Mingəçevir vs 
Şimal• Birinci Dasta, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 08:38 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.70 | 1.91 | 9.7% |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.55 | 1.91 | 9.9% |
| 1xBet | 3.47 | 3.46 | 1.88 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.05 | 11.1% |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 3.46 | 1.86 | 12.3% |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 12.5% |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 13.0% |
| Best of all books | 3.47 | 3.75 | 1.91 | 7.8% |
| Average | 3.17 | 3.55 | 2.05 | 8.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 09:30 UTC
Mingəçevir
3W 1D 6L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against
| 15 Oct | H | Şimal | 1-4 | L |
| 9 Oct | A | MOIK | 0-3 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Cəbrayıl | 0-3 | L |
| 10 Sep | A | Səbail | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Zaqatala | 2-2 | D |
| 28 May | A | Qabala | 0-2 | L |
| 22 May | H | Səbail | 4-1 | W |
| 15 May | H | MOIK | 3-1 | W |
| 5 May | A | Şahdağ | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Apr | H | Zaqatala | 7-1 | W |
Şimal
3W 4D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against
| 15 Oct | A | Mingəçevir | 4-1 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Xankəndi FK | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Sep | H | Şahdağ | 1-4 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | MOIK | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Sep | H | Cəbrayıl | 1-2 | L |
| 27 May | H | Qaradağ Lökbatan | 2-1 | W |
| 21 May | A | Cəbrayıl | 3-2 | W |
| 14 May | H | Difai Ağsu | 0-1 | L |
| 6 May | H | MOIK | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Apr | A | Safa Baku | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
3 meetings · goals 9:1 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Mingəçevir
| 9 Apr 2026Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Şimal0-3Mingəçevir |
| 7 Feb 2026Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Şimal0-3Mingəçevir |
| 16 Oct 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Mingəçevir3-1Şimal |
Birinci Dasta tableBirinci Dastaupdated 21 Oct 14:50 UTC
In the Birinci Dasta table, Mingəçevir sit 9th with 1 points from 5 games, while Şimal are 6th with 5 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Səbail | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | MOIK | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Karvan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Zaqatala | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
| 9 | Mingəçevir | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 6.2% |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 2.17 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 2.17 | 9.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 2.17 | 9.4% |
| Betano | 1.60 | 2.12 | 9.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 2.25 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.59 | 2.19 | 8.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 2.30 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.52 | 2.32 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 2.27 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.40 | 7.0% |
| Average | 1.52 | 2.32 | 9.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Mingəçevir at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Şimal at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.17 | 3.55 | 2.05, which imply roughly 31.5% for a Mingəçevir win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Birinci Dasta table: Mingəçevir are 9th (1 pts, 4-14 goals), Şimal 6th (5 pts, 8-9).
Over their last five matches, Mingəçevir averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game; Şimal averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Mingəçevir or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.17 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | 1.33 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.85 | 1.96 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.52 | 2.32 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | 2.30 | 2.53 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.21 | 2.61 | 2.47 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.88 | 14.1 | 22.5 |
| HT X | 7.30 | 6.25 | 5.75 |
| HT 2 | 27.0 | 13.4 | 3.47 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | 14.9 | 1.72 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.15 | 4.40 |
| 2.5 | 1.59 | 2.19 |
| 3.5 | 2.45 | 1.45 |
| 4.5 | 4.40 | 1.15 |
| 5.5 | 8.25 | 1.06 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 3.80 |
| 2 | 1.24 | 3.35 |
| 2.25 | 1.41 | 2.57 |
| 2.75 | 1.73 | 1.95 |
| 3 | 1.94 | 1.72 |
| 3.25 | 2.19 | 1.56 |
| 3.75 | 2.83 | 1.34 |
| 4 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.09 | 1.67 |
| -0.25 | 2.63 | 1.49 |
| +0.25 | 2.02 | 1.70 |
| +0.5 | 1.91 | 1.85 |
| +0.75 | 1.61 | 2.10 |
| +1 | 1.41 | 2.54 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5.30 | 1.11 |
| -2 | 4.40 | 1.16 |
| -1.5 | 6.75 | 1.04 |
| -1 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| -0.75 | 3.24 | 1.39 |
| 0 | 2.56 | 1.42 |
| +1.25 | 1.33 | 2.85 |
| +1.5 | 1.26 | 3.20 |
| +2 | 1.08 | 5.45 |
| +2.5 | 1.06 | 6.15 |
Next Birinci Dasta matches
| 22 Oct | MOIK – Karvan |
| 22 Oct | Cəbrayıl – Zaqatala |
| 22 Oct | Şimal – Baku Sportinq |
Latest Birinci Dasta results
| 21 Oct | Xankəndi FK 0-1 Mingəçevir |
| 21 Oct | Şahdağ 1-0 Səbail |
| 16 Oct | Baku Sportinq 1-3 MOIK |
| 16 Oct | Karvan 2-1 Cəbrayıl |
| 15 Oct | Xankəndi FK 1-0 Şahdağ |
| 15 Oct | Zaqatala 1-3 Səbail |