Kitara vs URA• Premier League, Uganda

#101.2:0.613:00PostponedToday · Hoima City Stadium, Hoima1.6:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05PINX3.00BFR23.90BFRMargin at best7.8%Books5Markets44Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 07:55 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.04	2.89	3.66	10.9%
Betfair	1.91	3.00	3.90	11.3%
Betano	2.02	2.90	3.65	11.4%
Pinnacle	2.05	2.84	3.59	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.02	2.89	3.55	12.3%
Best of all books	2.05	3.00	3.90	7.8%
Average	2.01	2.90	3.67	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KitaraURA

Last 10#10Table position#82.00Points per game1.447Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.60.6Goals against · last 51.243Attack rating5767Defence rating3352Form rating4850H2H rating50100Goals model049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 09:10 UTC

Kitara

5W 3D 2L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

3 Nov	A	Police	1-1	D
31 Oct	A	UPDF	1-0	W
25 Oct	A	Al Ahly	0-4	L
17 Oct	H	Al Ahly	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Kataka	2-1	W
7 Oct	H	Kigezi HomeBoyz	1-0	W
17 Sep	A	Express	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Mogadishu City	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Mogadishu City	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	SC Villa	1-1	D

URA

5W 1D 4L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

4 Nov	A	Kataka	4-3	W
31 Oct	H	Vipers	1-0	W
27 Oct	A	UPDF	1-0	W
24 Oct	A	Blacks Power	2-3	L
15 Oct	H	Entebbe UPPC	0-0	D
9 Oct	H	KCCA	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	NEC	1-4	L
4 Sep	H	SC Villa	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Maroons	2-1	W
22 May	A	Buhimba Saints	3-0	W

Head to head

3Kitara wins

2draws

3URA wins

8 meetings · goals 10:11 · last 8: 3W 2D 3L for Kitara

19 Feb 2026Premier League	Premier League	Kitara1-1URA
4 Dec 2025Premier League	Premier League	URA0-1Kitara
1 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Kitara1-0URA
1 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	URA2-0Kitara
1 Jun 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	URA3-0Kitara
14 Mar 2024Premier League	Premier League	Kitara3-0URA
10 Nov 2023Premier League	Premier League	URA2-2Kitara
24 Feb 2021Premier League	Premier League	Kitara2-3URA

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 7 Nov 09:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Kitara sit 10th with 12 points from 6 games, while URA are 8th with 13 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	NEC	10	7	2	1	19:5	+14	23
2	BUL	9	7	2	0	18:6	+12	23
3	SC Villa	10	6	3	1	19:6	+13	21
4	Entebbe UPPC	10	5	4	1	11:4	+7	19
5	KCCA	9	6	1	2	12:6	+6	19
6	Police	10	4	3	3	10:13	-3	15
7	Vipers	9	4	2	3	15:4	+11	14
8	URA	9	4	1	4	11:13	-2	13
9	Blacks Power	10	4	1	5	11:15	-4	13
10	Kitara	6	3	3	0	7:4	+3	12
11	Maroons	9	3	2	4	13:11	+2	11
12	Express	10	2	5	3	10:11	-1	11
13	UPDF	9	2	2	5	4:8	-4	8
14	Mbarara City	9	2	2	5	5:10	-5	8
15	Lugazi	10	2	2	6	6:15	-9	8
16	Kigezi HomeBoyz	8	1	1	6	4:13	-9	4
17	Ntugasaze	9	1	1	7	6:22	-16	4
18	Kataka	10	0	3	7	10:25	-15	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.01X31%2.90224%3.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.50	1.44	9.4%
Betano	2.22	1.55	9.6%
1xBet	2.49	1.42	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.49	1.42	10.6%
Best of all books	2.50	1.55	4.5%
Average	2.43	1.46	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.59	9.8%
Best of all books	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Average	2.13	1.60	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kitara 45%Draw 45%URA 10%

The statistical model rates Kitara at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and URA at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 2.90 | 3.67, which imply roughly 49.8% for a Kitara win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Kitara are 10th (12 pts, 7-4 goals), URA 8th (13 pts, 11-13).

Over their last five matches, Kitara averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; URA averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Kitara or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.01	2.90	3.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.64	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.47

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.13	1.60

1st half

1	X	2
2.75	1.86	4.56

2nd half

1	X	2
2.46	2.14	4.04

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.26	15.6	50.3
HT X	4.67	3.87	7.60
HT 2	34.7	16.2	6.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	6.50	2.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.50
1.5	1.49	2.38
2.5	2.43	1.46
3.5	5.05	1.10
4.5	9.40	1.04
5.5	15.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.07	5.80
1	1.10	5.05
1.25	1.29	3.06
1.75	1.62	2.09
2	1.86	1.78
2.25	2.19	1.56
2.75	3.02	1.30
3	4.15	1.16
3.25	4.61	1.13
3.75	6.60	1.05
4	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.24	1.26
-0.75	2.41	1.46
-0.5	2.00	1.67
-0.25	1.74	1.94
0	1.43	2.54
+0.25	1.31	2.99

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.02
-2	8.10	1.02
-1.75	5.75	1.07
-1.5	4.30	1.14
-1.25	3.71	1.20
+0.5	1.24	3.47
+0.75	1.12	4.76
+1	1.02	8.20
+1.25	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.02	8.45

Latest Premier League results

5 Nov	Vipers 2-0 Lugazi
5 Nov	Express 3-2 Blacks Power
5 Nov	Ntugasaze 1-3 Entebbe UPPC
4 Nov	Kataka 3-4 URA
4 Nov	KCCA 3-0 Maroons
3 Nov	BUL 2-1 SC Villa