Nação vs 
Blumenau• Copa Santa Catarina, Brazil
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 14:05 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.16 | 3.48 | 1.72 | 10.9% |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.73 | 11.0% |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 11.6% |
| Marathonbet | 4.05 | 3.48 | 1.70 | 12.3% |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.30 | 1.75 | 12.4% |
| Pinnacle | 4.12 | 3.28 | 1.73 | 12.6% |
| Best of all books | 4.20 | 3.48 | 1.75 | 9.7% |
| Average | 4.09 | 3.39 | 1.73 | 11.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 11:21 UTC
Nação
2W 4D 4L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against
| 9 Oct | H | Marcílio Dias | 0-0 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Hercílio Luz | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Barra | 3-3 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Joinville | 0-4 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Figueirense | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Santa Catarina | 2-2 | D |
| 25 Jul | H | Hercílio Luz | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Jul | A | Blumenau | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Jul | H | Caravaggio | 2-2 | D |
| 15 Jul | A | Jaraguá | 2-0 | W |
Blumenau
2W 3D 5L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against
| 26 Sep | H | Marcílio Dias | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Metropolitano | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Barra | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Joinville | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Santa Catarina | 0-1 | L |
| 25 Jul | A | Jaraguá | 3-0 | W |
| 22 Jul | H | Nação | 0-2 | L |
| 19 Jul | A | Guarani de Palhoça | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Jul | H | Metropolitano | 4-1 | W |
| 12 Jul | H | Hercílio Luz | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 8:15 · last 6: 2W 1D 3L for Nação
| 22 Jul 2026Catarinense - 2 | Catarinense - 2 | Blumenau0-2Nação |
| 3 Jun 2026Catarinense - 2 | Catarinense - 2 | Nação0-6Blumenau |
| 28 Sep 2025Copa Santa Catarina | Copa Santa Catarina | Blumenau5-1Nação |
| 23 Sep 2025Copa Santa Catarina | Copa Santa Catarina | Nação0-2Blumenau |
| 12 Jul 2025Catarinense - 2 | Catarinense - 2 | Blumenau2-2Nação |
| 12 Jun 2022Catarinense - 2 | Catarinense - 2 | Nação3-0Blumenau |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.7% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 1.78 | 7.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 1.79 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 1.79 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.89 | 1.78 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.91 | 1.80 | 8.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.87 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 1.87 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 1.84 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.83 | 1.91 | 7.0% |
| Average | 1.81 | 1.87 | 8.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Nação at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Blumenau at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.10 | 3.40 | 1.73, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Nação averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Blumenau averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Blumenau.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.09 | 3.39 | 1.73 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.17 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.25 | 1.32 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.81 | 1.87 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.70 | 2.15 | 2.32 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | 2.43 | 2.13 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 6.80 | 17.0 | 22.0 |
| HT X | 9.15 | 5.30 | 4.78 |
| HT 2 | 37.5 | 17.0 | 2.73 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 9.40 | 1.59 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 9.35 |
| 1.5 | 1.27 | 3.27 |
| 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 3.27 | 1.27 |
| 4.5 | 6.90 | 1.07 |
| 5.5 | 15.0 | 1.03 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 8.00 |
| 1.75 | 1.33 | 2.86 |
| 2 | 1.44 | 2.47 |
| 2.25 | 1.67 | 2.03 |
| 2.75 | 2.15 | 1.60 |
| 3 | 2.57 | 1.41 |
| 3.25 | 2.89 | 1.32 |
| 3.75 | 3.98 | 1.17 |
| 4 | 5.45 | 1.08 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.32 | 1.50 |
| +0.5 | 1.99 | 1.74 |
| +0.75 | 1.74 | 1.94 |
| +1 | 1.50 | 2.35 |
| +1.25 | 1.38 | 2.69 |
| +1.5 | 1.29 | 3.01 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 8.70 | 1.02 |
| -1 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| -0.25 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| 0 | 3.07 | 1.28 |
| +1.75 | 1.18 | 3.84 |
| +2 | 1.08 | 5.50 |
| +2.5 | 1.06 | 6.30 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Latest Copa Santa Catarina results
| 17 Oct | Hercílio Luz 2-0 Barra |
| 16 Oct | Marcílio Dias 2-2 Figueirense |
| 10 Oct | Figueirense 1-0 Hercílio Luz |
| 9 Oct | Nação 0-0 Marcílio Dias |
| 26 Sep | Hercílio Luz 2-1 Nação |
| 26 Sep | Blumenau 1-1 Marcílio Dias |