Illescas vs Almansa• Tercera División RFEF - Group 18, Spain

#91.4:2.011:00Today1.0:1.2#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.73B365X3.52PIN24.831XBMargin at best6.9%Books7Markets43Rating55 · 46Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.72	3.45	4.60	8.9%
Dafabet	1.68	3.50	4.60	9.8%
Pinnacle	1.67	3.52	4.64	9.8%
1xBet	1.63	3.46	4.83	11.0%
William Hill	1.70	3.25	4.60	11.3%
Bet365	1.73	3.40	4.10	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.61	3.46	4.70	12.3%
Best of all books	1.73	3.52	4.83	6.9%
Average	1.68	3.43	4.58	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IllescasAlmansa

Last 10#9Table position#101.56Points per game1.336Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.258Attack rating4238Defence rating6355Form rating4540H2H rating6086Goals model1455Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:01 UTC

Illescas

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	A	Manchego	1-4	L
25 Oct	H	Huracán Balazote	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Villacañas	3-4	L
11 Oct	H	La Solana	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Noblejas	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Villarrubia	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Quintanar del Rey	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Socuéllamos	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Tarancón	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Pozuelo Alarcón	0-1	L

Almansa

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	H	Villarrobledo	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Toledo	0-2	L
18 Oct	H	San Clemente	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Marchamalo	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Manchego	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Huracán Balazote	3-1	W
19 Sep	A	Villacañas	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	La Solana	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Noblejas	2-3	L
1 May	A	Conquense	3-0	W

Head to head

3Illescas wins

0draws

3Almansa wins

6 meetings · goals 10:8 · last 6: 3W 0D 3L for Illescas

16 Jan 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Almansa0-2Illescas
19 Sep 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Illescas3-1Almansa
23 May 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Illescas0-1Almansa
18 Apr 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Almansa2-0Illescas
26 Jan 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Almansa4-3Illescas
8 Sep 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Illescas2-0Almansa

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 tableTercera: Group 18updated 8 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table, Illescas sit 9th with 14 points from 9 games, while Almansa are 10th with 12 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Manchego	9	7	0	2	14:7	+7	21
2	Toledo	9	6	1	2	20:10	+10	19
3	Villacañas	10	5	3	2	19:10	+9	18
4	Villarrobledo	9	4	5	0	11:3	+8	17
5	Tarancón	9	4	3	2	16:11	+5	15
6	CD Villa	9	5	0	4	10:12	-2	15
7	Torrijos	9	4	2	3	10:8	+2	14
8	Noblejas	9	4	2	3	16:15	+1	14
9	Illescas	9	4	2	3	12:12	0	14
10	Almansa	9	3	3	3	13:10	+3	12
11	Marchamalo	9	3	3	3	16:16	0	12
12	San Clemente	9	3	3	3	16:17	-1	12
13	Villarrubia	9	2	4	3	10:12	-2	10
14	La Solana	9	3	0	6	7:11	-4	9
15	Socuéllamos	9	1	4	4	5:9	-4	7
16	Huracán Balazote	9	2	1	6	8:18	-10	7
17	Quintanar del Rey	9	1	3	5	11:18	-7	6
18	Guadalajara II	10	0	3	7	9:24	-15	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.68X26%3.43220%4.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.70 → 1.68 -1.2%X3.45 → 3.43 -0.6%24.32 → 4.58 +6.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.90	1.85	6.7%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Average	1.92	1.80	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Betano	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.87	1.85	7.5%
Average	1.84	1.83	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Illescas 10%Draw 45%Almansa 45%

The statistical model rates Illescas at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Almansa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.43 | 4.58, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table: Illescas are 9th (14 pts, 12-12 goals), Almansa 10th (12 pts, 13-10).

Over their last five matches, Illescas averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Almansa averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Almansa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.43	4.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.00	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	2.12	5.01

2nd half

1	X	2
2.04	2.46	4.59

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.68	16.2	44.0
HT X	4.63	5.17	9.42
HT 2	23.3	16.5	7.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	9.88	2.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.88
1.5	1.27	3.19
2.5	1.92	1.80
3.5	3.20	1.27
4.5	5.95	1.10
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.32	2.95
2	1.41	2.55
2.25	1.65	2.06
2.75	2.12	1.61
3	2.56	1.42
3.25	2.88	1.33
3.75	3.98	1.17
4	5.50	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.34
-1.25	2.50	1.43
-1	2.19	1.59
-0.75	1.87	1.83
-0.5	1.68	2.09
-0.25	1.43	2.51

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.80	1.07
-2	4.95	1.11
-1.75	3.50	1.22
0	1.23	3.50
+0.25	1.16	4.10

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 matches

8 Nov

Villarrobledo – San Clemente

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 results

1 Nov	Villarrubia 1-0 Socuéllamos
1 Nov	Almansa 1-1 Villarrobledo
25 Oct	Torrijos 0-3 Villacañas
25 Oct	Toledo 2-0 Almansa
25 Oct	Illescas 0-1 Huracán Balazote
25 Oct	Socuéllamos 2-1 Quintanar del Rey