Génesis vs 
Estrella Roja• Liga Nacional, Honduras
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 18:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 9.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.24 | 3.44 | 11.0% |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 12.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.24 | 3.35 | 12.3% |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 3.12 | 3.21 | 12.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 12.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.03 | 3.40 | 3.44 | 7.7% |
| Average | 1.99 | 3.27 | 3.25 | 11.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:02 UTC
Génesis
3W 2D 5L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against
| 10 Oct | H | CD Olimpia | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Olancho | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | CD Motagua | 0-1 | L |
| 7 Sep | A | Juticalpa | 3-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | CD Marathon | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Atletico Independiente | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Aug | H | Platense FC | 3-0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | Real Espana | 0-2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | Atlético Choloma | 2-0 | W |
| 19 May | A | CD Motagua | 1-2 | L |
Estrella Roja
2W 3D 4L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against
| 11 Oct | H | Real Espana | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Atlético Choloma | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Platense FC | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | CD Marathon | 0-5 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | CD Olimpia | 2-2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Juticalpa | 5-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Lobos Upnfm | 2-2 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | CD Motagua | 2-0 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | Olancho | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Génesis and Estrella Roja on record.
Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 18 Oct 05:10 UTC
In the Liga Nacional table, Génesis sit 7th with 11 points from 9 games, while Estrella Roja are 10th with 9 points from 9.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Olancho | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Génesis | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Atlético Choloma | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:23 | -13 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.82 | 1.89 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.84 | 1.83 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 1.81 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 1.81 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.86 | 1.85 | 8.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.70 | 2.05 | 7.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 2.00 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 1.98 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 1.95 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.71 | 2.05 | 7.3% |
| Average | 1.70 | 1.99 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Génesis at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Estrella Roja at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.99 | 3.28 | 3.25, which imply roughly 50.3% for a Génesis win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Génesis are 7th (11 pts, 10-7 goals), Estrella Roja 10th (9 pts, 13-17).
Over their last five matches, Génesis averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Estrella Roja averaged 0.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Génesis or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.99 | 3.28 | 3.25 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | 1.66 | 1.26 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.52 | 2.42 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.71 | 2.00 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.57 | 2.13 | 3.95 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.38 | 2.42 | 3.56 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.13 | 15.8 | 33.0 |
| HT X | 5.30 | 5.20 | 8.15 |
| HT 2 | 22.5 | 16.8 | 5.55 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | 9.55 | 2.32 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 9.10 |
| 1.5 | 1.25 | 3.39 |
| 2.5 | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| 3.5 | 3.18 | 1.28 |
| 4.5 | 6.60 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 13.0 | 1.04 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 7.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.17 | 3.95 |
| 1.75 | 1.30 | 2.98 |
| 2 | 1.40 | 2.59 |
| 2.25 | 1.68 | 2.03 |
| 2.75 | 2.07 | 1.64 |
| 3 | 2.47 | 1.44 |
| 3.25 | 2.77 | 1.35 |
| 3.75 | 3.88 | 1.18 |
| 4 | 5.30 | 1.09 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.90 | 1.33 |
| -0.75 | 2.27 | 1.52 |
| -0.5 | 1.95 | 1.78 |
| -0.25 | 1.74 | 1.96 |
| 0 | 1.45 | 2.44 |
| +0.25 | 1.33 | 2.84 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7.70 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 6.85 | 1.04 |
| -1.75 | 4.64 | 1.12 |
| -1.5 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| -1.25 | 3.22 | 1.27 |
| +0.5 | 1.28 | 3.14 |
| +0.75 | 1.13 | 4.49 |
| +1 | 1.05 | 6.55 |
| +1.5 | 1.03 | 7.50 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.88 | 1.92 |
| 9.5 | 2.10 | 1.67 |