Covadonga vs Condal• Tercera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain

#22.4:1.211:30Today1.2:0.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42B365X4.32PIN28.50WHMargin at best5.3%Books7Markets48Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.40	4.10	7.50	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.34	4.32	8.21	10.0%
Dafabet	1.38	4.10	7.60	10.0%
William Hill	1.36	4.00	8.50	10.3%
1xBet	1.34	4.15	8.15	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.33	4.15	7.70	12.3%
Bet365	1.40	4.10	6.00	12.5%
Best of all books	1.40	4.32	8.50	6.3%
Average	1.36	4.13	7.67	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CovadongaCondal

Last 10#2Table position#42.38Points per game2.009Form pts · last 592.4Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.667Attack rating3333Defence rating6757Form rating43100H2H rating082Goals model1860Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 19:02 UTC

Covadonga

6W 1D 3L · goals 24:13 · per match 2.4 for, 1.3 against

29 Oct	H	Valladolid	0-1	L
25 Oct	A	Gijón Industrial	2-0	W
18 Oct	H	Mosconia	4-0	W
11 Oct	A	San Martín	2-4	L
4 Oct	H	Siero	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Colunga	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Caudal	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Langreo	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Avilés Stadium	4-0	W
7 Jun	H	Caudal	2-4	L

Condal

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:7 · per match 1.1 for, 0.7 against

25 Oct	H	Ceares	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Astur	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Andes	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Llanes	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Gijón Industrial	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Mosconia	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	San Martín	4-0	W
6 Sep	H	Siero	1-0	W
11 May	H	Sporting Gijón II	0-2	L
4 May	A	Ceares	0-2	L

Head to head

6Covadonga wins

0draws

0Condal wins

6 meetings · goals 21:2 · last 6: 6W 0D 0L for Covadonga

16 Apr 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Covadonga5-0Condal
8 Dec 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Condal0-3Covadonga
1 Apr 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Covadonga4-0Condal
4 Dec 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Condal0-3Covadonga
9 Feb 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Condal0-2Covadonga
22 Sep 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Covadonga4-2Condal

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 tableTercera: Group 2updated 31 Oct 19:02 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table, Covadonga sit 2nd with 19 points from 8 games, while Condal are 4th with 16 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Gijón II	9	6	2	1	16:8	+8	20
2	Covadonga	8	6	1	1	22:8	+14	19
3	Lealtad	9	5	2	2	13:4	+9	17
4	Condal	8	4	4	0	11:3	+8	16
5	Caudal	8	4	3	1	11:8	+3	15
6	Mosconia	9	4	3	2	15:13	+2	15
7	San Martín	9	4	3	2	13:13	0	15
8	Praviano	9	4	2	3	21:14	+7	14
9	Siero	9	4	0	5	11:12	-1	12
10	Gijón Industrial	8	3	2	3	11:10	+1	11
11	Colunga	8	3	2	3	14:20	-6	11
12	Langreo	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
13	Avilés Stadium	8	2	1	5	5:12	-7	7
14	Astur	8	0	5	3	9:14	-5	5
15	Ceares	8	1	2	5	9:14	-5	5
16	L'Entregu	8	1	2	5	4:13	-9	5
17	Llanes	8	0	4	4	8:16	-8	4
18	Andes	8	0	3	5	6:15	-9	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.37X22%4.11212%7.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.91	1.85	6.4%
Betano	1.87	1.85	7.5%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.91	1.95	3.6%
Average	1.87	1.86	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.15	1.62	8.2%
Betano	2.07	1.65	8.9%
1xBet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.58	9.8%
Best of all books	2.15	1.65	7.1%
Average	2.13	1.61	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Covadonga 45%Draw 45%Condal 10%

The statistical model rates Covadonga at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Condal at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.37 | 4.11 | 7.62, which imply roughly 73% for a Covadonga win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table: Covadonga are 2nd (19 pts, 22-8 goals), Condal 4th (16 pts, 11-3).

Over their last five matches, Covadonga averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Condal averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Covadonga.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.36	4.13	7.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	2.75	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.13	1.61

1st half

1	X	2
1.88	2.24	7.27

2nd half

1	X	2
1.69	2.66	6.83

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.09	19.7	67.0
HT X	3.88	5.87	14.0
HT 2	22.7	20.3	12.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	9.00	3.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.40
1.5	1.27	3.20
2.5	1.87	1.86
3.5	3.03	1.29
4.5	5.60	1.10
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.40
1.75	1.33	2.91
2	1.42	2.54
2.25	1.64	2.07
2.75	2.10	1.63
3	2.50	1.43
3.25	2.80	1.36
3.75	3.72	1.20
4	4.95	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.42	1.47
-1.5	2.05	1.70
-1.25	1.87	1.84
-1	1.60	2.15
-0.75	1.43	2.52
-0.5	1.33	3.02

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.10	1.04
-3	6.35	1.06
-2.5	3.58	1.21
-2.25	3.28	1.25
-2	3.01	1.30
-0.25	1.21	3.58
0	1.07	5.90

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 matches

1 Nov

Langreo – Caudal

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 results

25 Oct	Mosconia 3-1 L'Entregu
11 Oct	Gijón Industrial 2-2 Astur
11 Oct	Caudal 1-1 Sporting Gijón II
4 Oct	Covadonga 2-1 Siero
4 Oct	Astur 0-0 Mosconia
4 Oct	Sporting Gijón II 1-1 Langreo