Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias• Copa Santa Catarina, Brazil

1.2:1.22-1FTToday1.2:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.03DAFX3.40DAF23.50WHMargin at best7.2%Books8Markets42Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.03	3.40	3.50	7.2%
Betano	1.98	3.25	3.40	10.7%
1xBet	1.92	3.36	3.44	10.9%
Bet365	1.95	3.30	3.40	11.0%
BetVictor	1.95	3.30	3.40	11.0%
Pinnacle	1.96	3.17	3.40	12.0%
William Hill	1.95	3.10	3.50	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	3.36	3.35	12.2%
Best of all books	2.03	3.40	3.50	7.2%
Average	1.95	3.28	3.42	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FigueirenseMarcílio Dias

Last 107Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5045Defence rating5550Form rating5029H2H rating7172Goals model2847Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 23:00 UTC

Figueirense

6W 2D 2L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

8 Nov	A	Marcílio Dias	0-1	L
31 Oct	A	Blumenau	2-3	L
24 Oct	H	Joinville	1-0	W
16 Oct	A	Marcílio Dias	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Hercílio Luz	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Metropolitano	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Santa Catarina	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Nação	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Barra	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Maranhão	2-1	W

Marcílio Dias

4W 4D 2L · goals 20:15 · per match 2.0 for, 1.5 against

8 Nov	H	Figueirense	1-0	W
1 Nov	H	Barra	2-2	D
16 Oct	H	Figueirense	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	Nação	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Blumenau	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Hercílio Luz	4-2	W
13 Sep	A	Santa Catarina	1-2	L
7 Sep	A	Metropolitano	5-2	W
30 Aug	H	Joinville	4-2	W
11 Jul	A	Portuguesa	0-2	L

Head to head

5Figueirense wins

5draws

7Marcílio Dias wins

17 meetings · goals 20:21 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Figueirense

8 Nov 2026Copa Santa Catarina	Copa Santa Catarina	Marcílio Dias1-0Figueirense
16 Oct 2026Copa Santa Catarina	Copa Santa Catarina	Marcílio Dias2-2Figueirense
20 Feb 2026Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Figueirense0-1Marcílio Dias
13 Feb 2026Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Marcílio Dias1-0Figueirense
10 Jan 2026Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Figueirense1-0Marcílio Dias
9 Nov 2025Copa Santa Catarina	Copa Santa Catarina	Marcílio Dias2-1Figueirense
2 Nov 2025Copa Santa Catarina	Copa Santa Catarina	Figueirense3-0Marcílio Dias
4 Oct 2025Copa Santa Catarina	Copa Santa Catarina	Figueirense2-2Marcílio Dias
15 Sep 2025Copa Santa Catarina	Copa Santa Catarina	Marcílio Dias1-2Figueirense
22 Feb 2025Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Marcílio Dias2-1Figueirense

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.93X28%3.24225%3.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.96 → 1.96 0.0%X3.33 → 3.28 -1.5%23.41 → 3.42 +0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.85	7.8%
BetVictor	1.84	1.83	9.0%
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Betano	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.85	1.84	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Best of all books	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Average	1.70	1.99	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Figueirense 10%Draw 45%Marcílio Dias 45%

The statistical model rated Figueirense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Marcílio Dias at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.93 | 3.24 | 3.56, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Figueirense averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Marcílio Dias averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Marcílio Dias and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.96	3.28	3.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.70	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.53	2.14	3.99

2nd half

1	X	2
2.31	2.44	3.61

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.12	14.3	34.3
HT X	4.98	5.13	7.67
HT 2	23.0	15.7	5.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	10.6	2.35

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.80
1.5	1.24	3.43
2.5	1.85	1.84
3.5	3.14	1.29
4.5	6.50	1.08
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.40
1.75	1.30	2.98
2	1.41	2.59
2.25	1.62	2.10
2.75	2.05	1.64
3	2.45	1.45
3.25	2.74	1.36
3.75	3.80	1.19
4	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.81	1.35
-0.75	2.23	1.55
-0.5	1.95	1.76
-0.25	1.68	2.01
0	1.44	2.51
+0.25	1.32	2.89

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.50	1.03
-2	6.70	1.05
-1.5	3.50	1.22
-1.25	3.12	1.28
+0.75	1.15	4.25
+1	1.05	6.55
+1.5	1.03	7.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10	1.80	2.00
10.5	2.01	1.74

Latest Copa Santa Catarina results

8 Nov	Marcílio Dias 1-0 Figueirense
7 Nov	Joinville 0-1 Hercílio Luz
1 Nov	Marcílio Dias 2-2 Barra
31 Oct	Blumenau 3-2 Figueirense
24 Oct	Hercílio Luz 0-0 Blumenau
24 Oct	Figueirense 1-0 Joinville