Gorilla vs Gicumbi• National Soccer League, Rwanda

#20.8:0.413:00Today0.6:0.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15BTNX2.90DAF23.60BFRMargin at best8.8%Books6Markets39Rating55 · 46Exp. goals L51.2

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 01:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.15	2.90	3.50	9.6%
Betano	2.15	2.85	3.45	10.6%
1xBet	2.11	2.83	3.54	11.0%
Betfair	2.10	2.80	3.60	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.09	2.83	3.44	12.3%
Bet365	2.10	2.80	3.40	12.7%
Best of all books	2.15	2.90	3.60	8.8%
Average	2.12	2.83	3.49	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GorillaGicumbi

Last 10#2Table position#41.71Points per game1.679Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 50.60.4Goals against · last 50.657Attack rating4360Defence rating4056Form rating4450H2H rating5054Goals model4655Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 01:40 UTC

Gorilla

4W 4D 2L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

31 Oct	A	Etoile de l'Est	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	Amagaju	2-1	W
21 Oct	A	Gasogi United	0-0	D
16 Oct	A	Police	0-0	D
9 Oct	H	Rayon Sports	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Etincelles	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Kiyovu Sports	1-0	W
31 May	H	Al Merreikh	3-1	W
26 May	H	Etincelles	0-4	L
15 May	A	Rayon Sports	1-1	D

Gicumbi

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	H	Sunrise	0-0	D
25 Oct	A	Mukura	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	AS Kigali	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	Etoile de l'Est	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Amagaju	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	Police	2-1	W
31 May	A	APR	0-2	L
24 May	H	Mukura	3-2	W
15 May	A	AS Kigali	1-2	L
9 May	H	Bugesera	2-1	W

Head to head

1Gorilla wins

2draws

1Gicumbi wins

4 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Gorilla

21 Mar 2026National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Gicumbi0-1Gorilla
17 Oct 2025National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Gorilla0-0Gicumbi
5 Mar 2022National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Gicumbi1-1Gorilla
26 Nov 2021National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Gorilla0-1Gicumbi

National Soccer League tableRegular Seasonupdated 4 Nov 01:40 UTC

In the National Soccer League table, Gorilla sit 2nd with 12 points from 7 games, while Gicumbi are 4th with 10 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Mukura	7	3	3	1	7:4	+3	12
2	Gorilla	7	3	3	1	5:3	+2	12
3	Marines	7	3	2	2	14:8	+6	11
4	Gicumbi	6	3	1	2	5:4	+1	10
5	Musanze	6	3	0	3	6:6	0	9
6	Sunrise	7	1	5	1	4:7	-3	8
7	APR	3	2	1	0	7:3	+4	7
8	Rayon Sports	4	2	1	1	6:3	+3	7
9	Amagaju	7	2	1	4	9:8	+1	7
10	Kiyovu Sports	5	2	1	2	3:2	+1	7
11	Police	7	2	1	4	3:6	-3	7
12	Gasogi United	8	1	4	3	5:10	-5	7
13	Etincelles	6	2	1	3	2:8	-6	7
14	Bugesera	4	2	0	2	4:2	+2	6
15	Al Hilal Omdurman	3	2	0	1	4:3	+1	6
16	Al Merreikh	3	1	2	0	2:1	+1	5
17	AS Kigali	6	1	2	3	1:6	-5	5
18	Etoile de l'Est	6	0	4	2	4:7	-3	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.12X32%2.83226%3.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Betfair	2.75	1.36	9.9%
1xBet	2.66	1.37	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.66	1.37	10.6%
Best of all books	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Average	2.71	1.38	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
1xBet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.22	1.54	10.0%
Best of all books	2.22	1.60	7.5%
Average	2.21	1.57	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gorilla 45%Draw 45%Gicumbi 10%

The statistical model rates Gorilla at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gicumbi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 2.83 | 3.49, which imply roughly 47.2% for a Gorilla win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National Soccer League table: Gorilla are 2nd (12 pts, 5-3 goals), Gicumbi 4th (10 pts, 5-4).

Over their last five matches, Gorilla averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Gicumbi averaged 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Gorilla or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.12	2.83	3.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.59	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.50	2.41

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.21	1.57

1st half

1	X	2
2.90	1.83	4.43

2nd half

1	X	2
2.56	2.09	3.97

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.56	14.5	43.3
HT X	4.91	3.94	7.23
HT 2	29.3	15.1	6.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	5.65	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.03
1.5	1.56	2.23
2.5	2.71	1.38
3.5	5.47	1.09
4.5	11.0	1.01

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.10	5.15
1	1.14	4.45
1.25	1.34	2.82
1.75	1.71	1.95
2	1.99	1.66
2.25	2.34	1.49
2.75	3.28	1.25
3	4.60	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.50	1.22
-0.75	2.50	1.42
-0.5	2.05	1.62
-0.25	1.80	1.89
0	1.47	2.41
+0.25	1.32	2.88

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.5	1.01
-2	9.00	1.01
-1.5	4.55	1.13
-1.25	4.05	1.17
+0.75	1.13	4.50
+1	1.03	7.60
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	2.01	1.74

Next National Soccer League matches

4 Nov

Al Hilal Omdurman – Rayon Sports

All National Soccer League fixtures and the table

Latest National Soccer League results

3 Nov	APR 1-1 Gasogi United
3 Nov	AS Kigali 0-0 Mukura
1 Nov	Marines 1-2 Rayon Sports
28 Oct	Rayon Sports 3-0 Musanze
28 Oct	Marines 3-0 Al Hilal Omdurman
25 Oct	Marines 2-2 Gasogi United