Carmópolis vs 
Caninde• Sergipano - 2, Brazil
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 13:18 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 9.9% |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.85 | 4.75 | 10.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 3.78 | 6.87 | 10.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 11.0% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 11.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 3.78 | 6.50 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.60 | 4.20 | 6.87 | 0.9% |
| Average | 1.49 | 3.94 | 5.65 | 10.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 01:30 UTC
Carmópolis
1W 4D 5L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against
| 31 Oct | H | América de Pedrinhas | 8-0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Flamengo SE | 1-1 | D |
| 1 Mar | A | Guarany SE | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Feb | H | Lagarto | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Feb | H | América SE | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Feb | A | Falcon | 2-3 | L |
| 3 Feb | A | Barra SE | 2-3 | L |
| 26 Jan | H | Confiança | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Jan | A | Dorense | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Jan | H | Sergipe | 1-2 | L |
Caninde
5W 2D 3L · goals 23:20 · per match 2.3 for, 2.0 against
| 31 Oct | H | Olímpico SE | 3-3 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | América de Pedrinhas | 6-1 | W |
| 1 Nov | A | Independente Simão Dias | 2-4 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Boca Júnior | 3-0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Olímpico SE | 1-7 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Flamengo SE | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | América de Pedrinhas | 3-0 | W |
| 4 Oct | H | Atlético Gloriense | 0-0 | D |
| 27 Sep | A | Frei Paulistano | 1-4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Atletico Central | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Carmópolis and Caninde on record.
Sergipano - 2 tableSergipano 2updated 3 Nov 01:30 UTC
In the Sergipano - 2 table, Carmópolis sit 1st with 4 points from 2 games, while Caninde are 2nd with 4 points from 2.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carmópolis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 4 |
| 1 | Socorro Sport | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 4 |
| 2 | Caninde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 4 |
| 2 | Estanciano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 | Flamengo SE | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 | Frei Paulistano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Socorrense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Maruinense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Olímpico SE | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 5 | Independente Simão Dias | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 6 | América de Pedrinhas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
| 6 | Barra SE | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 6.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 2.28 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 2.28 | 9.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 2.29 | 9.5% |
| Betano | 1.55 | 2.20 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.60 | 2.38 | 4.5% |
| Average | 1.54 | 2.29 | 8.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 2.15 | 8.2% |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 2.15 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 2.07 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 2.03 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.65 | 2.15 | 7.1% |
| Average | 1.64 | 2.10 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Carmópolis at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Caninde at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.49 | 3.94 | 5.65, which imply roughly 67.1% for a Carmópolis win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Sergipano - 2 table: Carmópolis are 1st (4 pts, 9-1 goals), Caninde 2nd (4 pts, 9-4).
Over their last five matches, Carmópolis averaged 4.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Caninde averaged 4.5 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Carmópolis or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | 3.94 | 5.65 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | 2.36 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.22 | 3.87 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.64 | 2.10 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 2.34 | 5.60 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.76 | 2.81 | 5.12 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.27 | 15.3 | 42.0 |
| HT X | 4.40 | 6.53 | 10.8 |
| HT 2 | 19.8 | 16.3 | 8.28 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | 13.1 | 2.95 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 15.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.13 | 4.60 |
| 2.5 | 1.54 | 2.29 |
| 3.5 | 2.26 | 1.52 |
| 4.5 | 3.88 | 1.18 |
| 5.5 | 7.50 | 1.07 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.16 | 4.15 |
| 2 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| 2.25 | 1.36 | 2.71 |
| 2.75 | 1.64 | 2.04 |
| 3 | 1.84 | 1.81 |
| 3.25 | 2.05 | 1.64 |
| 3.75 | 2.61 | 1.39 |
| 4 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.49 | 1.43 |
| -1.5 | 2.15 | 1.57 |
| -1.25 | 1.94 | 1.72 |
| -1 | 1.79 | 1.90 |
| -0.75 | 1.54 | 2.22 |
| -0.5 | 1.43 | 2.53 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
| -3 | 6.45 | 1.05 |
| -2.5 | 3.74 | 1.19 |
| -2 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| -0.25 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
| 0 | 1.11 | 4.95 |
| +0.25 | 1.08 | 5.65 |
Latest Sergipano - 2 results
| 28 Oct | Flamengo SE 1-1 Carmópolis |