Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama• J-League Cup, Japan

3.0:1.03-3FTToday · Toyota Stadium, Toyota City2.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.28DAFX3.55DAF23.061XBMargin at best4.7%Books10Markets64Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 04:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.28	3.55	3.05	4.8%
Pinnacle	2.28	3.40	3.02	6.4%
1xBet	2.22	3.30	3.06	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.20	3.30	3.04	8.7%
BetVictor	2.20	3.30	3.00	9.1%
Betano	2.20	3.25	2.87	11.1%
Betfair	2.20	3.30	2.80	11.5%
Bet365	2.15	3.40	2.80	11.6%
William Hill	2.20	3.00	2.90	13.3%
SBO	2.13	3.00	2.73	16.9%
Best of all books	2.28	3.55	3.06	4.7%
Average	2.21	3.28	2.93	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama

Last 107Form pts · last 593.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 51.060Attack rating4050Defence rating5050Form rating5050H2H rating500Goals model052Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 14:50 UTC

Nagoya Grampus

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:19 · per match 1.5 for, 1.9 against

14 Oct	H	Fagiano Okayama	3-3	D
11 Oct	A	Kawasaki Frontale	2-1	W
29 Sep	A	Kitakyushu	3-1	W
19 Sep	A	FC Tokyo	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	V-varen Nagasaki	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Machida Zelvia	1-3	L
2 Sep	A	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Fagiano Okayama	2-1	W
26 Aug	H	Gainare Tottori	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Gamba Osaka	3-1	W

Fagiano Okayama

6W 1D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Avispa Fukuoka	1-2	L
7 Oct	H	JEF United Chiba	1-0	W
29 Sep	A	Consadole Sapporo	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Kyoto Sanga	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Urawa	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3-2	W
2 Sep	A	JEF United Chiba	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Nagoya Grampus	1-2	L
26 Aug	H	Beluga Rosso Iwami	3-0	W
22 Aug	H	Tokyo Verdy	0-0	D

Head to head

6Nagoya Grampus wins

3draws

0Fagiano Okayama wins

9 meetings · goals 12:5 · last 9: 6W 3D 0L for Nagoya Grampus

29 Aug 2026J1 League	J1 League	Nagoya Grampus2-1Fagiano Okayama
29 Apr 2026J1 League	J1 League	Nagoya Grampus1-1Fagiano Okayama
1 Mar 2026J1 League	J1 League	Fagiano Okayama1-1Nagoya Grampus
13 Sep 2025J1 League	J1 League	Fagiano Okayama0-1Nagoya Grampus
6 May 2025J1 League	J1 League	Nagoya Grampus0-0Fagiano Okayama
2 Aug 2021Emperor Cup	Emperor Cup	Nagoya Grampus1-0Fagiano Okayama
5 Nov 2017J2 League	J2 League	Fagiano Okayama0-1Nagoya Grampus
26 Feb 2017J2 League	J2 League	Nagoya Grampus2-0Fagiano Okayama
10 Oct 2012Emperor Cup	Emperor Cup	Fagiano Okayama2-3Nagoya Grampus

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.22X28%3.30231%2.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.89	1.94	4.5%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
SBO	1.90	1.88	5.8%
1xBet	1.84	1.89	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.89	7.3%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Betano	1.82	1.83	9.6%
Best of all books	1.90	1.95	3.9%
Average	1.85	1.89	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.67	2.08	8.0%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Best of all books	1.73	2.15	4.3%
Average	1.68	2.06	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nagoya Grampus 45%Draw 45%Fagiano Okayama 10%

The statistical model rated Nagoya Grampus at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fagiano Okayama at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.30 | 2.91, which imply roughly 45% for a Nagoya Grampus win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Nagoya Grampus averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Fagiano Okayama averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nagoya Grampus or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.21	3.28	2.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.57	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.64	2.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.06

1st half

1	X	2
2.80	2.13	3.51

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	11.3	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.4
1.5	1.25	3.57
2.5	1.85	1.89
3.5	3.11	1.32
4.5	6.22	1.10
5.5	12.2	1.03
6.5	26.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.02	8.30
1.25	1.12	4.70
1.75	1.29	3.06
2	1.40	2.70
2.25	1.63	2.17
2.75	2.05	1.67
3	2.43	1.48
3.25	2.70	1.36
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.95	1.11
4.25	5.30	1.09
4.75	7.32	1.04
5	9.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.57	1.44
-0.5	2.17	1.62
-0.25	1.92	1.82
0	1.63	2.19
+0.25	1.46	2.54
+0.5	1.40	2.82

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.03	1.02
-2	8.00	1.02
-1.75	5.37	1.11
-1.5	4.24	1.18
-1.25	3.77	1.23
-1	3.38	1.27
+0.75	1.24	3.61
+1	1.11	5.37
+1.25	1.09	5.83
+1.5	1.09	6.19
+1.75	1.01	8.30
+2	1.01	10.5
+2.5	1.02	11.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.09	5.40
7.5	1.22	3.54
8.5	1.42	2.55
9.5	1.75	1.98
10.5	2.20	1.58
11.5	2.84	1.34
12.5	3.70	1.20
13.5	5.10	1.10
14.5	7.00	1.04

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.75	1.47	2.42
9	1.57	2.30
9.25	1.65	2.11
9.75	1.84	1.84
10	2.00	1.79
10.25	2.10	1.64
10.75	2.38	1.46
11	2.60	1.45