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Estrella Roja vs Real Espana• Liga Nacional, Honduras

1.8:2.60-1FT11/10 · Estadio Marcelo Tinoco, Danli1.4:0.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.841XBX3.50BFR21.91WHMargin at best7.0%Books9Markets47Rating33 · 68Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.753.451.918.0%
BetVictor3.503.501.939.0%
Betfair3.603.501.8510.4%
1xBet3.823.321.8310.9%
Betano3.603.351.8711.1%
Bet3653.403.251.9511.5%
William Hill3.403.301.9112.1%
Marathonbet3.723.321.8112.3%
Pinnacle3.513.241.8812.5%
Best of all books3.823.501.956.0%
Average3.593.361.8810.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Estrella RojaReal Espana
Last 105Form pts · last 5131.8Goals for · last 51.42.6Goals against · last 50.656Attack rating4419Defence rating8131Form rating690H2H rating024Goals model7633Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 20:20 UTC

Estrella Roja

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

19 SepAAtlético Choloma0-2L
12 SepHPlatense FC2-2D
6 SepACD Marathon0-5L
30 AugHCD Olimpia2-2D
22 AugHJuticalpa5-2W
15 AugALobos Upnfm2-2D
9 AugACD Motagua2-0W
2 AugHOlancho0-1L
9 DecHGuatire1-0W
5 DecAArroceros Calabozo4-1W

Real Espana

6W 4D 0L · goals 15:5 · per match 1.5 for, 0.5 against

11 OctAEstrella Roja1-0W
20 SepHCD Motagua1-0W
12 SepAOlancho1-1D
6 SepHLobos Upnfm2-0W
30 AugHAtlético Choloma2-1W
23 AugACD Marathon1-1D
16 AugHAtletico Independiente1-1D
9 AugHGénesis2-0W
1 AugAPlatense FC3-0W
19 MayHCD Marathon1-1D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Estrella Roja and Real Espana on record.

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 18 Oct 05:10 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1CD Olimpia1072122:8+1423
2CD Marathon1063116:7+921
3Real Espana1063115:6+921
4CD Motagua1061315:9+619
5Olancho102628:8012
6Lobos Upnfm1033411:12-112
7Génesis932410:7+311
8Atlético Choloma103169:11-210
9Atletico Independiente102448:16-810
10Estrella Roja923413:17-49
11Platense FC102268:21-138
12Juticalpa1020810:23-136

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.59X27%3.36248%1.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 17:201 3.60X 3.372 1.87
14.62 → 3.60 -22.1%X3.60 → 3.37 -6.4%21.81 → 1.87 +3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Pinnacle1.771.957.8%
Betfair1.751.958.4%
BetVictor1.761.928.9%
Marathonbet1.761.928.9%
1xBet1.751.939.0%
Betano1.721.9310.0%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.761.948.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.056.6%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
William Hill1.672.058.7%
1xBet1.652.078.9%
Marathonbet1.652.039.9%
Best of all books1.732.105.4%
Average1.672.068.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estrella Roja 10%Draw 45%Real Espana 45%

The statistical model rated Estrella Roja at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Espana at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.59 | 3.36 | 1.88, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Estrella Roja averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Real Espana averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Real Espana.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.593.361.88

Double chance

1XX212
1.781.211.26

Draw no bet

12
2.611.43

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.06

1st half

1X2
4.102.172.45

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.3711.01.66

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.95
1.51.213.82
2.51.761.94
3.52.971.34
4.56.071.09
5.511.01.04
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.10
1.251.174.00
1.751.263.24
21.332.84
2.251.542.24
2.751.941.73
32.261.52
3.252.551.41
3.753.451.23
44.681.12

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.711.36
+0.252.111.60
+0.51.801.89
+0.751.682.04
+11.422.56
+1.251.322.91
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.801.01
-17.701.02
-0.755.001.14
-0.253.151.27
+1.51.253.28
+1.751.164.14
+21.075.95
+2.51.046.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.462.45
91.602.13
9.51.841.82
102.161.59
10.52.471.45
113.121.29

Next Liga Nacional matches

18 OctGénesis – Estrella Roja

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

18 OctAtletico Independiente 0-4 Lobos Upnfm
17 OctJuticalpa 1-2 Atlético Choloma
17 OctPlatense FC 0-2 CD Motagua
16 OctCD Olimpia 2-1 Real Espana
15 OctCD Marathon 2-1 Olancho
11 OctOlancho 1-1 Atletico Independiente