CD Marathon vs Olancho• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#22.0:0.82-1FT15/10 · Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula0.6:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70WHX3.75BFR24.60BFRMargin at best7.2%Books9Markets50Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 16:57 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.70	3.70	4.50	8.1%
BetVictor	1.65	3.75	4.50	9.5%
Betfair	1.65	3.80	4.40	9.6%
William Hill	1.70	3.40	4.50	10.5%
1xBet	1.64	3.60	4.56	10.7%
Betano	1.70	3.55	4.20	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.62	3.60	4.45	12.0%
Pinnacle	1.65	3.54	4.24	12.4%
Bet365	1.67	3.60	4.00	12.7%
Best of all books	1.70	3.80	4.56	7.1%
Average	1.66	3.62	4.37	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CD MarathonOlancho

Last 10#2Table position#52.10Points per game1.205Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 50.60.8Goals against · last 50.877Attack rating2350Defence rating5071Form rating2971H2H rating2983Goals model1769Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 20:01 UTC

CD Marathon

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	A	Lobos Upnfm	0-0	D
21 Sep	A	Juticalpa	2-3	L
18 Sep	A	LD Alajuelense	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	CD Olimpia	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	LD Alajuelense	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Estrella Roja	5-0	W
29 Aug	A	Génesis	2-1	W
27 Aug	H	Real Estelí	3-0	W
23 Aug	H	Real Espana	1-1	D
20 Aug	H	Alianza	0-1	L

Olancho

2W 7D 1L · goals 8:7 · per match 0.8 for, 0.7 against

11 Oct	H	Atletico Independiente	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Génesis	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Real Espana	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Atlético Choloma	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	CD Motagua	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	CD Olimpia	1-1	D
17 Aug	H	Juticalpa	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Lobos Upnfm	1-1	D
2 Aug	A	Estrella Roja	1-0	W
15 May	A	Génesis	1-1	D

Head to head

11CD Marathon wins

4draws

7Olancho wins

22 meetings · goals 32:25 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for CD Marathon

12 Apr 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Marathon0-2Olancho
21 Feb 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Olancho1-1CD Marathon
28 Dec 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Marathon2-1Olancho
12 Dec 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Olancho0-3CD Marathon
1 Nov 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Marathon2-1Olancho
24 Aug 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Olancho1-1CD Marathon
12 Apr 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Olancho0-1CD Marathon
14 Feb 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Marathon2-0Olancho
9 Dec 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Marathon1-2Olancho
5 Dec 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Olancho1-2CD Marathon

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 18 Oct 05:10 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, CD Marathon sit 2nd with 21 points from 10 games, while Olancho are 5th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CD Olimpia	10	7	2	1	22:8	+14	23
2	CD Marathon	10	6	3	1	16:7	+9	21
3	Real Espana	10	6	3	1	15:6	+9	21
4	CD Motagua	10	6	1	3	15:9	+6	19
5	Olancho	10	2	6	2	8:8	0	12
6	Lobos Upnfm	10	3	3	4	11:12	-1	12
7	Génesis	9	3	2	4	10:7	+3	11
8	Atlético Choloma	10	3	1	6	9:11	-2	10
9	Atletico Independiente	10	2	4	4	8:16	-8	10
10	Estrella Roja	9	2	3	4	13:17	-4	9
11	Platense FC	10	2	2	6	8:21	-13	8
12	Juticalpa	10	2	0	8	10:23	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.68X26%3.53221%4.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.66 -1.2%X3.53 → 3.61 +2.3%24.46 → 4.40 -1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
BetVictor	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.08	8.7%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Betano	1.70	1.95	10.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.70	2.03	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.05	6.6%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Average	1.69	2.02	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CD Marathon 45%Draw 45%Olancho 10%

The statistical model rated CD Marathon at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Olancho at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.53 | 4.35, which imply roughly 59.5% for a CD Marathon win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: CD Marathon are 2nd (21 pts, 16-7 goals), Olancho 5th (12 pts, 8-8).

Over their last five matches, CD Marathon averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Olancho averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : CD Marathon or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.62	4.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.02	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
2.21	2.23	4.71

2nd half

1	X	2
1.99	2.59	4.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.59	14.8	35.8
HT X	4.57	5.93	9.63
HT 2	19.5	15.4	7.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.53	11.8	2.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.3
1.5	1.21	3.92
2.5	1.70	2.03
3.5	2.74	1.38
4.5	5.10	1.14
5.5	10.5	1.05

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.60
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.30	2.99
2.25	1.50	2.34
2.75	1.85	1.80
3	2.13	1.59
3.25	2.40	1.46
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.25	1.15
4.25	4.26	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.68	1.37
-1.25	2.38	1.47
-1	2.11	1.62
-0.75	1.83	1.85
-0.5	1.65	2.04
-0.25	1.44	2.47

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.0	1.01
-3	9.10	1.02
-2.5	5.10	1.10
-2.25	4.61	1.13
-2	4.40	1.14
-1.75	3.20	1.26
0	1.25	3.29
+0.25	1.19	3.80
+0.75	1.09	5.26
+1	1.01	8.50

Latest Liga Nacional results

18 Oct	Atletico Independiente 0-4 Lobos Upnfm
17 Oct	Juticalpa 1-2 Atlético Choloma
17 Oct	Platense FC 0-2 CD Motagua
16 Oct	CD Olimpia 2-1 Real Espana
11 Oct	Olancho 1-1 Atletico Independiente
11 Oct	Estrella Roja 0-1 Real Espana