South Hobart vs Preston Lions• Australian Championship, Australia

#31.0:1.504:0031/10 · Darcy Street0.5:1.5#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.251XBX5.77PIN21.35BTNMargin at best3.5%Books8Markets66Rating59 · 42Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 13:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	7.00	5.40	1.39	4.7%
Pinnacle	6.58	5.26	1.36	7.7%
Betano	6.40	4.90	1.39	8.0%
1xBet	7.27	5.10	1.34	8.0%
Marathonbet	7.20	5.10	1.33	8.7%
Betfair	7.00	5.00	1.30	11.2%
Bet365	6.25	4.50	1.36	11.8%
William Hill	7.00	5.00	1.29	11.8%
Best of all books	7.27	5.40	1.39	4.2%
Average	6.84	5.03	1.34	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

South HobartPreston Lions

Last 10#3Table position#41.50Points per game0.509Form pts · last 521.0Goals for · last 50.51.5Goals against · last 51.567Attack rating3350Defence rating50100Form rating00H2H rating00Goals model059Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 15:01 UTC

South Hobart

7W 0D 3L · goals 24:14 · per match 2.4 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	A	Wollongong Wolves	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Lions	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Devonport City	5-1	W
29 Aug	H	Kingborough Lions	4-2	W
23 Aug	H	Devonport City	0-3	L
8 Aug	H	Riverside	5-2	W
1 Aug	H	Launceston City	3-1	W
18 Jul	A	Devonport City	3-1	W
11 Jul	H	Ulverstone	2-0	W
5 Jul	A	South East Utd.	0-1	L

Preston Lions

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

22 Oct	A	Lions	1-2	L
15 Oct	H	Wollongong Wolves	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Avondale	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Altona Magic	1-1	D
26 Aug	H	South Melbourne	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Dandenong City	0-0	D
19 Aug	H	Melbourne City II	4-0	W
16 Aug	H	Dandenong Thunder	3-0	W
12 Aug	A	Brunswick Juventus FC	4-1	W
31 Jul	H	Green Gully	2-2	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between South Hobart and Preston Lions on record.

Australian Championship tableAustralian Championshipupdated 28 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the Australian Championship table, South Hobart sit 3rd with 3 points from 2 games, while Preston Lions are 4th with 1 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	South Melbourne	2	2	0	3:1	+2	5
1	Broadmeadow Magic	2	2	0	3:1	+2	5
1	Bayswater City	2	2	0	5:2	+3	6
1	Wollongong Wolves	2	2	0	3:0	+3	5
2	Sutherland Sharks	2	1	1	2:1	+1	3
2	Wests APIA	2	1	1	3:2	+1	4
2	Oakleigh Cannons	2	1	1	4:3	+1	4
2	Lions	2	1	1	3:3	0	3
3	Sydney United	2	1	1	3:3	0	3
3	Avondale	2	1	1	4:4	0	2
3	Marconi Stallions	2	1	1	2:3	-1	2
3	South Hobart	2	1	1	2:3	-1	3
4	Canberra FC	2	0	2	1:4	-3	1
4	Adelaide City	2	0	2	3:6	-3	1
4	Sydney Olympic	2	0	2	3:6	-3	0
4	Preston Lions	2	0	2	1:3	-2	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg112%7.66X17%5.42271%1.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.84 → 7.66 +12.0%X5.03 → 5.42 +7.8%21.35 → 1.29 -4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.40	2.82	6.9%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.42	2.67	7.9%
1xBet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.82	4.9%
Average	1.40	2.70	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.62	2.18	7.6%
1xBet	1.61	2.18	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.15	8.6%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.63	2.16	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

South Hobart 45%Draw 45%Preston Lions 10%

The statistical model rates South Hobart at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Preston Lions at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.66 | 5.42 | 1.29, which imply roughly 13.1% for a South Hobart win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Australian Championship table: South Hobart are 3rd (3 pts, 2-3 goals), Preston Lions 4th (1 pts, 1-3).

Over their last five matches, South Hobart averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Preston Lions averaged 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : South Hobart or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.84	5.03	1.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.03	1.08	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
5.07	1.14

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	2.16

1st half

1	X	2
6.05	2.69	1.74

2nd half

1	X	2
5.88	3.20	1.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	11.9	18.8	18.8
HT X	15.4	8.35	4.26
HT 2	48.5	18.3	1.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.15	22.5	1.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.7
1.5	1.10	5.50
2.5	1.40	2.70
3.5	2.02	1.74
4.5	3.21	1.29
5.5	5.43	1.10
6.5	8.30	1.05
7.5	12.0	1.02
8.5	19.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	12.0
1.75	1.09	5.30
2	1.11	4.80
2.25	1.25	3.35
2.75	1.46	2.48
3	1.59	2.19
3.25	1.81	1.91
3.75	2.25	1.56
4	2.67	1.39
4.25	2.89	1.33
4.75	3.81	1.19
5	4.95	1.11
5.25	5.25	1.09
6	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1	2.43	1.50
+1.25	2.06	1.69
+1.5	1.81	1.95
+1.75	1.67	2.13
+2	1.48	2.48
+2.25	1.40	2.76

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	11.0	1.01
-0.25	6.30	1.07
0	5.82	1.09
+0.25	3.92	1.20
+0.5	3.30	1.32
+0.75	2.78	1.39
+2.5	1.33	2.98
+2.75	1.24	3.61
+3	1.14	4.68
+3.25	1.12	5.05
+3.5	1.11	5.45
+3.75	1.09	5.80
+4	1.02	9.20
+4.5	1.02	8.50

Next Australian Championship matches

29 Oct	Canberra FC – South Melbourne
30 Oct	Broadmeadow Magic – Adelaide City
30 Oct	Sydney Olympic – Marconi Stallions
31 Oct	Sutherland Sharks – Sydney United
31 Oct	Wollongong Wolves – Lions
1 Nov	Bayswater City – Oakleigh Cannons

All Australian Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Australian Championship results

25 Oct	Sydney Olympic 1-2 Bayswater City
25 Oct	Wollongong Wolves 2-0 South Hobart
24 Oct	Canberra FC 0-2 Sutherland Sharks
24 Oct	Avondale 1-2 Broadmeadow Magic
24 Oct	Marconi Stallions 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons
23 Oct	South Melbourne 1-1 Sydney United