Hercílio Luz vs Blumenau• Copa Santa Catarina, Brazil

1.8:1.40-0FT24/100.8:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.71DAFX3.70DAF24.70DAFMargin at best6.8%Books8Markets44Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 18:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.71	3.70	4.70	6.8%
1xBet	1.64	3.54	4.66	10.7%
Betano	1.70	3.45	4.35	10.8%
William Hill	1.70	3.30	4.60	10.9%
BetVictor	1.62	3.60	4.60	11.2%
Bet365	1.62	3.60	4.50	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.62	3.54	4.55	12.0%
Pinnacle	1.65	3.43	4.37	12.6%
Best of all books	1.71	3.70	4.70	6.8%
Average	1.66	3.52	4.54	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Hercílio LuzBlumenau

Last 1010Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 51.069Attack rating3142Defence rating5864Form rating3650H2H rating5073Goals model2761Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 23:40 UTC

Hercílio Luz

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	A	Santa Catarina	3-2	W
24 Oct	H	Blumenau	0-0	D
17 Oct	H	Barra	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Figueirense	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Nação	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Marcílio Dias	2-4	L
12 Sep	A	Joinville	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Metropolitano	4-2	W
25 Jul	A	Nação	2-1	W
22 Jul	H	Caravaggio	0-0	D

Blumenau

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:9 · per match 0.8 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	A	Hercílio Luz	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Nação	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Marcílio Dias	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Metropolitano	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	Barra	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Joinville	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Santa Catarina	0-1	L
25 Jul	A	Jaraguá	3-0	W
22 Jul	H	Nação	0-2	L
19 Jul	A	Guarani de Palhoça	1-1	D

Head to head

1Hercílio Luz wins

0draws

1Blumenau wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Hercílio Luz

12 Jul 2026Catarinense - 2	Catarinense - 2	Blumenau0-2Hercílio Luz
13 May 2026Catarinense - 2	Catarinense - 2	Hercílio Luz0-1Blumenau

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.66X26%3.52220%4.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.62 → 1.66 +2.5%X3.69 → 3.52 -4.6%24.61 → 4.54 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.83	1.88	7.8%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
BetVictor	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Betano	1.78	1.87	9.7%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.82	1.88	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.86	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.78	1.90	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hercílio Luz 45%Draw 45%Blumenau 10%

The statistical model rated Hercílio Luz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Blumenau at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.52 | 4.54, which imply roughly 60.2% for a Hercílio Luz win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Hercílio Luz averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Blumenau averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Hercílio Luz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.52	4.54

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.04	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.18	4.98

2nd half

1	X	2
2.02	2.52	4.47

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.57	16.0	43.0
HT X	4.52	5.57	9.92
HT 2	22.0	16.3	7.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	9.40	2.82

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.85
1.5	1.24	3.43
2.5	1.82	1.88
3.5	3.03	1.31
4.5	6.35	1.08
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.80
1.75	1.30	2.99
2	1.39	2.62
2.25	1.61	2.13
2.75	2.03	1.67
3	2.39	1.47
3.25	2.68	1.37
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.80	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.73	1.36
-1.25	2.45	1.45
-1	2.12	1.61
-0.75	1.82	1.86
-0.5	1.64	2.06
-0.25	1.43	2.49

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.30	1.09
-2	4.55	1.13
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.24	3.35
+0.25	1.18	3.86
+1	1.01	9.00
+1.5	1.02	9.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.88	1.90

Next Copa Santa Catarina matches

7 Nov

Joinville – Hercílio Luz

All Copa Santa Catarina fixtures and the table

Latest Copa Santa Catarina results

1 Nov	Marcílio Dias 2-2 Barra
31 Oct	Blumenau 3-2 Figueirense
24 Oct	Figueirense 1-0 Joinville
23 Oct	Barra 3-0 Santa Catarina
18 Oct	Nação 0-1 Blumenau
17 Oct	Hercílio Luz 2-0 Barra