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Bugesera vs Amagaju• National Soccer League, Rwanda

#141.0:0.513:00Today1.4:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.13DAFX2.93MAR23.60BFRMargin at best8.9%Books6Markets37Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 01:07 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.132.903.5010.0%
Betano2.102.923.4510.9%
1xBet2.062.933.5410.9%
Betfair2.052.903.6011.0%
Bet3652.102.903.4011.5%
Marathonbet2.042.933.4412.2%
Best of all books2.132.933.608.9%
Average2.082.913.4911.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BugeseraAmagaju
Last 10#14Table position#91.50Points per game1.009Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.40.5Goals against · last 51.436Attack rating6478Defence rating2260Form rating4064H2H rating36100Goals model061Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 03:30 UTC

Bugesera

3W 1D 6L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

1 NovAPolice0-1L
18 OctAGasogi United2-0W
10 OctHEtincelles2-0W
15 SepAKiyovu Sports0-1L
30 MayARutsiro2-0W
26 MayARayon Sports0-2L
16 MayAMukura2-2D
9 MayAGicumbi1-2L
6 MayHMarines0-4L
3 MayAMuhanga0-1L

Amagaju

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

31 OctHMusanze1-3L
24 OctAGorilla1-2L
17 OctHSunrise4-0W
11 OctHMukura1-2L
18 SepHAl Merreikh0-0D
12 SepAGicumbi0-1L
5 SepHEtoile de l'Est2-0W
30 MayAMukura0-0D
22 MayHMuhanga0-2L
17 MayHAl Merreikh1-0W

Head to head

2Bugesera wins
5draws
1Amagaju wins

8 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 8: 2W 5D 1L for Bugesera

1 Mar 2026National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueBugesera0-0Amagaju
20 Sep 2025National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueAmagaju0-0Bugesera
1 Mar 2025National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueAmagaju0-1Bugesera
15 Aug 2024National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueBugesera0-0Amagaju
8 Mar 2024National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueAmagaju1-1Bugesera
28 Oct 2023National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueBugesera2-2Amagaju
19 May 2019National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueAmagaju0-1Bugesera
6 Jan 2019National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueBugesera0-1Amagaju

National Soccer League tableRegular Seasonupdated 4 Nov 01:40 UTC

In the National Soccer League table, Bugesera sit 14th with 6 points from 4 games, while Amagaju are 9th with 7 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Mukura73317:4+312
2Gorilla73315:3+212
3Marines732214:8+611
4Gicumbi63125:4+110
5Musanze63036:609
6Sunrise71514:7-38
7APR32107:3+47
8Rayon Sports42116:3+37
9Amagaju72149:8+17
10Kiyovu Sports52123:2+17
11Police72143:6-37
12Gasogi United81435:10-57
13Etincelles62132:8-67
14Bugesera42024:2+26
15Al Hilal Omdurman32014:3+16
16Al Merreikh31202:1+15
17AS Kigali61231:6-55
18Etoile de l'Est60424:7-34

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.08X31%2.91226%3.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.621.447.6%
Betfair2.551.458.2%
1xBet2.521.4110.6%
Marathonbet2.521.4110.6%
Best of all books2.621.457.1%
Average2.551.439.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.101.658.2%
1xBet2.151.609.0%
Marathonbet2.151.589.8%
Best of all books2.151.657.1%
Average2.131.619.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bugesera 45%Draw 45%Amagaju 10%

The statistical model rates Bugesera at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Amagaju at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.08 | 2.91 | 3.49, which imply roughly 48.1% for a Bugesera win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National Soccer League table: Bugesera are 14th (6 pts, 4-2 goals), Amagaju 9th (7 pts, 9-8).

Over their last five matches, Bugesera averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Amagaju averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bugesera or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.082.913.49

Double chance

1XX212
1.241.611.30

Draw no bet

12
1.492.44

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.131.61

1st half

1X2
2.851.874.40

2nd half

1X2
2.512.133.96

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.5014.043.3
HT X4.914.167.25
HT 230.315.16.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.805.882.51

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.066.67
1.51.502.37
2.52.551.43
3.55.231.10
4.511.01.01
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.085.55
11.114.85
1.251.312.98
1.751.652.03
21.901.74
2.252.221.54
2.753.081.28
34.251.15

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.341.24
-0.752.441.44
-0.52.021.62
-0.251.781.92
01.462.44
+0.251.332.89
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.601.01
-1.54.351.14
-1.253.881.18
+0.751.134.50
+11.037.50
+1.51.018.60

Next National Soccer League matches

4 NovGorilla – Gicumbi
4 NovEtincelles – Kiyovu Sports
4 NovEtoile de l'Est – Musanze
4 NovAl Hilal Omdurman – Rayon Sports

All National Soccer League fixtures and the table

Latest National Soccer League results

3 NovAPR 1-1 Gasogi United
3 NovAS Kigali 0-0 Mukura
1 NovMarines 1-2 Rayon Sports
28 OctRayon Sports 3-0 Musanze
28 OctMarines 3-0 Al Hilal Omdurman
25 OctMukura 1-0 Gicumbi