Almansa vs Torrijos• Tercera División RFEF - Group 18, Spain

#131.0:1.211:00Tomorrow1.0:2.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95BTNX3.40B36524.22PINMargin at best4.4%Books7Markets40Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 21:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.95	3.25	3.70	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.78	3.33	4.22	9.9%
Dafabet	1.90	3.25	3.75	10.1%
1xBet	1.79	3.30	4.05	10.9%
Bet365	1.83	3.40	3.60	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.77	3.30	3.94	12.2%
William Hill	1.75	3.30	4.00	12.4%
Best of all books	1.95	3.40	4.22	4.4%
Average	1.82	3.30	3.89	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlmansaTorrijos

Last 10#13Table position#111.20Points per game1.405Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5063Defence rating3863Form rating3850H2H rating5076Goals model2458Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 16:01 UTC

Almansa

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

8 Nov	A	Illescas	0-1	L
1 Nov	H	Villarrobledo	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Toledo	0-2	L
18 Oct	H	San Clemente	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Marchamalo	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Manchego	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Huracán Balazote	3-1	W
19 Sep	A	Villacañas	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	La Solana	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Noblejas	2-3	L

Torrijos

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

8 Nov	H	Manchego	1-4	L
31 Oct	A	Huracán Balazote	0-1	L
25 Oct	H	Villacañas	0-3	L
17 Oct	A	La Solana	0-2	L
11 Oct	H	Noblejas	4-0	W
4 Oct	A	Villarrubia	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Quintanar del Rey	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Socuéllamos	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Tarancón	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Guadalajara II	1-0	W

Head to head

1Almansa wins

1draws

1Torrijos wins

3 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Almansa

3 Apr 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Torrijos0-1Almansa
4 Dec 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Almansa0-2Torrijos
21 Dec 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Almansa2-2Torrijos

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 tableTercera: Group 18updated 14 Nov 20:40 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table, Almansa sit 13th with 12 points from 10 games, while Torrijos are 11th with 14 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Manchego	11	9	0	2	20:9	+11	27
2	Toledo	10	7	1	2	22:10	+12	22
3	Villacañas	10	5	3	2	19:10	+9	18
4	CD Villa	11	6	0	5	16:15	+1	18
5	Villarrobledo	10	4	5	1	11:5	+6	17
6	Illescas	10	5	2	3	13:12	+1	17
7	Villarrubia	11	4	4	3	15:14	+1	16
8	Tarancón	10	4	3	3	16:13	+3	15
9	San Clemente	10	4	3	3	18:17	+1	15
10	Noblejas	10	4	2	4	16:17	-1	14
11	Torrijos	10	4	2	4	11:12	-1	14
12	Socuéllamos	11	3	4	4	8:9	-1	13
13	Almansa	10	3	3	4	13:11	+2	12
14	La Solana	11	4	0	7	9:12	-3	12
15	Marchamalo	11	3	3	5	17:21	-4	12
16	Huracán Balazote	10	2	1	7	9:23	-14	7
17	Quintanar del Rey	10	1	3	6	12:20	-8	6
18	Guadalajara II	10	0	3	7	9:24	-15	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.82X27%3.30223%3.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.92	1.84	6.4%
Betano	1.98	1.75	7.6%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.98	1.85	4.6%
Average	1.92	1.80	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Betano	1.80	1.88	8.7%
1xBet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.88	10.0%
Best of all books	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Average	1.79	1.88	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Almansa 45%Draw 45%Torrijos 10%

The statistical model rates Almansa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Torrijos at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.30 | 3.89, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Almansa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table: Almansa are 13th (12 pts, 13-11 goals), Torrijos 11th (14 pts, 11-12).

Over their last five matches, Almansa averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Torrijos averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Almansa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.82	3.30	3.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.83	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.41	2.68

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.42	2.10	4.51

2nd half

1	X	2
2.19	2.42	4.05

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.91	15.8	38.3
HT X	4.75	5.07	8.43
HT 2	23.7	16.2	6.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.63	9.75	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.07
1.5	1.28	3.19
2.5	1.92	1.80
3.5	3.22	1.27
4.5	5.90	1.09
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.10
1.75	1.32	2.92
2	1.42	2.53
2.25	1.65	2.05
2.75	2.14	1.61
3	2.56	1.41
3.25	2.88	1.34
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	5.55	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.83	1.34
-1	2.48	1.44
-0.75	2.02	1.67
-0.5	1.86	1.90
-0.25	1.63	2.17
0	1.32	2.99

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.00	1.04
-2	6.05	1.06
-1.5	3.28	1.25
+0.25	1.24	3.43
+0.75	1.10	5.20
+1	1.01	8.50
+1.5	1.04	7.10

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 matches

15 Nov	San Clemente – Illescas
15 Nov	Toledo – Villarrobledo

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 results

14 Nov	Marchamalo 1-3 Villarrubia
14 Nov	La Solana 0-1 Socuéllamos
8 Nov	Villarrobledo 0-2 San Clemente
8 Nov	Tarancón 0-2 La Solana
8 Nov	Quintanar del Rey 1-2 Villarrubia
8 Nov	Toledo 2-0 Marchamalo