Blumenau vs Marcílio Dias• Copa Santa Catarina, Brazil

0.5:1.31-1FT26/093.5:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.10BVCX3.20B36522.40B365Margin at best5.2%Books1Markets5Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	2.50	3.20	2.50	11.3%
Best of all books	2.50	3.20	2.50	11.3%
Average	2.50	3.20	2.50	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BlumenauMarcílio Dias

Last 102Form pts · last 580.5Goals for · last 53.51.3Goals against · last 52.013Attack rating8862Defence rating3810Form rating9050H2H rating500Goals model10037Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 11:21 UTC

Blumenau

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

26 Sep	H	Marcílio Dias	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Metropolitano	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	Barra	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Joinville	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Santa Catarina	0-1	L
25 Jul	A	Jaraguá	3-0	W
22 Jul	H	Nação	0-2	L
19 Jul	A	Guarani de Palhoça	1-1	D
15 Jul	H	Metropolitano	4-1	W
12 Jul	H	Hercílio Luz	0-2	L

Marcílio Dias

4W 4D 2L · goals 20:15 · per match 2.0 for, 1.5 against

9 Oct	A	Nação	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Blumenau	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Hercílio Luz	4-2	W
13 Sep	A	Santa Catarina	1-2	L
7 Sep	A	Metropolitano	5-2	W
30 Aug	H	Joinville	4-2	W
11 Jul	A	Portuguesa	0-2	L
4 Jul	H	Portuguesa	1-1	D
28 Jun	H	Cascavel	2-1	W
21 Jun	A	Cascavel	2-2	D

Head to head

1Blumenau wins

0draws

1Marcílio Dias wins

2 meetings · goals 1:1 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Blumenau

16 May 2026Serie D	Serie D	Blumenau0-1Marcílio Dias
25 Apr 2026Serie D	Serie D	Marcílio Dias0-1Blumenau

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.94X30%3.02240%2.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.50 → 2.94 +17.6%X3.20 → 3.02 -5.6%22.50 → 2.26 -9.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Best of all books	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Average	2.38	1.53	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Blumenau 10%Draw 45%Marcílio Dias 45%

The statistical model rated Blumenau at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Marcílio Dias at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.94 | 3.02 | 2.26, which imply roughly 33.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Blumenau averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Marcílio Dias averaged 3.5 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Marcílio Dias.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.50	3.20	2.50

Draw no bet

1	2
1.83	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
3.40	1.95	3.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	2.38	1.53

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	1.90	1.90

Latest Copa Santa Catarina results

18 Oct	Nação 0-1 Blumenau
17 Oct	Hercílio Luz 2-0 Barra
16 Oct	Marcílio Dias 2-2 Figueirense
10 Oct	Figueirense 1-0 Hercílio Luz
9 Oct	Nação 0-0 Marcílio Dias
26 Sep	Hercílio Luz 2-1 Nação