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Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense• Copa Santa Catarina, Brazil

1.8:1.420:00Today1.4:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.92PINX3.25B36522.60DAFMargin at best3.5%Books8Markets43Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 13:57 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.703.152.607.2%
BetVictor2.703.102.4011.0%
Betano2.623.002.5211.2%
Bet3652.603.252.3811.2%
William Hill2.882.802.4511.3%
Pinnacle2.922.682.4911.7%
1xBet2.822.822.4312.1%
Marathonbet2.822.822.4312.1%
Best of all books2.923.252.603.5%
Average2.762.952.4610.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Marcílio DiasFigueirense
Last 107Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4442Defence rating5841Form rating5971H2H rating2953Goals model4754Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 20:01 UTC

Marcílio Dias

3W 5D 2L · goals 20:16 · per match 2.0 for, 1.6 against

1 NovHBarra2-2D
16 OctHFigueirense2-2D
9 OctANação0-0D
26 SepABlumenau1-1D
19 SepHHercílio Luz4-2W
13 SepASanta Catarina1-2L
7 SepAMetropolitano5-2W
30 AugHJoinville4-2W
11 JulAPortuguesa0-2L
4 JulHPortuguesa1-1D

Figueirense

6W 3D 1L · goals 13:8 · per match 1.3 for, 0.8 against

31 OctABlumenau2-3L
24 OctHJoinville1-0W
16 OctAMarcílio Dias2-2D
10 OctHHercílio Luz1-0W
27 SepAMetropolitano1-0W
20 SepASanta Catarina2-1W
12 SepHNação1-0W
5 SepHBarra1-1D
29 AugHMaranhão2-1W
23 AugAInter De Limeira0-0D

Head to head

6Marcílio Dias wins
5draws
5Figueirense wins

16 meetings · goals 20:20 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Marcílio Dias

16 Oct 2026Copa Santa CatarinaCopa Santa CatarinaMarcílio Dias2-2Figueirense
20 Feb 2026Catarinense - 1Catarinense - 1Figueirense0-1Marcílio Dias
13 Feb 2026Catarinense - 1Catarinense - 1Marcílio Dias1-0Figueirense
10 Jan 2026Catarinense - 1Catarinense - 1Figueirense1-0Marcílio Dias
9 Nov 2025Copa Santa CatarinaCopa Santa CatarinaMarcílio Dias2-1Figueirense
2 Nov 2025Copa Santa CatarinaCopa Santa CatarinaFigueirense3-0Marcílio Dias
4 Oct 2025Copa Santa CatarinaCopa Santa CatarinaFigueirense2-2Marcílio Dias
15 Sep 2025Copa Santa CatarinaCopa Santa CatarinaMarcílio Dias1-2Figueirense
22 Feb 2025Catarinense - 1Catarinense - 1Marcílio Dias2-1Figueirense
16 Oct 2024Copa Santa CatarinaCopa Santa CatarinaMarcílio Dias0-0Figueirense

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.76X31%2.95237%2.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Nov 20:018 Nov 15:101 2.76X 2.952 2.46
12.33 → 2.76 +18.5%X3.27 → 2.95 -9.8%22.70 → 2.46 -8.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle2.091.658.5%
1xBet2.021.689.0%
BetVictor2.021.689.0%
Marathonbet2.021.689.0%
Betano1.871.789.7%
Best of all books2.091.851.9%
Average1.991.728.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.801.917.9%
BetVictor1.801.908.2%
1xBet1.741.949.0%
Marathonbet1.741.919.8%
Best of all books1.801.947.1%
Average1.771.928.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Marcílio Dias 45%Draw 45%Figueirense 10%

The statistical model rates Marcílio Dias at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Figueirense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.76 | 2.95 | 2.46, which imply roughly 36.2% for a Marcílio Dias win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Marcílio Dias averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Figueirense averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Marcílio Dias or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.762.952.46

Double chance

1XX212
1.451.361.31

Draw no bet

12
1.921.78

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.771.92

1st half

1X2
3.442.023.10

2nd half

1X2
3.052.312.73

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.3814.226.0
HT X6.435.026.00
HT 227.714.33.90

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.018.602.02

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.19
1.51.313.04
2.52.001.72
3.53.581.23
4.57.451.06
5.517.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.056.40
1.251.173.96
1.751.402.60
21.532.26
2.251.791.88
2.752.311.50
32.751.36
3.253.001.30
3.753.921.18
46.151.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.781.37
-0.252.321.53
01.981.73
+0.251.642.07
+0.51.482.41
+0.751.322.93
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.701.01
-28.701.01
-1.56.201.06
-1.254.331.14
-15.201.10
-0.753.331.26
+11.164.15
+1.251.134.60
+1.51.105.05
+2.51.019.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.742.01
101.981.82

Latest Copa Santa Catarina results

7 NovJoinville 0-1 Hercílio Luz
1 NovMarcílio Dias 2-2 Barra
31 OctBlumenau 3-2 Figueirense
24 OctHercílio Luz 0-0 Blumenau
24 OctFigueirense 1-0 Joinville
23 OctBarra 3-0 Santa Catarina