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Caudal vs Sporting Gijón II• Tercera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain

#61.6:1.21-1FT11/101.8:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.37BTNX3.25B36522.86PINMargin at best7.9%Books7Markets35Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.423.152.808.8%
Dafabet2.363.152.809.8%
Pinnacle2.313.102.8610.5%
Bet3652.253.252.8010.9%
William Hill2.303.202.7011.8%
1xBet2.343.082.7012.2%
Marathonbet2.343.082.7012.2%
Best of all books2.423.252.867.1%
Average2.333.142.7710.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CaudalSporting Gijón II
Last 10#6Table position#22.00Points per game2.607Form pts · last 5131.6Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 50.847Attack rating5340Defence rating6043Form rating5750H2H rating5066Goals model3448Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 07:40 UTC

Caudal

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

4 OctAPraviano1-1D
26 SepHL'Entregu2-0W
20 SepACovadonga0-4L
13 SepHCeares2-1W
9 SepASalamanca UDS2-3L
6 SepAAstur3-0W
20 JunHAtlético Central1-1D
14 JunAAtlético Central0-2L
7 JunACovadonga4-2W
31 MayHCovadonga2-1W

Sporting Gijón II

6W 3D 1L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

4 OctHLangreo1-1D
27 SepAAvilés Stadium2-1W
20 SepHLealtad1-0W
13 SepHLlanes3-1W
6 SepAPraviano2-1W
29 AugALlanes1-0W
21 AugAReal Avilés2-4L
18 AugHLlanera2-2D
14 AugHCultural Leonesa II3-0W
8 AugHPalencia CF1-1D

Head to head

4Caudal wins
4draws
4Sporting Gijón II wins

12 meetings · goals 12:15 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Caudal

24 May 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Sporting Gijón II1-2Caudal
17 May 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Caudal0-0Sporting Gijón II
15 Feb 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Sporting Gijón II3-1Caudal
5 Oct 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Caudal3-2Sporting Gijón II
19 Jan 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Sporting Gijón II2-0Caudal
8 Sep 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Caudal3-0Sporting Gijón II
27 Apr 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Caudal0-0Sporting Gijón II
17 Dec 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Sporting Gijón II0-1Caudal
12 Mar 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Caudal1-1Sporting Gijón II
6 Nov 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Sporting Gijón II1-0Caudal

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 tableTercera: Group 2updated 10 Oct 19:21 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table, Caudal sit 6th with 10 points from 5 games, while Sporting Gijón II are 2nd with 13 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Covadonga541014:4+1013
2Sporting Gijón II54109:4+513
3Mosconia53208:1+711
4Condal53208:2+611
5Colunga632114:12+211
6Caudal53118:6+210
7Siero53026:3+39
8Langreo522110:8+28
9Gijón Industrial52128:6+27
10Lealtad52125:4+17
11Praviano612311:13-25
12San Martín51225:10-55
13L'Entregu51132:6-44
14Ceares51047:11-43
15Llanes50326:12-63
16Avilés Stadium51042:9-73
17Astur50233:8-52
18Andes50142:9-71

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.33X29%3.14233%2.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Pinnacle1.821.946.5%
Betano1.831.887.8%
1xBet1.811.869.0%
Marathonbet1.811.869.0%
Best of all books1.851.955.3%
Average1.821.907.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.672.107.5%
1xBet1.622.128.9%
Betano1.622.128.9%
Marathonbet1.622.089.8%
Best of all books1.672.127.1%
Average1.632.118.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Caudal 35%Draw 35%Sporting Gijón II 30%

The statistical model rated Caudal at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Sporting Gijón II at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.33 | 3.14 | 2.77, which imply roughly 42.9% for a Caudal win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table: Caudal are 6th (10 pts, 8-6 goals), Sporting Gijón II 2nd (13 pts, 9-4).

Over their last five matches, Caudal averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sporting Gijón II averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Caudal or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.333.142.77

Double chance

1XX212
1.351.501.28

Draw no bet

12
1.692.04

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.632.11

1st half

1X2
2.942.103.38

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8510.52.06

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.75
1.51.243.43
2.51.821.90
3.52.941.32
4.55.231.12
5.512.01.04
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.40
1.251.183.85
1.751.283.15
21.362.75
2.251.592.17
2.752.011.68
32.371.48
3.252.681.38
3.753.581.21
45.001.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.791.35
-0.52.301.56
-0.252.011.72
01.722.01
+0.251.492.35
+0.51.382.80
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.54.751.12
-1.254.331.14
-13.761.20
+0.751.273.24
+11.114.80
+1.51.075.75

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 results

11 OctGijón Industrial 2-2 Astur
4 OctCovadonga 2-1 Siero
4 OctAstur 0-0 Mosconia
4 OctSporting Gijón II 1-1 Langreo
3 OctL'Entregu 0-0 Colunga
27 SepGijón Industrial 1-2 Condal