Emelec vs Leones del Norte• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#101.2:1.60-2FT31/10 · Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell, Guayaquil1.2:1.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00SBOX3.69PIN24.43PINMargin10.2%Books10Markets82Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 16:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.82	3.69	4.43	4.6%
1xBet	1.78	3.58	4.39	6.9%
Betano	1.80	3.45	4.40	7.3%
Dafabet	1.80	3.50	4.20	7.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.50	4.33	8.8%
Betfair	1.75	3.50	4.10	10.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	3.42	4.20	11.9%
William Hill	1.75	3.25	4.00	12.9%
SBO	2.00	2.82	3.17	17.0%
BetVictor	1.65	3.10	3.75	19.5%
Best of all books	2.00	3.69	4.43	-0.3%
Average	1.78	3.38	4.10	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EmelecLeones del Norte

Last 10#10Table position#81.30Points per game1.303Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.850Attack rating5053Defence rating4743Form rating5775H2H rating2558Goals model4257Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 00:12 UTC

Emelec

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

25 Oct	H	Guayaquil City FC	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	Leones del Norte	3-1	W
10 Oct	A	Guayaquil City FC	2-3	L
20 Sep	H	Libertad	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Macara	0-1	L
8 Sep	H	Manta FC	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Libertad	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Leones del Norte	2-1	W
24 Aug	A	LDU de Quito	0-2	L
16 Aug	H	Tecnico Universitario	2-1	W

Leones del Norte

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	H	Libertad	4-1	W
18 Oct	H	Emelec	1-3	L
9 Oct	A	Libertad	0-3	L
19 Sep	A	Guayaquil City FC	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Tecnico Universitario	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Mushuc Runa SC	1-1	D
3 Sep	H	Orense SC	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Emelec	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Independiente del Valle	2-3	L
15 Aug	A	Manta FC	2-0	W

Head to head

2Emelec wins

1draws

1Leones del Norte wins

4 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Emelec

18 Oct 2026Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Leones del Norte1-3Emelec
30 Aug 2026Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Emelec2-1Leones del Norte
3 May 2026Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Leones del Norte2-0Emelec
8 Oct 2025Copa Ecuador	Copa Ecuador	Leones del Norte0-0Emelec

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 2 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Emelec sit 10th with 39 points from 30 games, while Leones del Norte are 8th with 39 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	51:27	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	31:24	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39
11	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.78X27%3.38222%4.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.04 → 1.78 -12.7%X3.15 → 3.38 +7.3%23.62 → 4.10 +13.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.02	1.83	4.1%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	2.02	1.78	5.7%
1xBet	1.98	1.77	7.0%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
BetVictor	1.74	1.60	20.0%
Best of all books	2.02	1.83	4.1%
Average	1.95	1.75	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.87	1.85	7.5%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.84	1.85	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.82	9.3%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
BetVictor	1.67	1.67	19.8%
Best of all books	1.91	1.85	6.4%
Average	1.83	1.81	9.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Emelec 45%Draw 45%Leones del Norte 10%

The statistical model rated Emelec at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leones del Norte at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.78 | 3.38 | 4.10, which imply roughly 56.2% for a Emelec win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Emelec are 10th (39 pts, 25-34 goals), Leones del Norte 8th (39 pts, 31-32).

Over their last five matches, Emelec averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Leones del Norte averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Emelec or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Emelec

4-2-3-1

Coach: Ezequiel Medrán

Goalkeeper

12P. Ortíz

Defence

80O. Herrera
27F. León
2A. Leguizamón
30Madison Ariel Mina Ibarra

Midfield

5A. Mina
6V. Griffith
21J. Cevallos
59Reixon Saya
19J. Ruíz

Attack

7L. Klimowicz

Substitutes (12)

