AS Kigali vs Mukura• National Soccer League, Rwanda

#170.2:1.20-0FTToday1.0:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.80B365X3.00BFR22.55B365Margin at best8.3%Books7Markets37Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.75	2.95	2.55	9.5%
Bet365	2.80	2.80	2.55	10.6%
Betano	2.72	2.90	2.52	10.9%
1xBet	2.80	2.95	2.41	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.80	2.95	2.41	11.1%
Betfair	2.80	2.90	2.40	11.9%
William Hill	2.80	2.75	2.45	12.9%
Best of all books	2.80	2.95	2.55	8.8%
Average	2.78	2.89	2.47	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AS KigaliMukura

Last 10#17Table position#10.83Points per game1.714Form pts · last 580.2Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 50.817Attack rating8340Defence rating6033Form rating6736H2H rating6423Goals model7730Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 09:40 UTC

AS Kigali

3W 1D 6L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

30 Oct	A	Kiyovu Sports	0-2	L
9 Oct	H	Gicumbi	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Al Hilal Omdurman	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Etoile de l'Est	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Marines	0-2	L
30 May	H	Musanze	2-1	W
22 May	A	Rutsiro	1-2	L
15 May	H	Gicumbi	2-1	W
10 May	A	APR	1-2	L
6 May	A	Gorilla	1-2	L

Mukura

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

31 Oct	A	Al Merreikh	1-1	D
25 Oct	H	Gicumbi	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	Etoile de l'Est	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Amagaju	2-1	W
17 Sep	H	Police	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Gasogi United	2-0	W
30 May	H	Amagaju	0-0	D
24 May	A	Gicumbi	2-3	L
16 May	H	Bugesera	2-2	D
9 May	H	Gorilla	2-1	W

Head to head

4AS Kigali wins

8draws

3Mukura wins

15 meetings · goals 15:15 · last 10: 3W 6D 1L for AS Kigali

3 Apr 2026National Soccer League	National Soccer League	AS Kigali1-1Mukura
25 Oct 2025National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura2-0AS Kigali
26 Apr 2025National Soccer League	National Soccer League	AS Kigali1-1Mukura
3 Nov 2024National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura0-0AS Kigali
21 Apr 2024National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura0-0AS Kigali
3 Dec 2023National Soccer League	National Soccer League	AS Kigali1-1Mukura
1 Apr 2023National Soccer League	National Soccer League	AS Kigali1-0Mukura
26 Oct 2022National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura0-1AS Kigali
7 May 2022National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura2-2AS Kigali
30 Dec 2021National Soccer League	National Soccer League	AS Kigali2-1Mukura

National Soccer League tableRegular Seasonupdated 3 Nov 18:00 UTC

In the National Soccer League table, AS Kigali sit 17th with 5 points from 6 games, while Mukura are 1st with 12 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Mukura	7	3	3	1	7:4	+3	12
2	Gorilla	7	3	3	1	5:3	+2	12
3	Marines	7	3	2	2	14:8	+6	11
4	Gicumbi	6	3	1	2	5:4	+1	10
5	Musanze	6	3	0	3	6:6	0	9
6	Sunrise	7	1	5	1	4:7	-3	8
7	Rayon Sports	4	2	1	1	6:3	+3	7
8	Amagaju	7	2	1	4	9:8	+1	7
9	Kiyovu Sports	5	2	1	2	3:2	+1	7
10	Police	7	2	1	4	3:6	-3	7
11	Etincelles	6	2	1	3	2:8	-6	7
12	APR	2	2	0	0	6:2	+4	6
13	Bugesera	4	2	0	2	4:2	+2	6
14	Al Hilal Omdurman	3	2	0	1	4:3	+1	6
15	Gasogi United	7	1	3	3	4:9	-5	6
16	Al Merreikh	3	1	2	0	2:1	+1	5
17	AS Kigali	6	1	2	3	1:6	-5	5
18	Etoile de l'Est	6	0	4	2	4:7	-3	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.78X31%2.89236%2.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
Pinnacle	2.51	1.44	9.3%
1xBet	2.42	1.44	10.8%
Marathonbet	2.42	1.44	10.8%
Best of all books	2.51	1.50	6.5%
Average	2.45	1.46	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	2.03	1.67	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.03	1.65	9.9%
William Hill	2.00	1.67	9.9%
Best of all books	2.03	1.73	7.1%
Average	2.01	1.68	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AS Kigali 0%Draw 50%Mukura 50%

The statistical model rated AS Kigali at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Mukura at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.78 | 2.89 | 2.47, which imply roughly 34.6% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the National Soccer League table: AS Kigali are 17th (5 pts, 1-6 goals), Mukura 1st (12 pts, 7-4).

Over their last five matches, AS Kigali averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Mukura averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mukura and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.78	2.89	2.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.34	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.90	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.01	1.68

1st half

1	X	2
3.59	1.89	3.21

2nd half

1	X	2
3.28	2.13	2.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.54	13.8	30.3
HT X	5.95	4.15	5.63
HT 2	34.0	14.5	4.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.29	5.83	1.97

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.60
1.5	1.47	2.44
2.5	2.45	1.46
3.5	4.70	1.13
4.5	10.5	1.03
5.5	29.0	1.01

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.55
1	1.11	4.90
1.25	1.29	3.05
1.75	1.60	2.12
2	1.84	1.81
2.25	2.16	1.59
2.75	2.92	1.32
3	3.88	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.78	1.36
-0.25	2.36	1.48
0	1.98	1.74
+0.25	1.68	2.05
+0.5	1.46	2.43
+0.75	1.31	2.94

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.25	1.06
-1	5.25	1.09
-0.75	3.44	1.23
+1	1.15	4.20
+1.25	1.12	4.70
+1.5	1.10	5.15

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.78	2.02
9.5	2.00	1.74

Latest National Soccer League results

1 Nov	Marines 1-2 Rayon Sports
28 Oct	Rayon Sports 3-0 Musanze
28 Oct	Marines 3-0 Al Hilal Omdurman
25 Oct	Marines 2-2 Gasogi United
25 Oct	Mukura 1-0 Gicumbi
21 Oct	Gasogi United 0-0 Gorilla