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Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports• National Soccer League, Rwanda

#130.4:1.613:00Today · Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi0.6:0.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.40BFRX2.91MAR22.18BTNMargin at best9.6%Books6Markets38Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 01:07 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.402.902.189.8%
Betfair3.402.902.1510.4%
1xBet3.342.912.1510.8%
Betano3.302.872.1811.0%
Bet3653.252.902.1511.8%
Marathonbet3.242.912.1312.2%
Best of all books3.402.912.189.6%
Average3.322.902.1611.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EtincellesKiyovu Sports
Last 10#13Table position#101.17Points per game1.406Form pts · last 570.4Goals for · last 50.61.6Goals against · last 50.440Attack rating6020Defence rating8046Form rating547H2H rating93100Goals model028Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 03:30 UTC

Etincelles

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

31 OctHAPR0-2L
17 OctHMarines0-4L
10 OctABugesera0-2L
15 SepHMusanze1-0W
12 SepAGorilla1-0W
5 SepHSunrise0-0D
30 MayHAl Hilal Omdurman2-1W
26 MayAGorilla4-0W
16 MayAMarines3-2W
10 MayAGasogi United2-2D

Kiyovu Sports

4W 4D 2L · goals 7:4 · per match 0.7 for, 0.4 against

30 OctHAS Kigali2-0W
10 OctAMarines0-0D
15 SepHBugesera1-0W
11 SepAMusanze0-1L
5 SepHGorilla0-1L
29 MayARayon Sports1-1D
24 MayAPolice0-0D
16 MayHMuhanga1-1D
10 MayAAl Merreikh1-0W
5 MayAAmagaju1-0W

Head to head

1Etincelles wins
3draws
11Kiyovu Sports wins

15 meetings · goals 9:24 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for Etincelles

26 Apr 2026National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueEtincelles0-0Kiyovu Sports
5 Dec 2025National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueKiyovu Sports4-1Etincelles
6 Apr 2025National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueEtincelles0-2Kiyovu Sports
22 Nov 2024National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueKiyovu Sports2-1Etincelles
3 May 2024National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueEtincelles2-3Kiyovu Sports
9 Dec 2023National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueKiyovu Sports2-1Etincelles
12 Mar 2023National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueEtincelles1-2Kiyovu Sports
13 Oct 2022National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueKiyovu Sports1-1Etincelles
13 Mar 2022National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueKiyovu Sports1-0Etincelles
1 Dec 2021National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueEtincelles0-2Kiyovu Sports

National Soccer League tableRegular Seasonupdated 4 Nov 01:40 UTC

In the National Soccer League table, Etincelles sit 13th with 7 points from 6 games, while Kiyovu Sports are 10th with 7 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Mukura73317:4+312
2Gorilla73315:3+212
3Marines732214:8+611
4Gicumbi63125:4+110
5Musanze63036:609
6Sunrise71514:7-38
7APR32107:3+47
8Rayon Sports42116:3+37
9Amagaju72149:8+17
10Kiyovu Sports52123:2+17
11Police72143:6-37
12Gasogi United81435:10-57
13Etincelles62132:8-67
14Bugesera42024:2+26
15Al Hilal Omdurman32014:3+16
16Al Merreikh31202:1+15
17AS Kigali61231:6-55
18Etoile de l'Est60424:7-34

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.32X31%2.90242%2.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.621.447.6%
Betfair2.601.447.9%
1xBet2.521.4110.6%
Marathonbet2.521.4110.6%
Best of all books2.621.447.6%
Average2.561.439.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.201.608.0%
1xBet2.131.619.1%
Marathonbet2.131.599.8%
Best of all books2.201.617.6%
Average2.151.608.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Etincelles 10%Draw 45%Kiyovu Sports 45%

The statistical model rates Etincelles at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kiyovu Sports at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.32 | 2.90 | 2.16, which imply roughly 34.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National Soccer League table: Etincelles are 13th (7 pts, 2-8 goals), Kiyovu Sports 10th (7 pts, 3-2).

Over their last five matches, Etincelles averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Kiyovu Sports averaged 0.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kiyovu Sports and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.322.902.16

Double chance

1XX212
1.571.251.31

Draw no bet

12
2.321.53

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.151.60

1st half

1X2
4.191.872.93

2nd half

1X2
3.792.122.59

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.8014.530.3
HT X7.184.154.95
HT 243.314.53.61

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.465.881.87

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.066.50
1.51.512.33
2.52.571.42
3.55.231.10
4.511.01.01
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.085.55
11.114.85
1.251.312.98
1.751.652.03
21.901.73
2.252.221.54
2.753.081.28
34.251.15

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.741.35
02.291.52
+0.251.841.84
+0.51.602.07
+0.751.402.57
+11.213.58
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.101.02
-16.901.04
-0.754.201.15
+1.251.164.10
+1.51.134.60
+2.51.0110.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.851.85

Next National Soccer League matches

4 NovGorilla – Gicumbi
4 NovBugesera – Amagaju
4 NovEtoile de l'Est – Musanze
4 NovAl Hilal Omdurman – Rayon Sports

All National Soccer League fixtures and the table

Latest National Soccer League results

3 NovAPR 1-1 Gasogi United
3 NovAS Kigali 0-0 Mukura
1 NovMarines 1-2 Rayon Sports
28 OctRayon Sports 3-0 Musanze
28 OctMarines 3-0 Al Hilal Omdurman
25 OctMukura 1-0 Gicumbi