Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka• J-League Cup, Japan

2.7:0.010:00Today · Best Denki Stadium, Mito2.5:1.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.74PINX3.65DAF22.07DAFMargin at best2.4%Books9Markets65Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.74	3.56	2.03	4.1%
Dafabet	3.40	3.65	2.07	5.1%
Betano	3.35	3.50	2.05	7.2%
1xBet	3.50	3.46	1.98	8.0%
Marathonbet	3.48	3.46	1.96	8.7%
BetVictor	3.50	3.40	1.95	9.3%
Bet365	3.30	3.60	1.95	9.4%
Betfair	3.30	3.40	1.95	11.0%
William Hill	3.40	3.10	1.91	14.0%
Best of all books	3.74	3.65	2.07	2.4%
Average	3.44	3.46	1.98	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mito HollyhockCerezo Osaka

Last 103Form pts · last 562.7Goals for · last 52.50.0Goals against · last 51.562Attack rating38100Defence rating054Form rating4633H2H rating67100Goals model049Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 18:31 UTC

Mito Hollyhock

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	A	FC Tokyo	0-6	L
21 Oct	A	Fagiano Okayama	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Urawa	0-1	L
14 Oct	H	FC Tokyo	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Shimizu S-pulse	1-2	L
29 Sep	A	Fukushima United	7-0	W
19 Sep	A	Yokohama F. Marinos	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Kawasaki Frontale	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Parceiro Nagano	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Avispa Fukuoka	1-1	D

Cerezo Osaka

3W 5D 2L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

25 Oct	H	JEF United Chiba	2-2	D
21 Oct	A	Nagoya Grampus	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Kawasaki Frontale	2-4	L
14 Oct	A	Gainare Tottori	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Yokohama F. Marinos	0-0	D
7 Oct	H	Kagoshima United	2-0	W
29 Sep	A	Fujieda MYFC	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	V-varen Nagasaki	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1-6	L
6 Sep	H	Tokyo Verdy	0-0	D

Head to head

0Mito Hollyhock wins

3draws

1Cerezo Osaka wins

4 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 4: 0W 3D 1L for Mito Hollyhock

30 Oct 2016J2 League	J2 League	Cerezo Osaka2-2Mito Hollyhock
6 Mar 2016J2 League	J2 League	Mito Hollyhock0-1Cerezo Osaka
23 Sep 2015J2 League	J2 League	Cerezo Osaka2-2Mito Hollyhock
14 Jun 2015J2 League	J2 League	Mito Hollyhock1-1Cerezo Osaka

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.44X27%3.46247%1.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.38 → 3.44 +1.8%X3.45 → 3.46 +0.3%21.99 → 1.98 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	1.93	3.6%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betano	1.83	1.93	6.5%
1xBet	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.93	1.95	3.1%
Average	1.85	1.90	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Betano	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.72	2.01	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.98	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Average	1.71	2.01	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mito Hollyhock 45%Draw 45%Cerezo Osaka 10%

The statistical model rates Mito Hollyhock at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cerezo Osaka at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.44 | 3.46 | 1.98, which imply roughly 29.1% for a Mito Hollyhock win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Mito Hollyhock averaged 2.7 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Cerezo Osaka averaged 2.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mito Hollyhock or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.44	3.46	1.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.75	1.28	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.53	1.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
3.97	2.18	2.56

2nd half

1	X	2
3.58	2.47	2.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.83	14.8	25.0
HT X	7.88	5.35	5.00
HT 2	33.5	14.4	3.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.32	11.5	1.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.90
1.5	1.26	3.57
2.5	1.85	1.90
3.5	3.15	1.32
4.5	6.12	1.10
5.5	11.7	1.03
6.5	21.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.01	8.40
1.25	1.13	4.66
1.75	1.31	3.00
2	1.42	2.64
2.25	1.65	2.14
2.75	2.09	1.67
3	2.47	1.48
3.25	2.76	1.36
3.75	3.81	1.19
4	5.15	1.10
4.25	5.50	1.08
5	9.40	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.99	1.35
0	2.59	1.46
+0.25	2.05	1.70
+0.5	1.80	1.99
+0.75	1.58	2.26
+1	1.37	2.84

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.5	7.50	1.04
-1.25	7.00	1.04
-1	6.60	1.07
-0.75	4.31	1.17
-0.5	3.58	1.30
+1.25	1.31	3.20
+1.5	1.24	3.66
+1.75	1.15	4.54
+2	1.07	6.67
+2.25	1.06	7.07
+2.5	1.04	7.67
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.34	2.90
8.5	1.63	2.13
9.5	2.07	1.68
10.5	2.75	1.38
11.5	3.80	1.20

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.46	2.57
8.25	1.50	2.28
8.75	1.68	1.99
9	1.85	1.95
9.25	1.93	1.76
9.75	2.21	1.56
10	2.36	1.54
10.25	2.57	1.42

Next J-League Cup matches

28 Oct	Sagan Tosu – Kawasaki Frontale
28 Oct	Nagoya Grampus – Urawa
28 Oct	Yokohama F. Marinos – Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All J-League Cup fixtures and the table

Latest J-League Cup results

14 Oct	Mito Hollyhock 1-0 FC Tokyo
14 Oct	Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
14 Oct	Sagan Tosu 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
14 Oct	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse
14 Oct	Gainare Tottori 2-3 Cerezo Osaka
14 Oct	Nagoya Grampus 3-3 Fagiano Okayama