Lugazi vs BUL• Premier League, Uganda

#110.8:1.80-0FTToday · Lugazi FC Stadium, Najjembe2.8:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.041XBX3.30BFR21.67WHMargin at best6.7%Books9Markets47Rating27 · 73Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 04:59 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.40	3.30	1.64	9.8%
Bet365	5.50	3.10	1.67	10.3%
Betano	5.20	3.15	1.67	10.9%
1xBet	6.04	3.14	1.60	10.9%
Betfair	5.00	3.30	1.62	12.0%
Marathonbet	5.85	3.14	1.58	12.2%
Pinnacle	4.86	3.17	1.65	12.7%
William Hill	5.00	3.00	1.67	13.2%
BetVictor	4.60	2.90	1.57	19.9%
Best of all books	6.04	3.30	1.67	6.7%
Average	5.27	3.13	1.63	12.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LugaziBUL

Last 10#11Table position#11.20Points per game3.006Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 52.81.8Goals against · last 50.827Attack rating7325Defence rating7533Form rating6736H2H rating6410Goals model9027Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 08:50 UTC

Lugazi

3W 2D 5L · goals 6:11 · per match 0.6 for, 1.1 against

7 Oct	A	Maroons	0-3	L
16 Sep	H	Police	0-2	L
9 Sep	A	Entebbe UPPC	1-0	W
1 Sep	A	NEC	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Kigezi HomeBoyz	2-1	W
23 May	H	Maroons	0-1	L
19 May	A	Express	0-0	D
12 May	A	BUL	0-0	D
6 May	H	Mbarara City	0-1	L
29 Apr	A	Buhimba Saints	2-0	W

BUL

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

15 Sep	H	Blacks Power	2-1	W
8 Sep	H	Ntugasaze	4-1	W
3 Sep	A	Kataka	4-1	W
30 Aug	H	Express	1-0	W
23 May	A	Entebbe UPPC	0-4	L
19 May	H	Kitara	1-1	D
12 May	H	Lugazi	0-0	D
8 May	A	SC Villa	0-0	D
28 Apr	H	NEC	0-1	L
24 Apr	A	Express	2-0	W

Head to head

1Lugazi wins

1draws

2BUL wins

4 meetings · goals 3:7 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Lugazi

12 May 2026Premier League	Premier League	BUL0-0Lugazi
27 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Lugazi2-1BUL
29 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	BUL4-0Lugazi
3 Jan 2025Premier League	Premier League	Lugazi1-2BUL

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 13 Oct 14:50 UTC

In the Premier League table, Lugazi sit 11th with 6 points from 5 games, while BUL are 1st with 12 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	BUL	4	4	0	0	11:3	+8	12
2	NEC	5	3	2	0	9:2	+7	11
3	SC Villa	5	3	2	0	8:2	+6	11
4	Entebbe UPPC	5	3	1	1	6:2	+4	10
5	Blacks Power	6	3	0	3	6:9	-3	9
6	Kitara	4	2	2	0	5:3	+2	8
7	Vipers	4	2	1	1	8:2	+6	7
8	Maroons	6	2	1	3	9:7	+2	7
9	Police	5	2	1	2	3:4	-1	7
10	KCCA	5	2	1	2	2:4	-2	7
11	Lugazi	5	2	0	3	4:9	-5	6
12	UPDF	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
13	Express	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5
14	Mbarara City	5	1	2	2	2:3	-1	5
15	URA	4	1	0	3	3:7	-4	3
16	Ntugasaze	5	1	0	4	3:11	-8	3
17	Kataka	5	0	2	3	3:8	-5	2
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.27X28%3.15255%1.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.56 → 5.27 -19.7%X3.54 → 3.13 -11.6%21.45 → 1.63 +12.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.38	1.48	9.6%
Betano	2.27	1.52	9.8%
BetVictor	2.05	1.40	20.2%
Best of all books	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Average	2.31	1.49	10.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
William Hill	2.30	1.53	8.8%
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.51	9.9%
BetVictor	1.95	1.44	20.7%
Best of all books	2.30	1.57	7.2%
Average	2.22	1.52	11.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lugazi 0%Draw 50%BUL 50%

The statistical model rated Lugazi at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and BUL at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.27 | 3.15 | 1.63, which imply roughly 31.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Lugazi are 11th (6 pts, 4-9 goals), BUL 1st (12 pts, 11-3).

Over their last five matches, Lugazi averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; BUL averaged 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : BUL and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.27	3.13	1.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.13	1.09	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
3.38	1.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.22	1.52

1st half

1	X	2
6.13	1.94	2.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.43	7.28	1.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.87
1.5	1.42	2.56
2.5	2.31	1.49
3.5	4.60	1.13
4.5	9.77	1.04
5.5	26.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.07	5.90
1	1.10	5.20
1.25	1.27	3.19
1.75	1.56	2.21
2	1.74	1.85
2.25	1.99	1.63
2.75	2.79	1.34
3	3.70	1.20
3.25	4.10	1.16
3.75	5.80	1.07
4	8.70	1.01
4.25	8.65	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.59	1.40
+0.5	2.04	1.69
+0.75	1.81	1.80
+1	1.66	2.02
+1.25	1.42	2.50
+1.5	1.33	2.85

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	8.10	1.02
-0.25	4.96	1.11
0	4.05	1.17
+1.75	1.21	3.58
+2	1.10	5.20
+2.25	1.08	5.70
+2.5	1.06	6.15
+2.75	1.02	8.30