Toledo vs Villarrobledo• Tercera División RFEF - Group 18, Spain

#22.0:0.815:30Tomorrow0.6:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50BTNX4.05PIN27.361XBMargin at best4.9%Books6Markets46Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 21:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.50	3.80	6.40	8.6%
Pinnacle	1.41	4.05	7.01	9.9%
Dafabet	1.45	3.85	6.60	10.1%
1xBet	1.39	3.94	7.36	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.38	3.94	6.95	12.2%
William Hill	1.40	3.75	7.00	12.4%
Best of all books	1.50	4.05	7.36	4.9%
Average	1.42	3.89	6.89	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ToledoVillarrobledo

Last 10#2Table position#52.20Points per game1.7012Form pts · last 562.0Goals for · last 50.60.8Goals against · last 50.877Attack rating2350Defence rating5067Form rating3393H2H rating755Goals model4571Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 16:01 UTC

Toledo

7W 1D 2L · goals 22:10 · per match 2.2 for, 1.0 against

8 Nov	H	Marchamalo	2-0	W
31 Oct	A	San Clemente	3-2	W
25 Oct	H	Almansa	2-0	W
17 Oct	A	Manchego	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Huracán Balazote	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Villacañas	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	La Solana	4-0	W
19 Sep	A	Noblejas	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Villarrubia	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Quintanar del Rey	4-2	W

Villarrobledo

4W 5D 1L · goals 11:5 · per match 1.1 for, 0.5 against

8 Nov	H	San Clemente	0-2	L
1 Nov	A	Almansa	1-1	D
25 Oct	H	Manchego	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	Huracán Balazote	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Villacañas	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	La Solana	1-0	W
27 Sep	H	Noblejas	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Villarrubia	4-0	W
13 Sep	H	Quintanar del Rey	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Socuéllamos	0-0	D

Head to head

5Toledo wins

2draws

1Villarrobledo wins

8 meetings · goals 9:3 · last 8: 5W 2D 1L for Toledo

29 Mar 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Villarrobledo0-0Toledo
16 Nov 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Toledo3-1Villarrobledo
6 Apr 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Villarrobledo0-1Toledo
24 Nov 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Toledo1-0Villarrobledo
5 May 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Toledo1-0Villarrobledo
14 Jan 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Villarrobledo1-1Toledo
26 Feb 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Toledo2-0Villarrobledo
23 Oct 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Villarrobledo1-0Toledo

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 tableTercera: Group 18updated 14 Nov 20:40 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table, Toledo sit 2nd with 22 points from 10 games, while Villarrobledo are 5th with 17 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Manchego	11	9	0	2	20:9	+11	27
2	Toledo	10	7	1	2	22:10	+12	22
3	Villacañas	10	5	3	2	19:10	+9	18
4	CD Villa	11	6	0	5	16:15	+1	18
5	Villarrobledo	10	4	5	1	11:5	+6	17
6	Illescas	10	5	2	3	13:12	+1	17
7	Villarrubia	11	4	4	3	15:14	+1	16
8	Tarancón	10	4	3	3	16:13	+3	15
9	San Clemente	10	4	3	3	18:17	+1	15
10	Noblejas	10	4	2	4	16:17	-1	14
11	Torrijos	10	4	2	4	11:12	-1	14
12	Socuéllamos	11	3	4	4	8:9	-1	13
13	Almansa	10	3	3	4	13:11	+2	12
14	La Solana	11	4	0	7	9:12	-3	12
15	Marchamalo	11	3	3	5	17:21	-4	12
16	Huracán Balazote	10	2	1	7	9:23	-14	7
17	Quintanar del Rey	10	1	3	6	12:20	-8	6
18	Guadalajara II	10	0	3	7	9:24	-15	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.42X23%3.89213%6.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.52 → 1.42 -6.6%X3.65 → 3.89 +6.6%25.82 → 6.89 +18.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.00	1.78	6.2%
Betano	2.02	1.70	8.3%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.02	1.78	5.7%
Average	1.98	1.73	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.15	1.62	8.2%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
1xBet	2.16	1.59	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.16	1.57	10.0%
Best of all books	2.16	1.62	8.0%
Average	2.16	1.60	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Toledo 45%Draw 45%Villarrobledo 10%

The statistical model rates Toledo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Villarrobledo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 3.89 | 6.89, which imply roughly 70.4% for a Toledo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table: Toledo are 2nd (22 pts, 22-10 goals), Villarrobledo 5th (17 pts, 11-5).

Over their last five matches, Toledo averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Villarrobledo averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Toledo or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.42	3.89	6.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.50	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.16	1.60

1st half

1	X	2
1.98	2.15	6.95

2nd half

1	X	2
1.77	2.54	6.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.21	19.7	63.7
HT X	3.90	5.30	12.8
HT 2	25.0	20.8	11.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	8.30	3.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.33
1.5	1.30	3.00
2.5	1.99	1.73
3.5	3.40	1.24
4.5	6.35	1.09
5.5	15.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.37	2.72
2	1.49	2.36
2.25	1.73	1.94
2.75	2.26	1.55
3	2.74	1.36
3.25	3.08	1.29
4	5.95	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.63	1.39
-1.5	2.24	1.54
-1.25	1.96	1.72
-1	1.72	1.98
-0.75	1.50	2.33
-0.5	1.39	2.74

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.90	1.01
-3	8.10	1.02
-2.5	4.30	1.15
-2	3.44	1.24
-0.25	1.24	3.34
0	1.09	5.35
+0.25	1.07	5.95

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 matches

15 Nov	Almansa – Torrijos
15 Nov	San Clemente – Illescas

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 results

14 Nov	Marchamalo 1-3 Villarrubia
14 Nov	La Solana 0-1 Socuéllamos
8 Nov	Villarrobledo 0-2 San Clemente
8 Nov	Tarancón 0-2 La Solana
8 Nov	Quintanar del Rey 1-2 Villarrubia
8 Nov	Toledo 2-0 Marchamalo