South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks• Australian Championship, Australia

#11.7:0.308:3007/11 · Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne1.0:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.52DAFX4.60DAF26.381XBMargin at best3.2%Books9Markets65Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 04:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.52	4.60	5.80	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.49	4.45	5.75	7.0%
Betano	1.50	4.35	5.50	7.8%
1xBet	1.45	4.30	6.38	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.44	4.30	6.30	8.6%
Betfair	1.40	4.33	6.00	11.2%
Bet365	1.45	4.20	5.25	11.8%
William Hill	1.40	4.20	5.80	12.5%
SBO	1.42	3.82	4.94	16.8%
Best of all books	1.52	4.60	6.38	3.2%
Average	1.45	4.28	5.75	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

South MelbourneSutherland Sharks

Last 10#1Table position#32.67Points per game1.0011Form pts · last 541.7Goals for · last 51.00.3Goals against · last 51.063Attack rating3875Defence rating2575Form rating25100H2H rating00Goals model10071Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 18:01 UTC

South Melbourne

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

29 Oct	A	Canberra FC	2-0	W
23 Oct	H	Sydney United	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Sutherland Sharks	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Melbourne Victory	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Lions	3-1	W
11 Sep	A	Oakleigh Cannons	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Heidelberg United	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Sunshine Georgies	0-1	L
26 Aug	A	Preston Lions	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Heidelberg United	1-2	L

Sutherland Sharks

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

31 Oct	H	Sydney United	1-2	L
24 Oct	A	Canberra FC	2-0	W
17 Oct	H	South Melbourne	0-1	L
2 Sep	H	Manly United	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	SD Raiders	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	St George City FA	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Marconi Stallions	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	Sydney FC U23	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Wollongong Wolves	2-1	W
26 Jul	A	Rockdale City Suns	3-1	W

Head to head

1South Melbourne wins

0draws

0Sutherland Sharks wins

1 meeting · goals 1:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for South Melbourne

17 Oct 2026Australian Championship

Australian Championship

Sutherland Sharks0-1South Melbourne

Australian Championship tableAustralian Championshipupdated 5 Nov 10:30 UTC

In the Australian Championship table, South Melbourne sit 1st with 8 points from 3 games, while Sutherland Sharks are 3rd with 3 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	South Melbourne	3	3	0	5:1	+4	8
1	Broadmeadow Magic	3	3	0	6:3	+3	8
1	Bayswater City	3	2	1	5:3	+2	7
1	Lions	3	2	1	6:4	+2	6
2	Sydney United	3	2	1	5:4	+1	6
2	Wests APIA	3	2	1	8:4	+4	7
2	Oakleigh Cannons	3	2	1	5:3	+2	6
2	Wollongong Wolves	3	2	1	4:3	+1	5
3	Sutherland Sharks	3	1	2	3:3	0	3
3	Avondale	3	1	2	6:9	-3	2
3	Sydney Olympic	3	1	2	6:8	-2	3
3	Preston Lions	3	1	2	3:4	-1	4
4	Canberra FC	3	0	3	1:6	-5	1
4	Adelaide City	3	0	3	5:9	-4	1
4	Marconi Stallions	3	1	2	4:6	-2	2
4	South Hobart	3	1	2	3:5	-2	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.45X21%4.31216%5.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.46 → 1.45 -0.7%X4.37 → 4.31 -1.4%25.85 → 5.75 -1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.60	2.26	6.7%
Betano	1.60	2.25	6.9%
1xBet	1.53	2.21	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.21	10.6%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.57	2.25	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.72	2.00	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

South Melbourne 45%Draw 45%Sutherland Sharks 10%

The statistical model rates South Melbourne at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sutherland Sharks at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 4.31 | 5.75, which imply roughly 69% for a South Melbourne win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Australian Championship table: South Melbourne are 1st (8 pts, 5-1 goals), Sutherland Sharks 3rd (3 pts, 3-3).

Over their last five matches, South Melbourne averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Sutherland Sharks averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : South Melbourne or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.45	4.28	5.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.57	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
1.93	2.42	5.50

2nd half

1	X	2
1.75	2.86	5.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.08	17.0	50.5
HT X	4.21	6.70	12.7
HT 2	21.6	18.1	10.2

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	15.6	3.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.8
1.5	1.15	4.44
2.5	1.57	2.25
3.5	2.47	1.50
4.5	4.20	1.18
5.5	7.55	1.05
6.5	10.2	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.60
1.75	1.16	4.05
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.39	2.67
2.75	1.70	2.00
3	1.94	1.78
3.25	2.18	1.59
3.75	2.85	1.35
4	3.52	1.22
4.25	3.88	1.18
4.75	5.30	1.09
5	7.40	1.03
5.25	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.64	1.43
-1.5	2.27	1.59
-1.25	2.00	1.75
-1	1.75	1.99
-0.75	1.57	2.29
-0.5	1.47	2.58

17 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	10.5	1.01
-4	9.35	1.02
-3.75	7.00	1.04
-3.5	7.18	1.06
-3.25	6.83	1.07
-3	6.40	1.08
-2.75	5.05	1.13
-2.5	3.95	1.20
-2.25	3.63	1.23
-2	3.23	1.28
-0.25	1.31	3.15
0	1.15	4.58
+0.25	1.12	5.13
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.06	8.00
+1	1.02	10.5
+1.5	1.01	11.0

Next Australian Championship matches

6 Nov	Canberra FC – Sydney United
7 Nov	Marconi Stallions – Bayswater City
7 Nov	Wollongong Wolves – Preston Lions
8 Nov	Avondale – Adelaide City
8 Nov	South Hobart – Lions

All Australian Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Australian Championship results

5 Nov	Sydney Olympic 0-2 Oakleigh Cannons
1 Nov	Bayswater City 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons
31 Oct	Wollongong Wolves 1-3 Lions
31 Oct	South Hobart 1-2 Preston Lions
31 Oct	Sutherland Sharks 1-2 Sydney United
30 Oct	Broadmeadow Magic 3-2 Adelaide City