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Marchamalo vs Villarrubia• Tercera División RFEF - Group 18, Spain

#151.2:2.21-3FTToday1.8:0.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45WHX3.10B36522.85BTNMargin at best8.2%Books8Markets36Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.453.052.858.7%
Pinnacle2.452.962.849.8%
Dafabet2.403.052.8010.2%
Bet3652.353.102.7011.8%
1xBet2.363.042.7112.2%
Marathonbet2.363.042.7112.2%
William Hill2.452.802.8012.2%
SBO2.242.862.5918.2%
Best of all books2.453.102.858.2%
Average2.382.992.7511.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MarchamaloVillarrubia
Last 10#15Table position#71.09Points per game1.454Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.82.2Goals against · last 50.840Attack rating6027Defence rating7329Form rating7129H2H rating7159Goals model4138Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 16:30 UTC

Marchamalo

3W 3D 4L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

8 NovAToledo0-2L
31 OctHQuintanar del Rey3-3D
25 OctASan Clemente1-3L
17 OctHSocuéllamos1-0W
10 OctAAlmansa1-3L
3 OctHTarancón2-2D
27 SepAManchego2-3L
20 SepHGuadalajara II2-2D
13 SepAHuracán Balazote2-0W
5 SepHCD Villa2-0W

Villarrubia

3W 4D 3L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

8 NovAQuintanar del Rey2-1W
1 NovHSocuéllamos1-0W
24 OctATarancón1-1D
18 OctHGuadalajara II4-0W
11 OctACD Villa1-2L
4 OctHTorrijos1-1D
27 SepAIllescas0-2L
19 SepHVillarrobledo0-4L
12 SepAToledo1-1D
5 SepHSan Clemente1-1D

Head to head

2Marchamalo wins
2draws
4Villarrubia wins

8 meetings · goals 8:10 · last 8: 2W 2D 4L for Marchamalo

25 Apr 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Villarrubia2-2Marchamalo
13 Dec 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Marchamalo0-2Villarrubia
8 Feb 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Villarrubia0-2Marchamalo
28 Sep 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Marchamalo0-1Villarrubia
11 Feb 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Marchamalo1-2Villarrubia
23 Sep 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Villarrubia1-0Marchamalo
4 Feb 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Villarrubia1-1Marchamalo
2 Oct 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Marchamalo2-1Villarrubia

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 tableTercera: Group 18updated 14 Nov 20:40 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table, Marchamalo sit 15th with 12 points from 11 games, while Villarrubia are 7th with 16 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchego1190220:9+1127
2Toledo1071222:10+1222
3Villacañas1053219:10+918
4CD Villa1160516:15+118
5Villarrobledo1045111:5+617
6Illescas1052313:12+117
7Villarrubia1144315:14+116
8Tarancón1043316:13+315
9San Clemente1043318:17+115
10Noblejas1042416:17-114
11Torrijos1042411:12-114
12Socuéllamos113448:9-113
13Almansa1033413:11+212
14La Solana114079:12-312
15Marchamalo1133517:21-412
16Huracán Balazote102179:23-147
17Quintanar del Rey1013612:20-86
18Guadalajara II100379:24-153

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.38X30%2.99233%2.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Nov 16:3014 Nov 12:501 2.38X 2.992 2.75
12.37 → 2.38 +0.4%X3.05 → 2.99 -2.0%22.79 → 2.75 -1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.251.626.2%
Pinnacle2.131.667.2%
Betano2.201.579.1%
1xBet2.181.589.2%
Marathonbet2.181.589.2%
Best of all books2.251.664.7%
Average2.191.608.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.801.917.9%
Betano1.911.788.5%
1xBet1.871.809.0%
Marathonbet1.871.7710.0%
Best of all books1.911.914.7%
Average1.861.818.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Marchamalo 10%Draw 45%Villarrubia 45%

The statistical model rated Marchamalo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Villarrubia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 2.99 | 2.75, which imply roughly 33.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table: Marchamalo are 15th (12 pts, 17-21 goals), Villarrubia 7th (16 pts, 15-14).

Over their last five matches, Marchamalo averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Villarrubia averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Villarrubia.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.382.992.75

Double chance

1XX212
1.331.461.29

Draw no bet

12
1.722.00

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.861.82

1st half

1X2
3.041.983.44

2nd half

1X2
2.792.253.15

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.9414.633.9
HT X5.534.496.32
HT 230.514.94.56

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.947.802.15

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.076.57
1.51.372.77
2.52.191.60
3.54.031.18
4.57.251.07
5.519.01.02
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.056.50
1.251.203.68
1.751.452.46
21.632.10
2.251.881.81
2.752.521.43
33.201.27
3.253.741.19
47.801.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.891.33
-0.52.401.50
-0.252.051.66
01.742.00
+0.251.502.34
+0.51.382.77
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.55.301.09
-1.254.751.12
-14.201.15
+0.751.243.42
+11.105.20
+1.51.066.35

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 matches

15 NovAlmansa – Torrijos
15 NovSan Clemente – Illescas
15 NovToledo – Villarrobledo

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 results

14 NovLa Solana 0-1 Socuéllamos
8 NovVillarrobledo 0-2 San Clemente
8 NovTarancón 0-2 La Solana
8 NovQuintanar del Rey 1-2 Villarrubia
8 NovToledo 2-0 Marchamalo
8 NovIllescas 1-0 Almansa