00:01 UTC

Wanderers

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

5 Nov	A	Lito	0-4	L
31 Oct	A	Penarol	1-1	D
25 Oct	H	Progreso	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Racing Montevideo	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Boston River	1-3	L
7 Oct	A	Cerrito	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Cerro	2-0	W
28 Sep	H	Albion FC	2-1	W
23 Sep	H	Cerrito	1-3	L
20 Sep	A	Danubio	1-1	D

Juventud

4W 4D 2L · goals 9:6 · per match 0.9 for, 0.6 against

11 Nov	A	Liverpool Montevideo	1-1	D
1 Nov	A	Liverpool Montevideo	0-2	L
28 Oct	A	Nacional Florida	2-0	W
23 Oct	H	Penarol	0-0	D
17 Oct	A	Progreso	0-2	L
11 Oct	H	Racing Montevideo	2-0	W
7 Oct	A	Plaza Colonia	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Boston River	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Cerro	0-0	D
20 Sep	A	Albion FC	3-1	W

Head to head

6Wanderers wins

4draws

8Juventud wins

18 meetings · goals 29:29 · last 10: 4W 0D 6L for Wanderers

31 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Juventud2-5Wanderers
2 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Juventud2-1Wanderers
11 Jan 2026Copa De La Liga Auf	Copa De La Liga Auf	Juventud3-0Wanderers
22 Aug 2025Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Wanderers0-1Juventud
23 Feb 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Juventud1-0Wanderers
25 Oct 2019Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Wanderers3-0Juventud
6 Apr 2019Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Juventud4-1Wanderers
3 Dec 2017Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Juventud2-5Wanderers
13 May 2017Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers1-2Juventud
8 Oct 2016Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers1-0Juventud

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 14 Nov 17:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, Wanderers sit 7th with 51 points from 35 games, while Juventud are 9th with 41 points from 35.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	35	19	9	7	52:28	+24	65
2	Atletico Torque	36	19	7	10	61:43	+18	64
3	Deportivo Maldonado	35	18	9	8	54:32	+22	63
4	Racing Montevideo	36	16	13	7	47:33	+14	61
5	Club Nacional	35	19	4	12	53:42	+11	61
6	Liverpool Montevideo	35	16	11	8	47:31	+16	59
7	Wanderers	35	14	9	12	42:44	-2	51
8	Albion FC	35	13	8	14	47:44	+3	47
9	Juventud	35	10	11	14	37:43	-6	41
10	Central Espanol	35	11	8	16	35:48	-13	41
11	Defensor Sporting	35	9	12	14	35:43	-8	39
12	Cerro Largo	36	9	11	16	35:43	-8	38
13	Boston River	35	10	7	18	34:47	-13	37
14	Cerro	35	10	7	18	29:53	-24	37
15	Progreso	36	10	6	20	33:51	-18	36
16	Danubio	35	6	14	15	29:45	-16	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.27X28%3.21232%2.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.00	1.78	6.2%
Betano	1.98	1.78	6.7%
SBO	1.98	1.78	6.7%
BetVictor	1.93	1.75	9.0%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.97	1.77	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Betano	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.92	9.2%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.76	1.95	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Wanderers 10%Draw 45%Juventud 45%

The statistical model rates Wanderers at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Juventud at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.21 | 2.88, which imply roughly 31.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Wanderers are 7th (51 pts, 42-44 goals), Juventud 9th (41 pts, 37-43).

Over their last five matches, Wanderers averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Juventud averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Juventud and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.28	3.19	2.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.54	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.67	2.11

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
2.89	2.09	3.50

2nd half

1	X	2
2.65	2.36	3.21

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.66	13.6	30.8
HT X	5.58	4.96	6.74
HT 2	27.6	14.2	4.76

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.85	8.90	2.14

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.60
1.5	1.30	3.18
2.5	1.97	1.77
3.5	3.39	1.27
4.5	6.50	1.08
5.5	13.2	1.03
6.5	23.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.70
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.11
1.75	1.37	2.71
2	1.49	2.40
2.25	1.72	1.97
2.75	2.22	1.56
3	2.72	1.39
3.25	2.98	1.31
3.75	4.11	1.16
4	5.65	1.08
4.25	5.95	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.69	1.40
-0.5	2.30	1.58
-0.25	1.97	1.76
0	1.65	2.10
+0.25	1.47	2.46
+0.5	1.40	2.88

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.67	1.02
-2.25	7.00	1.04
-2	8.30	1.02
-1.75	5.70	1.09
-1.5	4.21	1.18
-1.25	4.06	1.20
-1	3.43	1.27
+0.75	1.25	3.56
+1	1.13	5.15
+1.25	1.10	5.67
+1.5	1.09	6.10
+1.75	1.05	7.47
+2	1.01	9.40
+2.5	1.04	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.94
6.5	1.12	4.51
7.5	1.32	2.99
8.5	1.59	2.21
9.5	2.01	1.73
10.5	2.58	1.44
11.5	3.64	1.22
12.5	5.37	1.07

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.64
6	1.01	7.26
6.25	1.07	5.45
6.75	1.14	4.29
7	1.15	4.07
7.25	1.24	3.38
7.75	1.35	2.79
8	1.40	2.62
8.25	1.51	2.35
8.75	1.69	2.05
9	1.78	1.98
9.25	1.89	1.81
9.75	2.14	1.62
10	2.26	1.58
10.25	2.47	1.46
10.75	2.88	1.33
11	3.28	1.25
11.25	3.44	1.23
11.75	4.14	1.15
12	4.96	1.09
12.25	5.17	1.08
12.75	5.76	1.05
13	7.17	1.01

Next Primera División matches

14 Nov	Club Nacional – Albion FC
15 Nov	Danubio – Liverpool Montevideo
15 Nov	Defensor Sporting – Penarol

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

14 Nov	Central Espanol 1-0 Boston River
13 Nov	Atletico Torque 2-2 Racing Montevideo
12 Nov	Cerro Largo 2-2 Progreso
2 Nov	Albion FC 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado
1 Nov	Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 Juventud
1 Nov	Danubio 1-2 Club Nacional