KCCA vs UPDF• Premier League, Uganda

#70.8:0.416:00Today · MTN Omondi Stadium0.8:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44B365X3.78MAR28.301XBMargin at best7.9%Books3Markets52Rating65 · 36Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:44 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.38	3.78	8.30	11.0%
Bet365	1.44	3.70	6.50	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.37	3.78	7.80	12.3%
Best of all books	1.44	3.78	8.30	7.9%
Average	1.40	3.75	7.53	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KCCAUPDF

Last 10#7Table position#101.67Points per game1.3310Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 50.80.4Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5071Defence rating2959Form rating4193H2H rating732Goals model6865Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 03:30 UTC

KCCA

6W 2D 2L · goals 13:6 · per match 1.3 for, 0.6 against

13 Oct	A	Ntugasaze	2-0	W
9 Oct	A	URA	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Kataka	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Kigezi HomeBoyz	0-0	D
3 Sep	A	Express	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	NEC	0-2	L
23 May	H	Mbarara City	4-1	W
19 May	A	URA	0-0	D
13 May	A	UPDF	2-1	W
7 May	H	Maroons	3-0	W

UPDF

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:11 · per match 0.6 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	BUL	0-2	L
15 Oct	A	Express	2-1	W
17 Sep	H	Maroons	1-0	W
10 Sep	A	Police	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Entebbe UPPC	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Kataka	0-0	D
23 May	A	SC Villa	1-2	L
19 May	H	Calvary	0-0	D
13 May	H	KCCA	1-2	L
7 May	A	Entebbe UPPC	0-2	L

Head to head

10KCCA wins

4draws

0UPDF wins

14 meetings · goals 28:8 · last 10: 8W 2D 0L for KCCA

13 May 2026Premier League	Premier League	UPDF1-2KCCA
27 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	KCCA4-0UPDF
13 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	UPDF1-2KCCA
19 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	KCCA0-0UPDF
7 May 2024Premier League	Premier League	KCCA1-0UPDF
28 Dec 2023Premier League	Premier League	UPDF1-2KCCA
9 Apr 2023Premier League	Premier League	KCCA1-1UPDF
9 Nov 2022Premier League	Premier League	UPDF0-1KCCA
5 Apr 2022Premier League	Premier League	UPDF0-3KCCA
19 Nov 2021Premier League	Premier League	KCCA2-1UPDF

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 22 Oct 03:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, KCCA sit 7th with 10 points from 6 games, while UPDF are 10th with 8 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	BUL	7	6	1	0	15:4	+11	19
2	SC Villa	6	4	2	0	14:3	+11	14
3	NEC	7	4	2	1	12:4	+8	14
4	Entebbe UPPC	6	3	2	1	6:2	+4	11
5	Vipers	5	3	1	1	13:2	+11	10
6	Maroons	7	3	1	3	13:8	+5	10
7	KCCA	6	3	1	2	4:4	0	10
8	Blacks Power	6	3	0	3	6:9	-3	9
9	Kitara	4	2	2	0	5:3	+2	8
10	UPDF	6	2	2	2	4:5	-1	8
11	Lugazi	7	2	2	3	4:9	-5	8
12	Police	6	2	1	3	4:10	-6	7
13	Express	7	1	3	3	4:6	-2	6
14	Mbarara City	5	1	2	2	2:3	-1	5
15	URA	5	1	1	3	3:7	-4	4
16	Ntugasaze	6	1	0	5	3:13	-10	3
17	Kataka	7	0	2	5	4:17	-13	2
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	5	0	1	4	1:8	-7	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.40X24%3.75212%7.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
1xBet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Average	2.00	1.72	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.53	10.0%
Best of all books	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Average	2.24	1.54	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

KCCA 45%Draw 45%UPDF 10%

The statistical model rates KCCA at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and UPDF at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 3.75 | 7.53, which imply roughly 71.4% for a KCCA win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: KCCA are 7th (10 pts, 4-4 goals), UPDF 10th (8 pts, 4-5).

Over their last five matches, KCCA averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; UPDF averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : KCCA or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.40	3.75	7.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	2.51	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.14	5.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.24	1.54

1st half

1	X	2
1.96	2.12	7.63

2nd half

1	X	2
1.70	2.57	7.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.03	19.8	61.7
HT X	3.77	5.20	15.1
HT 2	28.0	21.7	14.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	7.90	3.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	7.80
1.5	1.30	2.97
2.5	2.00	1.72
3.5	3.34	1.24
4.5	6.55	1.05

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.20
1	1.05	6.55
1.25	1.17	3.96
1.75	1.37	2.66
2	1.49	2.30
2.25	1.74	1.92
2.75	2.26	1.53
3	2.74	1.35
3.25	3.05	1.28
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.80	1.07
4.25	6.20	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	3.28	1.25
-1.75	2.56	1.40
-1.5	2.17	1.55
-1.25	1.95	1.75
-1	1.67	2.03
-0.75	1.48	2.33

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.10	1.02
-3.25	7.78	1.02
-3	7.30	1.03
-2.75	5.10	1.10
-2.5	4.00	1.17
-2.25	3.58	1.21
-0.25	1.22	3.50
0	1.07	5.95
+0.25	1.05	6.70
+0.75	1.02	8.30

Latest Premier League results

21 Oct	Lugazi 0-0 Express
21 Oct	BUL 2-1 NEC
20 Oct	Maroons 4-1 Kataka
18 Oct	UPDF 0-2 BUL
15 Oct	URA 0-0 Entebbe UPPC
15 Oct	Express 1-2 UPDF