MOIK vs 
Mingəçevir• Birinci Dasta, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 06:10 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.37 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 10.0% |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 10.4% |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.05 | 11.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 11.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.38 | 2.67 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.37 | 3.50 | 3.05 | 3.6% |
| Average | 2.22 | 3.46 | 2.73 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 05:30 UTC
MOIK
4W 2D 4L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against
| 16 Oct | A | Baku Sportinq | 3-1 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Mingəçevir | 3-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Xankəndi FK | 2-0 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Şimal | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Sep | H | Şahdağ | 0-1 | L |
| 21 May | H | Difai Ağsu | 4-0 | W |
| 15 May | A | Mingəçevir | 1-3 | L |
| 6 May | A | Şimal | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Apr | H | Şahdağ | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Apr | A | Safa Baku | 0-3 | L |
Mingəçevir
3W 1D 6L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against
| 15 Oct | H | Şimal | 1-4 | L |
| 9 Oct | A | MOIK | 0-3 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Cəbrayıl | 0-3 | L |
| 10 Sep | A | Səbail | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Zaqatala | 2-2 | D |
| 28 May | A | Qabala | 0-2 | L |
| 22 May | H | Səbail | 4-1 | W |
| 15 May | H | MOIK | 3-1 | W |
| 5 May | A | Şahdağ | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Apr | H | Zaqatala | 7-1 | W |
Head to head
23 meetings · goals 44:27 · last 10: 4W 0D 6L for MOIK
| 15 May 2026Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Mingəçevir3-1MOIK |
| 25 Feb 2026Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Mingəçevir2-0MOIK |
| 20 Nov 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | MOIK0-3Mingəçevir |
| 16 May 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | MOIK1-3Mingəçevir |
| 14 Mar 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Mingəçevir1-0MOIK |
| 13 Sep 2024Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | MOIK1-2Mingəçevir |
| 17 Apr 2024Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | MOIK3-1Mingəçevir |
| 14 Feb 2024Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Mingəçevir0-1MOIK |
| 26 Oct 2023Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | MOIK3-0Mingəçevir |
| 4 May 2023Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Mingəçevir0-2MOIK |
Birinci Dasta tableBirinci Dastaupdated 21 Oct 14:50 UTC
In the Birinci Dasta table, MOIK sit 4th with 10 points from 5 games, while Mingəçevir are 9th with 1 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Səbail | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | MOIK | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Karvan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Zaqatala | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
| 9 | Mingəçevir | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 1.93 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.72 | 1.91 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.75 | 1.96 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.62 | 2.20 | 7.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 2.11 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 2.20 | 7.2% |
| Average | 1.61 | 2.16 | 8.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated MOIK at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Mingəçevir at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.57 | 3.63, which imply roughly 54.9% for a MOIK win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Birinci Dasta table: MOIK are 4th (10 pts, 9-3 goals), Mingəçevir 9th (1 pts, 4-14).
Over their last five matches, MOIK averaged 1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Mingəçevir averaged 1 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : MOIK or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.22 | 3.46 | 2.73 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 1.54 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.67 | 2.05 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.61 | 2.16 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | 2.19 | 3.29 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | 12.3 | 2.04 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 12.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.21 | 3.91 |
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 1.96 |
| 3.5 | 2.88 | 1.36 |
| 4.5 | 5.78 | 1.11 |
| 5.5 | 11.0 | 1.04 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
| 1.75 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| 2 | 1.32 | 2.88 |
| 2.25 | 1.52 | 2.24 |
| 2.75 | 1.92 | 1.71 |
| 3 | 2.28 | 1.50 |
| 3.25 | 2.59 | 1.39 |
| 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| 4 | 4.80 | 1.12 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.62 | 1.38 |
| -0.5 | 2.05 | 1.60 |
| -0.25 | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| 0 | 1.82 | 1.93 |
| +0.25 | 1.58 | 2.24 |
| +0.75 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 4.50 | 1.13 |
| -1.25 | 4.05 | 1.16 |
| -1 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| +1 | 1.11 | 4.80 |
| +1.5 | 1.07 | 5.80 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.82 | 1.96 |
Next Birinci Dasta matches
| 22 Oct | MOIK – Karvan |
| 22 Oct | Cəbrayıl – Zaqatala |
| 22 Oct | Şimal – Baku Sportinq |
Latest Birinci Dasta results
| 21 Oct | Xankəndi FK 0-1 Mingəçevir |
| 21 Oct | Şahdağ 1-0 Səbail |
| 16 Oct | Baku Sportinq 1-3 MOIK |
| 16 Oct | Karvan 2-1 Cəbrayıl |
| 15 Oct | Mingəçevir 1-4 Şimal |
| 15 Oct | Xankəndi FK 1-0 Şahdağ |