Olancho vs 
Atletico Independiente• Liga Nacional, Honduras
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 18:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.43 | 4.50 | 6.40 | 7.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 | 9.8% |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.25 | 5.70 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.33 | 6.30 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.20 | 5.25 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.33 | 6.00 | 12.2% |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.40 | 5.50 | 12.3% |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 12.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.45 | 4.60 | 6.50 | 6.1% |
| Average | 1.40 | 4.39 | 5.96 | 10.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 20:01 UTC
Olancho
2W 7D 1L · goals 8:7 · per match 0.8 for, 0.7 against
| 11 Oct | H | Atletico Independiente | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Génesis | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Real Espana | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Atlético Choloma | 0-0 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | CD Motagua | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | CD Olimpia | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Aug | H | Juticalpa | 1-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Lobos Upnfm | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Aug | A | Estrella Roja | 1-0 | W |
| 15 May | A | Génesis | 1-1 | D |
Atletico Independiente
2W 4D 3L · goals 8:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against
| 11 Oct | A | Olancho | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | CD Olimpia | 0-4 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Juticalpa | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | CD Motagua | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Platense FC | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Génesis | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | Real Espana | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Aug | H | Atlético Choloma | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Aug | A | CD Marathon | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Olancho and Atletico Independiente on record.
Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 18 Oct 05:10 UTC
In the Liga Nacional table, Olancho sit 5th with 12 points from 10 games, while Atletico Independiente are 9th with 10 points from 10.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Olancho | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Génesis | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Atlético Choloma | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:23 | -13 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 2.60 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 2.46 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 2.46 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.75 | 3.0% |
| Average | 1.44 | 2.55 | 8.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.30 | 7.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 2.20 | 8.0% |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 2.20 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 2.17 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 2.13 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.60 | 2.30 | 6.0% |
| Average | 1.59 | 2.20 | 8.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Olancho at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Independiente at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.38 | 5.88, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Olancho win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Olancho are 5th (12 pts, 8-8 goals), Atletico Independiente 9th (10 pts, 8-16).
Over their last five matches, Olancho averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Atletico Independiente averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Olancho or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.40 | 4.39 | 5.96 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | 2.55 | 1.15 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.17 | 4.39 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.59 | 2.20 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | 2.51 | 5.45 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.40 | 17.1 | 2.96 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 13.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.12 | 5.65 |
| 2.5 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
| 3.5 | 2.14 | 1.62 |
| 4.5 | 3.60 | 1.24 |
| 5.5 | 6.75 | 1.09 |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
| 2 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
| 2.25 | 1.30 | 2.97 |
| 2.75 | 1.53 | 2.21 |
| 3 | 1.69 | 1.96 |
| 3.25 | 1.91 | 1.75 |
| 3.75 | 2.41 | 1.45 |
| 4 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| 4.25 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 5 | 5.65 | 1.08 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| -1.75 | 2.38 | 1.46 |
| -1.5 | 2.05 | 1.62 |
| -1.25 | 1.89 | 1.79 |
| -1 | 1.71 | 1.99 |
| -0.75 | 1.49 | 2.30 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 6.70 | 1.05 |
| -3 | 6.00 | 1.06 |
| -2.75 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
| -2.5 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| -2.25 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| -0.25 | 1.26 | 3.20 |
| 0 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| +0.25 | 1.10 | 5.20 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 8.95 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 10.5 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.41 | 2.60 |
| 8.5 | 1.62 | 2.10 |
| 9 | 1.84 | 1.82 |
| 9.5 | 1.91 | 1.82 |
| 10 | 2.60 | 1.41 |
| 10.5 | 2.96 | 1.32 |