Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#121.2:1.823:15Today · Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa0.8:1.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60WHX3.40B36522.55B365Margin at best7.1%Books4Markets40Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:49 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	2.38	3.40	2.55	10.6%
William Hill	2.60	3.00	2.50	11.8%
1xBet	2.39	3.24	2.53	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.39	3.24	2.53	12.2%
Best of all books	2.60	3.40	2.55	7.1%
Average	2.44	3.22	2.53	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JuticalpaAtlético Choloma

Last 10#12Table position#110.67Points per game0.786Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 51.060Attack rating4036Defence rating6460Form rating4080H2H rating2046Goals model5457Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:50 UTC

Juticalpa

3W 0D 7L · goals 10:21 · per match 1.0 for, 2.1 against

9 Oct	A	Platense FC	1-2	L
21 Sep	H	CD Marathon	3-2	W
14 Sep	A	Atletico Independiente	1-2	L
7 Sep	H	Génesis	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Lobos Upnfm	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Estrella Roja	2-5	L
17 Aug	A	Olancho	0-1	L
9 Aug	H	CD Olimpia	1-3	L
2 Aug	H	CD Motagua	0-3	L
27 Apr	H	Lobos Upnfm	1-0	W

Atlético Choloma

3W 1D 6L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

10 Oct	A	CD Motagua	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Estrella Roja	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Lobos Upnfm	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Olancho	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Real Espana	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Platense FC	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	CD Marathon	0-1	L
10 Aug	A	Atletico Independiente	1-2	L
1 Aug	A	Génesis	0-2	L
1 May	A	CD Marathon	1-0	W

Head to head

2Juticalpa wins

2draws

0Atlético Choloma wins

4 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Juticalpa

15 Mar 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Atlético Choloma1-1Juticalpa
24 Jan 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Juticalpa1-0Atlético Choloma
25 Oct 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Atlético Choloma2-2Juticalpa
17 Aug 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Juticalpa3-2Atlético Choloma

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 17 Oct 05:50 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Juticalpa sit 12th with 6 points from 9 games, while Atlético Choloma are 11th with 7 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CD Olimpia	10	7	2	1	22:8	+14	23
2	CD Marathon	10	6	3	1	16:7	+9	21
3	Real Espana	10	6	3	1	15:6	+9	21
4	CD Motagua	9	5	1	3	13:9	+4	16
5	Olancho	10	2	6	2	8:8	0	12
6	Génesis	9	3	2	4	10:7	+3	11
7	Atletico Independiente	9	2	4	3	8:12	-4	10
8	Estrella Roja	9	2	3	4	13:17	-4	9
9	Lobos Upnfm	9	2	3	4	7:12	-5	9
10	Platense FC	9	2	2	5	8:19	-11	8
11	Atlético Choloma	9	2	1	6	7:10	-3	7
12	Juticalpa	9	2	0	7	9:21	-12	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.44X28%3.22235%2.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.20 → 2.44 +10.9%X3.31 → 3.22 -2.7%22.85 → 2.53 -11.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.72	2.01	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
1xBet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.20	10.0%
Best of all books	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Average	1.55	2.25	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Juticalpa 45%Draw 45%Atlético Choloma 10%

The statistical model rates Juticalpa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlético Choloma at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.44 | 3.22 | 2.53, which imply roughly 41% for a Juticalpa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Juticalpa are 12th (6 pts, 9-21 goals), Atlético Choloma 11th (7 pts, 7-10).

Over their last five matches, Juticalpa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Atlético Choloma averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Juticalpa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.44	3.22	2.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.41	1.45	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.80	1.91

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
2.92	2.19	3.12

2nd half

1	X	2
2.75	2.51	2.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.83	14.8	24.0
HT X	6.35	5.80	6.60
HT 2	22.5	14.8	3.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	12.5	1.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.4
1.5	1.18	3.88
2.5	1.72	2.01
3.5	2.70	1.36
4.5	5.10	1.10
5.5	9.50	1.05

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.50
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.29	3.04
2.25	1.49	2.34
2.75	1.85	1.77
3	2.15	1.56
3.25	2.43	1.44
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.35	1.14
4.25	4.30	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.95	1.17
-0.75	2.88	1.32
-0.25	2.08	1.62
0	1.79	1.91
+0.25	1.54	2.19
+0.75	1.28	3.08

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.40	1.01
-2	8.80	1.03
-1.5	4.85	1.11
-1.25	4.40	1.14
+1	1.14	4.30
+1.25	1.15	4.36
+1.5	1.09	5.25
+2	1.03	8.60
+2.5	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.91	1.80