Mukura vs Gicumbi• National Soccer League, Rwanda

#21.3:0.81-0FT25/101.3:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05BTNX3.05DAF23.70WHMargin at best8.6%Books8Markets41Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 11:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.00	3.05	3.65	10.2%
Betano	2.05	2.92	3.60	10.8%
1xBet	1.97	3.02	3.70	10.9%
Betfair	2.00	2.90	3.70	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.95	3.02	3.60	12.2%
Bet365	2.00	2.90	3.60	12.3%
William Hill	2.00	2.80	3.70	12.7%
BetVictor	1.91	2.70	3.25	20.2%
Best of all books	2.05	3.05	3.70	8.6%
Average	1.98	2.91	3.60	12.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MukuraGicumbi

Last 10#2Table position#32.00Points per game1.808Form pts · last 591.3Goals for · last 51.30.8Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5050Defence rating5044Form rating5671H2H rating2954Goals model4656Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 11:30 UTC

Mukura

3W 4D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	A	Etoile de l'Est	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Amagaju	2-1	W
17 Sep	H	Police	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Gasogi United	2-0	W
30 May	H	Amagaju	0-0	D
24 May	A	Gicumbi	2-3	L
16 May	H	Bugesera	2-2	D
9 May	H	Gorilla	2-1	W
6 May	H	Police	0-0	D
3 May	H	Rutsiro	1-2	L

Gicumbi

5W 0D 5L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

9 Oct	A	AS Kigali	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	Etoile de l'Est	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Amagaju	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	Police	2-1	W
31 May	A	APR	0-2	L
24 May	H	Mukura	3-2	W
15 May	A	AS Kigali	1-2	L
9 May	H	Bugesera	2-1	W
5 May	A	Gasogi United	1-3	L
2 May	H	Al Merreikh	0-3	L

Head to head

4Mukura wins

3draws

1Gicumbi wins

8 meetings · goals 14:7 · last 8: 4W 3D 1L for Mukura

24 May 2026National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Gicumbi3-2Mukura
14 Dec 2025National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura2-0Gicumbi
23 May 2022National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura1-0Gicumbi
20 Jan 2022National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Gicumbi1-1Mukura
9 Feb 2020National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura3-0Gicumbi
20 Oct 2019National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Gicumbi1-3Mukura
1 Jun 2019National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura1-1Gicumbi
7 Feb 2019National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Gicumbi1-1Mukura

National Soccer League tableRegular Seasonupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

In the National Soccer League table, Mukura sit 2nd with 10 points from 5 games, while Gicumbi are 3rd with 9 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gorilla	6	3	2	1	4:2	+2	11
2	Mukura	5	3	1	1	6:3	+3	10
3	Gicumbi	5	3	0	2	5:4	+1	9
4	Marines	5	2	2	1	10:6	+4	8
5	Amagaju	6	2	1	3	8:5	+3	7
6	Sunrise	6	1	4	1	4:7	-3	7
7	Etincelles	5	2	1	2	2:6	-4	7
8	Bugesera	3	2	0	1	4:1	+3	6
9	Musanze	4	2	0	2	3:2	+1	6
10	Gasogi United	6	1	3	2	4:7	-3	6
11	Kiyovu Sports	4	1	1	2	1:2	-1	4
12	Police	5	1	1	3	2:5	-3	4
13	AS Kigali	4	1	1	2	1:4	-3	4
14	APR	1	1	0	0	4:2	+2	3
15	Al Hilal Omdurman	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
16	Etoile de l'Est	5	0	3	2	3:6	-3	3
17	Al Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
18	Rayon Sports	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%1.99X31%2.91225%3.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	2.59	1.43	8.5%
1xBet	2.44	1.47	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.44	1.47	9.0%
Best of all books	2.59	1.50	5.3%
Average	2.49	1.47	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.09	1.63	9.2%
William Hill	2.10	1.62	9.3%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.61	10.0%
BetVictor	1.87	1.50	20.1%
Best of all books	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Average	2.05	1.60	11.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mukura 45%Draw 45%Gicumbi 10%

The statistical model rated Mukura at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gicumbi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.99 | 2.91 | 3.60, which imply roughly 50.3% for a Mukura win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National Soccer League table: Mukura are 2nd (10 pts, 6-3 goals), Gicumbi 3rd (9 pts, 5-4).

Over their last five matches, Mukura averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Gicumbi averaged 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mukura or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.99	2.91	3.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.65	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.41	2.41

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.05	1.60

1st half

1	X	2
2.70	1.88	4.41

2nd half

1	X	2
2.44	2.14	3.99

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.33	14.2	44.0
HT X	4.60	4.16	7.43
HT 2	29.0	15.8	6.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	6.50	2.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.00
1.5	1.46	2.32
2.5	2.49	1.47
3.5	4.85	1.11
4.5	11.0	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.45
1.25	1.28	3.13
1.75	1.61	2.13
2	1.82	1.77
2.25	2.17	1.58
2.75	2.99	1.31
3	3.98	1.17
3.25	4.45	1.14
4	8.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.15	1.28
-0.75	2.36	1.49
-0.5	2.02	1.70
-0.25	1.68	1.92
0	1.42	2.60
+0.25	1.29	3.06

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.75	1.02
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.5	4.15	1.16
-1.25	3.58	1.21
+0.5	1.24	3.53
+0.75	1.12	4.80
+1	1.01	8.30
+1.5	1.02	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.80	2.00
9.5	2.00	1.74

Next National Soccer League matches

27 Oct

Bugesera – APR

All National Soccer League fixtures and the table

Latest National Soccer League results

25 Oct	Marines 2-2 Gasogi United
21 Oct	Gasogi United 0-0 Gorilla
18 Oct	Gasogi United 0-2 Bugesera
11 Oct	Amagaju 1-2 Mukura
11 Oct	Musanze 0-1 Gasogi United
9 Oct	Gorilla 1-0 Rayon Sports