Caudal vs Llanes• Tercera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain

#31.0:0.616:30Today0.8:1.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.30B365X5.01PIN210.31XBMargin at best6.6%Books7Markets46Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.30	4.70	9.25	9.0%
William Hill	1.29	4.60	10.0	9.3%
Dafabet	1.26	5.00	9.80	9.6%
Pinnacle	1.27	5.01	8.92	9.9%
1xBet	1.25	4.70	10.3	11.0%
Bet365	1.30	4.50	8.00	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.24	4.70	9.70	12.2%
Best of all books	1.30	5.01	10.3	6.6%
Average	1.27	4.74	9.42	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CaudalLlanes

Last 10#3Table position#152.00Points per game0.789Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 50.80.6Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4463Defence rating3864Form rating3662H2H rating3882Goals model1864Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:02 UTC

Caudal

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	A	Langreo	1-0	W
25 Oct	H	Avilés Stadium	2-1	W
18 Oct	A	Lealtad	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Sporting Gijón II	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Praviano	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	L'Entregu	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Covadonga	0-4	L
13 Sep	H	Ceares	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Salamanca UDS	2-3	L
6 Sep	A	Astur	3-0	W

Llanes

1W 4D 5L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

1 Nov	H	Astur	1-0	W
24 Oct	A	Langreo	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	Andes	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Avilés Stadium	1-2	L
4 Oct	H	Condal	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Lealtad	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Gijón Industrial	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Sporting Gijón II	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Mosconia	1-5	L
29 Aug	H	Sporting Gijón II	0-1	L

Head to head

4Caudal wins

3draws

3Llanes wins

10 meetings · goals 15:13 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Caudal

22 Feb 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Caudal3-1Llanes
12 Oct 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Llanes1-2Caudal
10 Mar 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Caudal1-1Llanes
22 Oct 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Llanes1-0Caudal
16 Apr 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Caudal2-2Llanes
17 Dec 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Llanes2-0Caudal
13 Feb 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Llanes3-2Caudal
3 Oct 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Caudal1-1Llanes
9 Feb 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Caudal2-1Llanes
22 Sep 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Llanes0-2Caudal

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 tableTercera: Group 2updated 8 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table, Caudal sit 3rd with 18 points from 9 games, while Llanes are 15th with 7 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Covadonga	9	6	2	1	23:9	+14	20
2	Sporting Gijón II	9	6	2	1	16:8	+8	20
3	Caudal	9	5	3	1	12:8	+4	18
4	Lealtad	9	5	2	2	13:4	+9	17
5	Condal	9	4	5	0	12:4	+8	17
6	Gijón Industrial	10	5	2	3	16:11	+5	17
7	Mosconia	9	4	3	2	15:13	+2	15
8	San Martín	9	4	3	2	13:13	0	15
9	Praviano	10	4	2	4	21:15	+6	14
10	Siero	10	4	0	6	11:14	-3	12
11	Colunga	9	3	3	3	15:21	-6	12
12	Avilés Stadium	10	3	2	5	8:13	-5	11
13	Langreo	9	2	3	4	8:11	-3	9
14	Ceares	9	2	2	5	12:14	-2	8
15	Llanes	9	1	4	4	9:16	-7	7
16	Astur	9	0	5	4	9:15	-6	5
17	L'Entregu	9	1	2	6	5:17	-12	5
18	Andes	9	0	3	6	6:18	-12	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg171%1.27X19%4.74210%9.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.28 → 1.27 -0.8%X4.67 → 4.74 +1.5%29.24 → 9.42 +1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.63	2.17	7.4%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.17	3.2%
Average	1.66	2.10	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betano	2.07	1.65	8.9%
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.62	9.8%
Best of all books	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Average	2.06	1.66	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Caudal 45%Draw 45%Llanes 10%

The statistical model rates Caudal at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Llanes at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.27 | 4.74 | 9.42, which imply roughly 78.7% for a Caudal win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table: Caudal are 3rd (18 pts, 12-8 goals), Llanes 15th (7 pts, 9-16).

Over their last five matches, Caudal averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Llanes averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Caudal or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.27	4.74	9.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.09	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.09	6.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.06	1.66

1st half

1	X	2
1.74	2.39	8.44

2nd half

1	X	2
1.54	2.96	7.85

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.88	21.8	77.0
HT X	3.82	6.87	18.0
HT 2	21.3	22.7	16.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.29	12.0	3.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.0
1.5	1.19	3.90
2.5	1.66	2.10
3.5	2.53	1.43
4.5	4.40	1.15
5.5	8.15	1.06

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.60
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.27	3.20
2.25	1.44	2.47
2.75	1.79	1.89
3	2.02	1.67
3.25	2.28	1.53
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.78	1.19

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.66	1.38
-2	2.36	1.48
-1.75	2.02	1.68
-1.5	1.84	1.88
-1.25	1.60	2.14
-1	1.39	2.63

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.40	1.09
-3	4.70	1.12
-2.5	2.88	1.32
-0.75	1.31	3.01
-0.25	1.13	4.50
0	1.02	7.80

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 matches

8 Nov	Colunga – Langreo
8 Nov	San Martín – Lealtad
8 Nov	Condal – L'Entregu
8 Nov	Mosconia – Sporting Gijón II

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 results

1 Nov	Langreo 0-1 Caudal
1 Nov	Covadonga 1-1 Condal
25 Oct	Mosconia 3-1 L'Entregu
11 Oct	Gijón Industrial 2-2 Astur
11 Oct	Caudal 1-1 Sporting Gijón II