San Martín vs Lealtad• Tercera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain

#82.0:0.80-1FTToday2.0:0.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50B365X3.25DAF22.05BTNMargin at best8.1%Books5Markets39Rating32 · 69Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	3.50	3.20	2.02	9.3%
Dafabet	3.45	3.25	1.99	10.0%
1xBet	3.44	3.14	2.00	10.9%
Bet365	3.50	3.20	1.95	11.1%
Marathonbet	3.34	3.14	1.98	12.3%
Best of all books	3.50	3.25	2.02	8.8%
Average	3.45	3.19	1.99	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

San MartínLealtad

Last 10#8Table position#41.67Points per game1.8913Form pts · last 5132.0Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 50.050Attack rating500Defence rating10050Form rating5015H2H rating8511Goals model8932Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:01 UTC

San Martín

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	A	Sporting Gijón II	2-0	W
25 Oct	H	Praviano	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	L'Entregu	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Covadonga	4-2	W
3 Oct	A	Ceares	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Astur	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Andes	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Condal	0-4	L
6 Sep	A	Gijón Industrial	0-2	L
10 May	H	Llanes	1-0	W

Lealtad

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:6 · per match 1.4 for, 0.6 against

31 Oct	H	Siero	3-0	W
25 Oct	A	Colunga	4-0	W
18 Oct	H	Caudal	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Langreo	1-0	W
4 Oct	H	Avilés Stadium	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Llanes	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Sporting Gijón II	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Praviano	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	L'Entregu	1-0	W
3 May	A	Salamanca UDS	1-2	L

Head to head

0San Martín wins

1draws

4Lealtad wins

5 meetings · goals 0:5 · last 5: 0W 1D 4L for San Martín

16 Mar 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	San Martín0-0Lealtad
3 Nov 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Lealtad1-0San Martín
24 Apr 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Lealtad2-0San Martín
12 Dec 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	San Martín0-1Lealtad
4 Jan 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	San Martín0-1Lealtad

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 tableTercera: Group 2updated 8 Nov 15:02 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table, San Martín sit 8th with 15 points from 9 games, while Lealtad are 4th with 17 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Covadonga	9	6	2	1	23:9	+14	20
2	Sporting Gijón II	9	6	2	1	16:8	+8	20
3	Caudal	9	5	3	1	12:8	+4	18
4	Lealtad	9	5	2	2	13:4	+9	17
5	Condal	9	4	5	0	12:4	+8	17
6	Gijón Industrial	10	5	2	3	16:11	+5	17
7	Mosconia	9	4	3	2	15:13	+2	15
8	San Martín	9	4	3	2	13:13	0	15
9	Praviano	10	4	2	4	21:15	+6	14
10	Siero	10	4	0	6	11:14	-3	12
11	Colunga	9	3	3	3	15:21	-6	12
12	Avilés Stadium	10	3	2	5	8:13	-5	11
13	Langreo	9	2	3	4	8:11	-3	9
14	Ceares	9	2	2	5	12:14	-2	8
15	Llanes	9	1	4	4	9:16	-7	7
16	Astur	9	0	5	4	9:15	-6	5
17	L'Entregu	9	1	2	6	5:17	-12	5
18	Andes	9	0	3	6	6:18	-12	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.45X28%3.19245%1.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.49 → 3.44 -1.4%X3.21 → 3.19 -0.6%21.96 → 1.99 +1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betano	2.02	1.70	8.3%
1xBet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Average	2.04	1.69	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.82	1.86	8.7%
Average	1.81	1.85	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

San Martín 10%Draw 45%Lealtad 45%

The statistical model rated San Martín at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lealtad at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.45 | 3.19 | 1.99, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table: San Martín are 8th (15 pts, 13-13 goals), Lealtad 4th (17 pts, 13-4).

Over their last five matches, San Martín averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Lealtad averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lealtad.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.45	3.19	1.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.68	1.23	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.54	1.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
4.12	2.02	2.65

2nd half

1	X	2
3.73	2.34	2.36

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.07	16.0	26.0
HT X	7.80	4.67	4.90
HT 2	38.7	16.0	3.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.44	8.35	1.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.40
1.5	1.31	2.95
2.5	2.04	1.69
3.5	3.50	1.23
4.5	6.10	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.20
1.25	1.16	4.05
1.75	1.38	2.63
2	1.51	2.26
2.25	1.77	1.88
2.75	2.30	1.50
3	2.88	1.32
3.25	3.20	1.26
4	6.55	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.88	1.32
0	2.44	1.46
+0.25	1.92	1.72
+0.5	1.76	2.00
+0.75	1.49	2.34
+1	1.28	3.05

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.20	1.02
-1	7.00	1.04
-0.75	4.40	1.14
+1.25	1.22	3.50
+1.5	1.17	3.94
+2	1.02	8.00
+2.5	1.01	9.00

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 matches

8 Nov

Caudal – Llanes

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 results

8 Nov	Condal 1-0 L'Entregu
8 Nov	Colunga 2-3 Langreo
1 Nov	Langreo 0-1 Caudal
1 Nov	Covadonga 1-1 Condal
25 Oct	Mosconia 3-1 L'Entregu
11 Oct	Gijón Industrial 2-2 Astur