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APR vs Gasogi United• National Soccer League, Rwanda

#123.0:1.00-1LiveToday · Stade Amahoro, Kigali0.6:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.38B365X4.40WH211.01XBMargin at best4.3%Books7Markets49Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.344.109.0010.1%
William Hill1.294.4010.010.2%
Betfair1.304.409.0010.8%
1xBet1.303.9811.310.9%
Bet3651.443.906.2511.1%
Betano1.363.908.2511.3%
Marathonbet1.284.0510.312.6%
Best of all books1.444.4011.31.0%
Average1.334.109.1510.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

APRGasogi United
Last 10#12Table position#153.00Points per game0.869Form pts · last 533.0Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 51.467Attack rating3378Defence rating2267Form rating3385H2H rating1566Goals model3475Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 02:50 UTC

APR

6W 0D 4L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

31 OctAEtincelles2-0W
24 OctAZamalek SC0-1L
16 OctHZamalek SC0-1L
16 SepHMarines4-2W
11 SepHJSK3-0W
6 SepAJSK0-1L
30 JulHVipers2-1W
27 JulAAl-Haras Al-Jumhuri3-1W
24 JulHGOR Mahia0-5L
31 MayHGicumbi2-0W

Gasogi United

1W 3D 6L · goals 7:15 · per match 0.7 for, 1.5 against

31 OctHAl Hilal Omdurman0-2L
25 OctAMarines2-2D
21 OctHGorilla0-0D
18 OctHBugesera0-2L
14 OctASunrise1-1D
11 OctAMusanze1-0W
6 SepAMukura0-2L
28 MayHPolice0-1L
17 MayAMusanze2-3L
13 MayAAl Hilal Omdurman1-2L

Head to head

6APR wins
5draws
0Gasogi United wins

11 meetings · goals 14:3 · last 10: 5W 5D 0L for APR

4 Feb 2026National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United0-3APR
20 Dec 2025National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueAPR2-0Gasogi United
14 Mar 2025National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United0-0APR
20 Oct 2024National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueAPR1-0Gasogi United
28 Apr 2024National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United1-1APR
5 Dec 2023National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueAPR0-0Gasogi United
15 Apr 2023National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueAPR0-0Gasogi United
2 Dec 2022National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United0-0APR
5 Mar 2022National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueAPR2-0Gasogi United
26 Dec 2021National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United0-2APR

National Soccer League tableRegular Seasonupdated 3 Nov 16:00 UTC

In the National Soccer League table, APR sit 12th with 6 points from 2 games, while Gasogi United are 15th with 6 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gorilla73315:3+212
2Marines732214:8+611
3Mukura63217:4+311
4Gicumbi63125:4+110
5Musanze63036:609
6Sunrise71514:7-38
7Rayon Sports42116:3+37
8Amagaju72149:8+17
9Kiyovu Sports52123:2+17
10Police72143:6-37
11Etincelles62132:8-67
12APR22006:2+46
13Bugesera42024:2+26
14Al Hilal Omdurman32014:3+16
15Gasogi United71334:9-56
16Al Merreikh31202:1+15
17Etoile de l'Est60424:7-34
18AS Kigali51131:6-54

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.32X22%4.16210%9.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Nov 02:503 Nov 15:401 1.32X 4.162 9.14
11.40 → 1.32 -5.7%X3.93 → 4.16 +5.9%27.02 → 9.14 +30.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.101.706.4%
Pinnacle1.941.787.7%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
1xBet1.941.749.0%
Marathonbet1.941.749.0%
Betano1.951.7010.1%
Best of all books2.101.783.8%
Average1.971.748.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.251.578.1%
1xBet2.471.469.0%
William Hill2.501.449.4%
Marathonbet2.501.439.9%
Best of all books2.501.573.7%
Average2.431.488.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

APR 50%Draw 50%Gasogi United 0%

The statistical model rates APR at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Gasogi United at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.32 | 4.16 | 9.14, which imply roughly 75.8% for a APR win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the National Soccer League table: APR are 12th (6 pts, 6-2 goals), Gasogi United 15th (6 pts, 4-9).

Over their last five matches, APR averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Gasogi United averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : APR and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.334.109.15

Double chance

1XX212
1.052.901.17

Draw no bet

12
1.125.20

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.431.48

1st half

1X2
1.862.188.58

2nd half

1X2
1.622.648.25

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0117.575.5
HT X3.745.7015.1
HT 223.319.514.5

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.327.504.47

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.75
1.51.303.08
2.51.971.73
3.53.291.26
4.56.751.08
5.513.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.066.03
1.251.183.92
1.751.372.70
21.472.36
2.251.711.97
2.752.171.57
32.611.39
3.252.911.32
3.753.871.18
45.201.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.651.38
-1.752.191.56
-1.51.951.71
-1.251.741.95
-11.532.28
-0.751.362.72
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.051.06
-35.401.09
-2.53.201.26
-2.252.981.30
-0.251.164.13
01.027.70
+0.251.066.25

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
91.821.98
9.52.001.74

Latest National Soccer League results

3 NovAS Kigali 0-0 Mukura
1 NovMarines 1-2 Rayon Sports
28 OctRayon Sports 3-0 Musanze
28 OctMarines 3-0 Al Hilal Omdurman
25 OctMarines 2-2 Gasogi United
25 OctMukura 1-0 Gicumbi