24A. Viteri
9R. Carrillo
17J. Ayoví
32J. Valverde
11S. Arce
13Luis Fernando Gómez Angulo
3I. Guerrico
8G. Nápoli
10F. Pizzini
4E. Segura
51S. Valencia
1Mario Alfredo Valero Sánchez

Leones del Norte

4-1-4-1

Coach: M. Córdoba

Goalkeeper

45M. Ramírez

Defence

7M. Luque
23N. Monserrat
2J. Morán
34S. Portocarrero

Midfield

5T. Coppo
11M. Caramuto
6Emiliano Griffa
29P. Madero
99C. Solano

Attack

40Juan Luis Anangonó León

Substitutes (9)

16M. de la Cruz
8C. Velez
19O. Pepinos
25B. Kreiman
14A. Rosales
50Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio
22J. Arroyo
17T. Amilivia
32A. Aguas

Match Statistics

EmelecLeones del Norte

1.08Expected Goals1.11

317Passes accurate216

8Shots insidebox8

6Shots outsidebox9

7Blocked Shots5

16Free Kicks19

2Shots on Goal4

2Goalkeeper Saves2

5Shots off Goal8

386Total passes275

14Total Shots17

4Yellow Cards2

3Corner Kicks5

0Offsides1

21Fouls16

0Red Cards0

58%Ball Possession42%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.78	3.38	4.10

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.91	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	2.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
2.40	2.09	4.66

2nd half

1	X	2
2.17	2.39	4.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.81	14.7	42.4
HT X	4.59	5.00	8.81
HT 2	25.6	15.0	7.13

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	9.25	2.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.07
1.5	1.29	3.16
2.5	1.95	1.75
3.5	3.42	1.25
4.5	6.60	1.07
5.5	13.6	1.02
6.5	26.8	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.68
1	1.02	8.60
1.25	1.15	4.35
1.75	1.37	2.68
2	1.48	2.39
2.25	1.76	1.91
2.75	2.18	1.55
3	2.69	1.38
3.25	3.07	1.29
3.75	4.31	1.15
4	6.49	1.07
4.25	6.45	1.05
5	10.9	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.71	1.37
-1	2.38	1.49
-0.75	1.95	1.73
-0.5	1.79	1.93
-0.25	1.50	2.31
0	1.30	3.12

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.80	1.01
-2.5	6.70	1.06
-2.25	6.17	1.08
-2	5.79	1.10
-1.75	3.97	1.20
-1.5	3.18	1.31
+0.25	1.24	3.70
+0.5	1.21	4.30
+0.75	1.10	5.70
+1	1.08	7.97
+1.25	1.01	8.80
+1.5	1.03	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.23
7.5	1.26	3.32
8.5	1.50	2.37
9.5	1.87	1.84
10.5	2.41	1.49
11.5	3.25	1.27
12.5	4.56	1.12
13.5	7.00	1.02

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.25
6.25	1.07	5.44
6.75	1.09	4.99
7	1.10	4.75
7.25	1.17	3.86
7.75	1.27	3.14
8	1.31	2.96
8.25	1.41	2.61
8.75	1.56	2.24
9	1.64	2.11
9.25	1.75	1.96
9.75	1.96	1.75
10	2.11	1.64
10.25	2.23	1.57
10.75	2.56	1.42
11	2.86	1.34
11.25	3.01	1.30
11.75	3.57	1.21
12	4.18	1.14
12.25	4.37	1.13
12.75	5.33	1.07
13	6.57	1.03
13.25	6.79	1.02

Next Liga Pro matches

2 Nov	Orense SC – Tecnico Universitario
3 Nov	Mushuc Runa SC – Manta FC

All Liga Pro fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Pro results

1 Nov	Guayaquil City FC 0-0 Libertad
1 Nov	Independiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de Quito
1 Nov	Universidad Catolica 1-2 Aucas
31 Oct	Macara 3-0 Barcelona SC
31 Oct	Delfin SC 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca
26 Oct	Tecnico Universitario 3-0 Mushuc Runa SC