Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II• Tercera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain

#71.4:2.40-0LiveToday1.6:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20B365X3.30B36522.20WHMargin at best7.0%Books7Markets41Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	3.10	3.20	2.18	9.4%
Pinnacle	3.19	3.05	2.19	9.8%
Dafabet	3.10	3.15	2.18	9.9%
1xBet	3.18	3.18	2.08	11.0%
Bet365	3.20	3.30	2.00	11.6%
William Hill	3.10	2.90	2.20	12.2%
Marathonbet	3.10	3.18	2.06	12.2%
Best of all books	3.20	3.30	2.20	7.0%
Average	3.14	3.14	2.13	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MosconiaSporting Gijón II

Last 10#7Table position#21.67Points per game2.225Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 51.62.4Goals against · last 51.047Attack rating5329Defence rating7138Form rating6225H2H rating7556Goals model4438Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:02 UTC

Mosconia

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	A	Praviano	2-5	L
25 Oct	H	L'Entregu	3-1	W
18 Oct	A	Covadonga	0-4	L
10 Oct	H	Ceares	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Astur	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Andes	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Condal	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Gijón Industrial	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Llanes	5-1	W
15 Aug	H	Real Avilés	0-2	L

Sporting Gijón II

7W 2D 1L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

31 Oct	H	San Martín	0-2	L
24 Oct	A	Siero	2-1	W
18 Oct	H	Colunga	4-0	W
11 Oct	A	Caudal	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Langreo	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Avilés Stadium	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Lealtad	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Llanes	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Praviano	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Llanes	1-0	W

Head to head

0Mosconia wins

3draws

3Sporting Gijón II wins

6 meetings · goals 4:10 · last 6: 0W 3D 3L for Mosconia

1 Mar 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Sporting Gijón II2-1Mosconia
19 Oct 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Mosconia1-1Sporting Gijón II
16 Mar 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Sporting Gijón II0-0Mosconia
3 Nov 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Mosconia1-1Sporting Gijón II
13 Apr 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Sporting Gijón II5-1Mosconia
4 Dec 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2	Mosconia0-1Sporting Gijón II

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 tableTercera: Group 2updated 8 Nov 15:02 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table, Mosconia sit 7th with 15 points from 9 games, while Sporting Gijón II are 2nd with 20 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Covadonga	9	6	2	1	23:9	+14	20
2	Sporting Gijón II	9	6	2	1	16:8	+8	20
3	Caudal	9	5	3	1	12:8	+4	18
4	Lealtad	9	5	2	2	13:4	+9	17
5	Condal	9	4	5	0	12:4	+8	17
6	Gijón Industrial	10	5	2	3	16:11	+5	17
7	Mosconia	9	4	3	2	15:13	+2	15
8	San Martín	9	4	3	2	13:13	0	15
9	Praviano	10	4	2	4	21:15	+6	14
10	Siero	10	4	0	6	11:14	-3	12
11	Colunga	9	3	3	3	15:21	-6	12
12	Avilés Stadium	10	3	2	5	8:13	-5	11
13	Langreo	9	2	3	4	8:11	-3	9
14	Ceares	9	2	2	5	12:14	-2	8
15	Llanes	9	1	4	4	9:16	-7	7
16	Astur	9	0	5	4	9:15	-6	5
17	L'Entregu	9	1	2	6	5:17	-12	5
18	Andes	9	0	3	6	6:18	-12	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.14X29%3.14242%2.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.01 → 3.14 +4.3%X3.23 → 3.14 -2.8%22.14 → 2.13 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	2.07	1.69	7.5%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Best of all books	2.07	1.85	2.4%
Average	1.99	1.74	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Betano	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
Best of all books	1.79	1.95	7.1%
Average	1.76	1.91	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mosconia 10%Draw 45%Sporting Gijón II 45%

The statistical model rates Mosconia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting Gijón II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.14 | 3.14 | 2.13, which imply roughly 31.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table: Mosconia are 7th (15 pts, 15-13 goals), Sporting Gijón II 2nd (20 pts, 16-8).

Over their last five matches, Mosconia averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Sporting Gijón II averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sporting Gijón II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.14	3.14	2.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.62	1.28	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.35	1.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
3.79	2.08	2.71

2nd half

1	X	2
3.45	2.34	2.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.33	15.3	25.0
HT X	7.40	5.07	5.20
HT 2	31.7	14.7	3.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.30	8.75	1.76

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.45
1.5	1.31	3.01
2.5	1.99	1.74
3.5	3.33	1.25
4.5	5.85	1.09
5.5	17.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.80
1.25	1.17	3.98
1.75	1.39	2.65
2	1.52	2.30
2.25	1.78	1.91
2.75	2.30	1.52
3	2.83	1.34
3.25	3.08	1.28
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.90	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.10	1.31
-0.25	2.65	1.39
0	2.28	1.54
+0.25	1.90	1.81
+0.5	1.64	2.15
+0.75	1.45	2.46

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.65	1.05
-1	5.75	1.07
-0.75	3.84	1.18
+1	1.27	3.19
+1.25	1.21	3.58
+1.5	1.17	3.98
+2	1.03	7.60
+2.5	1.01	8.30

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 matches

8 Nov

Caudal – Llanes

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 results

8 Nov	Condal 1-0 L'Entregu
8 Nov	San Martín 0-1 Lealtad
8 Nov	Colunga 2-3 Langreo
1 Nov	Langreo 0-1 Caudal
1 Nov	Covadonga 1-1 Condal
25 Oct	Mosconia 3-1 L'Entregu