South Hobart vs Lions• Australian Championship, Australia

#41.0:1.704:0008/11 · Darcy Street2.0:1.3#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

17.50WHX5.60DAF21.36DAFMargin at best4.7%Books8Markets65Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 20:43 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	6.90	5.49	1.34	7.3%
1xBet	7.36	5.20	1.33	8.0%
Betano	6.60	5.30	1.35	8.1%
Marathonbet	7.30	5.20	1.32	8.7%
Betfair	7.50	5.00	1.29	10.9%
Bet365	6.00	5.00	1.33	11.9%
William Hill	7.50	5.00	1.25	13.3%
SBO	6.18	4.94	1.25	16.4%
Best of all books	7.50	5.49	1.35	5.6%
Average	6.92	5.14	1.31	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

South HobartLions

Last 10#4Table position#11.00Points per game2.009Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 52.01.7Goals against · last 51.333Attack rating6744Defence rating5633Form rating67100H2H rating015Goals model8538Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:04 UTC

South Hobart

7W 0D 3L · goals 25:15 · per match 2.5 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Preston Lions	1-2	L
25 Oct	A	Wollongong Wolves	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Lions	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Devonport City	5-1	W
29 Aug	H	Kingborough Lions	4-2	W
23 Aug	H	Devonport City	0-3	L
8 Aug	H	Riverside	5-2	W
1 Aug	H	Launceston City	3-1	W
18 Jul	A	Devonport City	3-1	W
11 Jul	H	Ulverstone	2-0	W

Lions

8W 0D 2L · goals 24:10 · per match 2.4 for, 1.0 against

31 Oct	A	Wollongong Wolves	3-1	W
22 Oct	H	Preston Lions	2-1	W
18 Oct	H	South Hobart	1-2	L
15 Sep	A	South Melbourne	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Peninsula Power	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Peninsula Power	4-1	W
25 Aug	H	North Sunshine Eagles	4-0	W
14 Aug	A	Moreton City Excelsior	2-0	W
11 Aug	H	Melbourne City	2-0	W
7 Aug	H	Brisbane Roar II	4-2	W

Head to head

1South Hobart wins

0draws

0Lions wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for South Hobart

18 Oct 2026Australian Championship

Australian Championship

Lions1-2South Hobart

Australian Championship tableAustralian Championshipupdated 4 Nov 15:00 UTC

In the Australian Championship table, South Hobart sit 4th with 3 points from 3 games, while Lions are 1st with 6 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	South Melbourne	3	3	0	5:1	+4	8
1	Broadmeadow Magic	3	3	0	6:3	+3	8
1	Bayswater City	3	2	1	5:3	+2	7
1	Lions	3	2	1	6:4	+2	6
2	Sydney United	3	2	1	5:4	+1	6
2	Wests APIA	3	2	1	8:4	+4	7
2	Oakleigh Cannons	3	2	1	5:3	+2	6
2	Wollongong Wolves	3	2	1	4:3	+1	5
3	Sutherland Sharks	3	1	2	3:3	0	3
3	Avondale	3	1	2	6:9	-3	2
3	Sydney Olympic	3	1	2	6:8	-2	3
3	Preston Lions	3	1	2	3:4	-1	4
4	Canberra FC	3	0	3	1:6	-5	1
4	Adelaide City	3	0	3	5:9	-4	1
4	Marconi Stallions	3	1	2	4:6	-2	2
4	South Hobart	3	1	2	3:5	-2	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg113%6.95X18%5.19269%1.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.92 → 6.95 +0.4%X5.14 → 5.19 +1.0%21.31 → 1.31 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.33	3.25	6.0%
Betano	1.34	3.00	8.0%
1xBet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Best of all books	1.34	3.25	5.4%
Average	1.32	3.02	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Betano	1.57	2.27	7.7%
1xBet	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.26	8.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Average	1.56	2.28	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

South Hobart 10%Draw 45%Lions 45%

The statistical model rates South Hobart at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lions at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.95 | 5.19 | 1.31, which imply roughly 19.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Australian Championship table: South Hobart are 4th (3 pts, 3-5 goals), Lions 1st (6 pts, 6-4).

Over their last five matches, South Hobart averaged 1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; Lions averaged 2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Lions.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.92	5.14	1.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.12	1.07	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
5.13	1.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.28

1st half

1	X	2
6.02	2.81	1.68

2nd half

1	X	2
5.90	3.31	1.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	12.2	18.4	17.5
HT X	15.8	9.10	4.41
HT 2	44.7	18.1	1.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.14	26.5	1.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	15.8
1.5	1.08	6.23
2.5	1.32	3.02
3.5	1.86	1.88
4.5	2.80	1.36
5.5	4.69	1.14
6.5	7.67	1.06
7.5	10.6	1.02
8.5	17.0	–
9.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.5
1.75	1.07	5.90
2	1.09	5.40
2.25	1.20	3.73
2.75	1.39	2.71
3	1.48	2.44
3.25	1.68	2.07
3.75	2.06	1.68
4	2.38	1.50
4.25	2.65	1.40
4.75	3.35	1.25
5	4.30	1.15
5.25	4.60	1.13
6	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1	2.49	1.47
+1.25	2.11	1.66
+1.5	1.90	1.85
+1.75	1.73	2.04
+2	1.52	2.38
+2.25	1.42	2.67

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	8.90	1.01
-0.5	6.40	1.12
-0.25	6.07	1.08
0	5.63	1.10
+0.25	3.84	1.20
+0.5	3.10	1.35
+0.75	2.81	1.38
+2.5	1.37	2.84
+2.75	1.26	3.44
+3	1.15	4.47
+3.25	1.13	4.78
+3.5	1.12	5.18
+4	1.01	9.00
+4.5	1.02	9.10

Next Australian Championship matches

6 Nov	Canberra FC – Sydney United
7 Nov	Marconi Stallions – Bayswater City
7 Nov	Wollongong Wolves – Preston Lions
7 Nov	South Melbourne – Sutherland Sharks
8 Nov	Avondale – Adelaide City

All Australian Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Australian Championship results

1 Nov	Bayswater City 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons
31 Oct	Wollongong Wolves 1-3 Lions
31 Oct	South Hobart 1-2 Preston Lions
31 Oct	Sutherland Sharks 1-2 Sydney United
30 Oct	Sydney Olympic 3-2 Marconi Stallions
30 Oct	Broadmeadow Magic 3-2 Adelaide City