Zaqatala vs 
Səbail• Birinci Dasta, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 08:38 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 13.0 | 5.60 | 1.19 | 9.6% |
| William Hill | 15.0 | 6.00 | 1.15 | 10.3% |
| Betano | 11.3 | 5.40 | 1.20 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 11.0 | 5.25 | 1.20 | 11.5% |
| Marathonbet | 16.3 | 5.30 | 1.15 | 12.0% |
| 1xBet | 16.0 | 5.30 | 1.15 | 12.1% |
| Betfair | 14.0 | 6.00 | 1.13 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 16.3 | 6.00 | 1.20 | 6.2% |
| Average | 13.8 | 5.55 | 1.17 | 11.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 05:30 UTC
Zaqatala
2W 1D 7L · goals 9:29 · per match 0.9 for, 2.9 against
| 15 Oct | H | Səbail | 1-3 | L |
| 7 Oct | A | Şahdağ | 0-6 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Karvan | 0-3 | L |
| 10 Sep | H | Baku Sportinq | 3-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | A | Mingəçevir | 2-2 | D |
| 22 May | H | Safa Baku | 2-1 | W |
| 15 May | A | Baku Sportinq | 0-3 | L |
| 6 May | H | Səbail | 0-3 | L |
| 29 Apr | A | Mingəçevir | 1-7 | L |
| 22 Apr | H | Şahdağ | 0-1 | L |
Səbail
6W 3D 1L · goals 22:8 · per match 2.2 for, 0.8 against
| 15 Oct | A | Zaqatala | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Oct | H | Karvan | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Sep | A | Baku Sportinq | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | H | Mingəçevir | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Sep | A | Xankəndi FK | 1-1 | D |
| 22 May | A | Mingəçevir | 1-4 | L |
| 15 May | H | Şahdağ | 0-0 | D |
| 6 May | A | Zaqatala | 3-0 | W |
| 30 Apr | H | Cəbrayıl | 6-0 | W |
| 23 Apr | A | Difai Ağsu | 4-0 | W |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 6:13 · last 7: 1W 1D 5L for Zaqatala
| 6 May 2026Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Zaqatala0-3Səbail |
| 5 Feb 2026Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Zaqatala0-1Səbail |
| 15 Oct 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Səbail1-0Zaqatala |
| 10 Dec 2021Cup | Cup | Zaqatala1-3Səbail |
| 24 Jan 2021Cup | Cup | Səbail3-2Zaqatala |
| 14 Apr 2017Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Zaqatala1-1Səbail |
| 12 Nov 2016Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Səbail1-2Zaqatala |
Birinci Dasta tableBirinci Dastaupdated 21 Oct 14:50 UTC
In the Birinci Dasta table, Zaqatala sit 8th with 4 points from 5 games, while Səbail are 3rd with 11 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Səbail | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | MOIK | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Karvan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Zaqatala | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
| 9 | Mingəçevir | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 2.20 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 2.20 | 9.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 2.22 | 10.0% |
| Betano | 1.57 | 2.15 | 10.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.25 | 3.3% |
| Average | 1.59 | 2.19 | 8.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.60 | 1.44 | 7.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.41 | 1.48 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.41 | 1.46 | 10.0% |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 1.44 | 10.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.60 | 1.48 | 6.0% |
| Average | 2.47 | 1.46 | 9.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Zaqatala at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Səbail at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 13.79 | 5.55 | 1.17, which imply roughly 18% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Birinci Dasta table: Zaqatala are 8th (4 pts, 6-14 goals), Səbail 3rd (11 pts, 8-4).
Over their last five matches, Zaqatala averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Səbail averaged 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Səbail.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 13.8 | 5.55 | 1.17 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.13 | 1.02 | 1.09 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 7.40 | 1.06 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.47 | 1.46 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 11.2 | 2.53 | 1.59 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 10.8 | 3.24 | 1.39 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 24.8 | 25.5 | 22.0 |
| HT X | 25.0 | 8.60 | 3.78 |
| HT 2 | 93.0 | 22.8 | 1.63 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.05 | 11.5 | 1.21 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 13.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.15 | 4.37 |
| 2.5 | 1.59 | 2.19 |
| 3.5 | 2.39 | 1.47 |
| 4.5 | 4.40 | 1.16 |
| 5.5 | 8.00 | 1.06 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 3.78 |
| 2 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 2.25 | 1.40 | 2.58 |
| 2.75 | 1.69 | 1.98 |
| 3 | 1.89 | 1.75 |
| 3.25 | 2.12 | 1.60 |
| 3.75 | 2.72 | 1.36 |
| 4 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +1.25 | 2.44 | 1.52 |
| +1.5 | 2.22 | 1.53 |
| +1.75 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
| +2 | 1.78 | 1.88 |
| +2.25 | 1.60 | 2.10 |
| +2.5 | 1.49 | 2.32 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.45 | 1.04 |
| +0.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| +1 | 2.66 | 1.50 |
| +2.75 | 1.36 | 2.70 |
| +3 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| +3.25 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| +3.5 | 1.18 | 3.92 |
| +4 | 1.05 | 6.55 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 1.81 | 1.92 |
Next Birinci Dasta matches
| 22 Oct | MOIK – Karvan |
| 22 Oct | Cəbrayıl – Zaqatala |
| 22 Oct | Şimal – Baku Sportinq |
Latest Birinci Dasta results
| 21 Oct | Xankəndi FK 0-1 Mingəçevir |
| 21 Oct | Şahdağ 1-0 Səbail |
| 16 Oct | Baku Sportinq 1-3 MOIK |
| 16 Oct | Karvan 2-1 Cəbrayıl |
| 15 Oct | Mingəçevir 1-4 Şimal |
| 15 Oct | Xankəndi FK 1-0 Şahdağ |