Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse• J-League Cup, Japan

2.0:1.02-1FTToday · Nissan Stadium, Yokohama2.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.01DAFX3.60B36523.73PINMargin at best4.3%Books10Markets66Rating60 · 41Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 04:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.01	3.60	3.65	4.9%
Pinnacle	1.97	3.47	3.73	6.4%
1xBet	1.99	3.36	3.57	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.97	3.36	3.55	8.7%
BetVictor	1.90	3.40	3.60	9.8%
Betano	1.95	3.30	3.45	10.6%
Bet365	1.90	3.60	3.30	10.7%
Betfair	1.90	3.30	3.60	10.7%
William Hill	1.91	3.10	3.50	13.2%
SBO	1.91	3.02	3.17	17.0%
Best of all books	2.01	3.60	3.73	4.3%
Average	1.94	3.35	3.51	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Yokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulse

Last 1013Form pts · last 5122.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.050Attack rating500Defence rating10050Form rating5071H2H rating290Goals model060Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 14:50 UTC

Yokohama F. Marinos

6W 3D 1L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

14 Oct	H	Shimizu S-pulse	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Cerezo Osaka	0-0	D
7 Oct	H	Kyoto Sangyo University	2-1	W
29 Sep	A	Montedio Yamagata	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Mito Hollyhock	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Machida Zelvia	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Kashiwa Reysol	2-0	W
2 Sep	H	Kyoto Sanga	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Urawa	2-3	L
26 Aug	H	Fukushima United	1-0	W

Shimizu S-pulse

6W 1D 3L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

14 Oct	A	Yokohama F. Marinos	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Mito Hollyhock	2-1	W
7 Oct	H	V-varen Nagasaki	2-1	W
29 Sep	A	Kanazawa	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	JEF United Chiba	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Avispa Fukuoka	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Kawasaki Frontale	1-3	L
2 Sep	H	FC Tokyo	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Kashiwa Reysol	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Osaka	2-1	W

Head to head

19Yokohama F. Marinos wins

5draws

6Shimizu S-pulse wins

30 meetings · goals 60:29 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Yokohama F. Marinos

15 Aug 2026J1 League	J1 League	Shimizu S-pulse0-1Yokohama F. Marinos
6 Jun 2026J1 League	J1 League	Yokohama F. Marinos3-0Shimizu S-pulse
31 May 2026J1 League	J1 League	Shimizu S-pulse1-1Yokohama F. Marinos
16 Aug 2025J1 League	J1 League	Shimizu S-pulse1-3Yokohama F. Marinos
16 Apr 2025J1 League	J1 League	Yokohama F. Marinos2-3Shimizu S-pulse
2 Jul 2022J1 League	J1 League	Shimizu S-pulse3-5Yokohama F. Marinos
6 Mar 2022J1 League	J1 League	Yokohama F. Marinos2-0Shimizu S-pulse
9 Aug 2021J1 League	J1 League	Shimizu S-pulse2-2Yokohama F. Marinos
30 May 2021J1 League	J1 League	Yokohama F. Marinos2-1Shimizu S-pulse
19 May 2021J-League Cup	J-League Cup	Yokohama F. Marinos5-1Shimizu S-pulse

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.05X28%3.31228%3.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.05 → 1.94 -5.4%X3.29 → 3.35 +1.8%23.30 → 3.51 +6.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.97	1.86	4.5%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
SBO	1.87	1.91	5.8%
1xBet	1.91	1.82	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.82	7.3%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Betano	1.83	1.80	10.2%
Best of all books	1.97	1.91	3.1%
Average	1.90	1.83	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.75	1.97	7.9%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.94	8.7%
William Hill	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.80	1.97	6.3%
Average	1.76	1.95	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Yokohama F. Marinos 45%Draw 45%Shimizu S-pulse 10%

The statistical model rated Yokohama F. Marinos at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Shimizu S-pulse at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.31 | 3.27, which imply roughly 48.8% for a Yokohama F. Marinos win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Yokohama F. Marinos averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Shimizu S-pulse averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Yokohama F. Marinos or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.94	3.35	3.51

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.75	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.43	2.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
2.55	2.11	4.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	10.0	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.70
1.5	1.28	3.36
2.5	1.90	1.83
3.5	3.29	1.29
4.5	6.46	1.09
5.5	14.2	1.02
6.5	29.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.38
1	1.02	7.70
1.25	1.14	4.39
1.75	1.32	2.88
2	1.44	2.54
2.25	1.68	2.07
2.75	2.14	1.62
3	2.57	1.43
3.25	2.88	1.32
3.75	3.92	1.18
4	5.40	1.09
4.25	5.75	1.07
5	9.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.79	1.38
-0.75	2.22	1.58
-0.5	1.91	1.84
-0.25	1.69	2.08
0	1.44	2.65
+0.25	1.34	3.00

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	7.67	1.04
-2.25	7.10	1.04
-2	6.73	1.07
-1.75	4.56	1.15
-1.5	3.57	1.24
-1.25	3.21	1.30
+0.5	1.29	3.56
+0.75	1.17	4.39
+1	1.06	6.77
+1.25	1.05	7.13
+1.5	1.03	8.03
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	6.80
6.5	1.15	4.30
7.5	1.33	2.94
8.5	1.59	2.18
9.5	1.95	1.77
10.5	2.58	1.42
11.5	3.49	1.23
12.5	4.70	1.13
13.5	6.50	1.05

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.41	2.71
8.25	1.49	2.39
8.75	1.65	2.05
9	1.80	1.96
9.25	1.87	1.81
9.75	2.15	1.61
10	2.34	1.55
10.25	2.49	1.46