Atletico Independiente vs 
Lobos Upnfm• Liga Nacional, Honduras
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 22:32 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 9.5% |
| 1xBet | 2.99 | 2.92 | 2.31 | 11.0% |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 12.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.91 | 2.92 | 2.29 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.99 | 3.30 | 2.35 | 6.3% |
| Average | 2.81 | 3.11 | 2.31 | 11.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:02 UTC
Atletico Independiente
2W 4D 3L · goals 8:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against
| 11 Oct | A | Olancho | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | CD Olimpia | 0-4 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Juticalpa | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | CD Motagua | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Platense FC | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Génesis | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | Real Espana | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Aug | H | Atlético Choloma | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Aug | A | CD Marathon | 0-1 | L |
Lobos Upnfm
3W 3D 4L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against
| 11 Oct | H | CD Marathon | 0-0 | D |
| 18 Sep | A | Platense FC | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Atlético Choloma | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Real Espana | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Juticalpa | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | CD Motagua | 1-4 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Estrella Roja | 2-2 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Olancho | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Aug | A | CD Olimpia | 0-2 | L |
| 1 May | H | CD Motagua | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Atletico Independiente and Lobos Upnfm on record.
Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 18 Oct 05:10 UTC
In the Liga Nacional table, Atletico Independiente sit 9th with 10 points from 10 games, while Lobos Upnfm are 6th with 12 points from 10.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Olancho | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Génesis | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Atlético Choloma | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:23 | -13 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.84 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 1.87 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 1.87 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.87 | 3.5% |
| Average | 1.86 | 1.84 | 8.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.70 | 2.05 | 7.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 2.05 | 8.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 2.13 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 2.09 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.13 | 5.8% |
| Average | 1.65 | 2.08 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Atletico Independiente at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Lobos Upnfm at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.81 | 3.11 | 2.31, which imply roughly 35.6% for a Atletico Independiente win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Atletico Independiente are 9th (10 pts, 8-16 goals), Lobos Upnfm 6th (12 pts, 11-12).
Over their last five matches, Atletico Independiente averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Lobos Upnfm averaged 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico Independiente or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.81 | 3.11 | 2.31 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 1.35 | 1.29 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.05 | 1.70 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.65 | 2.08 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.52 | 2.05 | 2.96 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.17 | 2.41 | 2.59 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.81 | 15.5 | 25.0 |
| HT X | 7.00 | 5.10 | 5.70 |
| HT 2 | 30.5 | 15.5 | 3.58 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 8.70 | 1.89 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 8.50 |
| 1.5 | 1.24 | 3.48 |
| 2.5 | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| 3.5 | 2.97 | 1.32 |
| 4.5 | 6.60 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 12.0 | 1.04 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 7.30 |
| 1.25 | 1.16 | 4.10 |
| 1.75 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
| 2 | 1.36 | 2.70 |
| 2.25 | 1.58 | 2.16 |
| 2.75 | 1.99 | 1.68 |
| 3 | 2.30 | 1.49 |
| 3.25 | 2.56 | 1.40 |
| 3.75 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 4 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| -0.25 | 2.28 | 1.59 |
| 0 | 2.04 | 1.69 |
| +0.25 | 1.71 | 1.94 |
| +0.75 | 1.36 | 2.70 |
| +1 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10.0 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 8.85 | 1.02 |
| -1.75 | 4.90 | 1.11 |
| -1.5 | 6.00 | 1.06 |
| -1.25 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| -1 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| +1.25 | 1.17 | 3.95 |
| +1.5 | 1.14 | 4.33 |
| +1.75 | 1.10 | 5.18 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 8.20 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 9.00 |