Platense FC vs CD Motagua• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#101.4:2.00-0LiveToday · Estadio Excelsior, Puerto Cortes1.0:0.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.821XBX3.80BVC21.62WHMargin at best8.8%Books6Markets49Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 15:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	4.75	3.75	1.62	9.4%
1xBet	4.82	3.62	1.60	10.9%
William Hill	4.50	3.70	1.62	11.0%
Bet365	4.50	3.70	1.60	11.7%
Marathonbet	4.70	3.62	1.58	12.2%
Pinnacle	4.50	3.52	1.61	12.7%
Best of all books	4.82	3.75	1.62	9.1%
Average	4.63	3.65	1.60	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Platense FCCD Motagua

Last 10#10Table position#40.89Points per game1.787Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 50.658Attack rating4223Defence rating7741Form rating5929H2H rating7128Goals model7238Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:50 UTC

Platense FC

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:23 · per match 0.8 for, 2.3 against

9 Oct	H	Juticalpa	2-1	W
18 Sep	H	Lobos Upnfm	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Estrella Roja	2-2	D
4 Sep	A	CD Olimpia	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Atletico Independiente	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Atlético Choloma	0-2	L
15 Aug	A	Génesis	0-3	L
8 Aug	H	CD Marathon	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Real Espana	0-3	L
1 May	A	CD Olimpia	0-4	L

CD Motagua

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

10 Oct	H	Atlético Choloma	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Real Espana	0-1	L
17 Sep	A	Alianza	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Génesis	1-0	W
10 Sep	H	Alianza	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Atletico Independiente	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Olancho	2-1	W
26 Aug	A	Municipal	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Lobos Upnfm	4-1	W
16 Aug	A	CD Olimpia	1-3	L

Head to head

13Platense FC wins

11draws

31CD Motagua wins

55 meetings · goals 55:96 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Platense FC

19 Mar 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Platense FC0-1CD Motagua
30 Jan 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Motagua2-0Platense FC
3 Dec 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Motagua0-4Platense FC
17 Sep 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Platense FC1-2CD Motagua
25 Apr 2022Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Platense FC0-0CD Motagua
27 Feb 2022Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Motagua2-0Platense FC
10 Oct 2021Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Platense FC2-3CD Motagua
8 Aug 2021Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Motagua3-0Platense FC
28 Apr 2021Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Platense FC2-3CD Motagua
20 Dec 2020Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Motagua0-1Platense FC

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 17 Oct 05:50 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Platense FC sit 10th with 8 points from 9 games, while CD Motagua are 4th with 16 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CD Olimpia	10	7	2	1	22:8	+14	23
2	CD Marathon	10	6	3	1	16:7	+9	21
3	Real Espana	10	6	3	1	15:6	+9	21
4	CD Motagua	9	5	1	3	13:9	+4	16
5	Olancho	10	2	6	2	8:8	0	12
6	Génesis	9	3	2	4	10:7	+3	11
7	Atletico Independiente	9	2	4	3	8:12	-4	10
8	Estrella Roja	9	2	3	4	13:17	-4	9
9	Lobos Upnfm	9	2	3	4	7:12	-5	9
10	Platense FC	9	2	2	5	8:19	-11	8
11	Atlético Choloma	9	2	1	6	7:10	-3	7
12	Juticalpa	9	2	0	7	9:21	-12	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.63X25%3.65256%1.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.53 → 4.63 +2.2%X3.58 → 3.66 +2.2%21.66 → 1.61 -3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.72	2.00	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Average	1.70	1.98	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Platense FC 10%Draw 45%CD Motagua 45%

The statistical model rates Platense FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CD Motagua at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.63 | 3.65 | 1.61, which imply roughly 27.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Platense FC are 10th (8 pts, 8-19 goals), CD Motagua 4th (16 pts, 13-9).

Over their last five matches, Platense FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; CD Motagua averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CD Motagua.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.63	3.65	1.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.11	1.13	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
3.68	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
5.03	2.24	2.14

2nd half

1	X	2
4.63	2.58	1.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.75	17.0	20.0
HT X	10.5	6.10	4.60
HT 2	41.5	17.0	2.42

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.77	11.6	1.49

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.6
1.5	1.21	3.79
2.5	1.72	2.00
3.5	2.75	1.37
4.5	5.40	1.11
5.5	10.0	1.05

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.12	4.79
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.32	2.91
2.25	1.52	2.29
2.75	1.88	1.78
3	2.16	1.57
3.25	2.43	1.45
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.20	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.56	1.41
+0.5	2.15	1.61
+0.75	1.92	1.77
+1	1.66	2.04
+1.25	1.49	2.32
+1.5	1.39	2.61

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.90	1.01
-0.25	4.05	1.17
0	3.50	1.22
+1.75	1.28	3.08
+2	1.16	4.15
+2.25	1.13	4.61
+2.5	1.11	4.85
+3	1.01	8.70
+3.5	1.01	10.5