Figueirense vs Hercílio Luz• Copa Santa Catarina, Brazil

1.3:0.518:00Today2.8:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.09DAFX3.30DAF23.50DAFMargin at best6.7%Books8Markets39Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 14:55 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.09	3.30	3.50	6.7%
Betano	2.07	3.10	3.30	10.9%
1xBet	2.01	3.12	3.44	10.9%
BetVictor	2.00	3.13	3.40	11.4%
Bet365	2.00	3.25	3.25	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.99	3.12	3.34	12.2%
Pinnacle	2.02	2.98	3.40	12.5%
William Hill	2.05	2.90	3.40	12.7%
Best of all books	2.09	3.30	3.50	6.7%
Average	2.03	3.11	3.38	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FigueirenseHercílio Luz

Last 1013Form pts · last 5121.3Goals for · last 52.80.5Goals against · last 52.031Attack rating6980Defence rating2053Form rating4736H2H rating6468Goals model3251Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 13:33 UTC

Figueirense

6W 4D 0L · goals 12:6 · per match 1.2 for, 0.6 against

27 Sep	A	Metropolitano	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Santa Catarina	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Nação	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Barra	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Maranhão	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Inter De Limeira	0-0	D
16 Aug	A	Caxias	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	Ferroviária	2-2	D
25 Jul	A	Santa Cruz	1-0	W
13 Jul	H	Volta Redonda	0-0	D

Hercílio Luz

8W 1D 1L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

26 Sep	H	Nação	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Marcílio Dias	2-4	L
12 Sep	A	Joinville	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Metropolitano	4-2	W
25 Jul	A	Nação	2-1	W
22 Jul	H	Caravaggio	0-0	D
19 Jul	A	Tubarao	2-0	W
15 Jul	H	Juventus SC	1-0	W
12 Jul	A	Blumenau	2-0	W
4 Jul	A	Guarani de Palhoça	2-1	W

Head to head

2Figueirense wins

6draws

3Hercílio Luz wins

11 meetings · goals 8:9 · last 10: 1W 6D 3L for Figueirense

18 Jan 2025Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Figueirense1-1Hercílio Luz
22 Sep 2024Copa Santa Catarina	Copa Santa Catarina	Figueirense0-1Hercílio Luz
8 Feb 2024Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Figueirense0-0Hercílio Luz
5 Sep 2023Copa Santa Catarina	Copa Santa Catarina	Figueirense1-1Hercílio Luz
22 Mar 2023Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Hercílio Luz0-0Figueirense
19 Mar 2023Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Figueirense0-1Hercílio Luz
5 Mar 2023Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Figueirense1-1Hercílio Luz
20 Mar 2022Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Hercílio Luz0-0Figueirense
12 Mar 2022Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Figueirense1-0Hercílio Luz
6 Feb 2022Catarinense - 1	Catarinense - 1	Hercílio Luz4-1Figueirense

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.03X29%3.11227%3.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.00 → 2.03 +1.5%X3.25 → 3.11 -4.3%23.25 → 3.38 +4.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.11	1.63	8.7%
1xBet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
BetVictor	2.07	1.64	9.3%
Betano	2.02	1.65	10.1%
Best of all books	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Average	2.10	1.64	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.87	1.83	8.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.78	9.9%
Best of all books	1.87	1.83	8.1%
Average	1.86	1.81	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Figueirense 10%Draw 45%Hercílio Luz 45%

The statistical model rates Figueirense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Hercílio Luz at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.03 | 3.11 | 3.38, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Figueirense averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Hercílio Luz averaged 2.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Hercílio Luz.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.03	3.11	3.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.65	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
2.66	2.01	4.14

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	7.90	2.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.94
1.5	1.34	2.85
2.5	2.10	1.64
3.5	3.91	1.19
4.5	8.50	1.06
5.5	19.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.40
1.25	1.19	3.74
1.75	1.44	2.48
2	1.58	2.15
2.25	1.85	1.82
2.75	2.42	1.46
3	3.06	1.29
3.25	3.42	1.23
4	6.85	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.02	1.29
-0.75	2.35	1.49
-0.5	2.00	1.68
-0.25	1.75	1.95
0	1.46	2.46
+0.25	1.33	2.88

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.70	1.01
-2	7.80	1.02
-1.5	3.94	1.17
-1.25	3.50	1.22
+0.5	1.26	3.32
+0.75	1.14	4.30
+1	1.04	6.80
+1.5	1.02	7.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.86	1.92