Joinville vs 
Barra• Copa Santa Catarina, Brazil
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 00:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 10.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 10.8% |
| Average | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 10.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Sep 14:11 UTC
Joinville
3W 2D 5L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against
| 19 Sep | A | Nação | 4-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Hercílio Luz | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Blumenau | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Marcílio Dias | 2-4 | L |
| 7 Jun | A | São Luiz | 1-3 | L |
| 30 May | H | Guarany de Bagé | 2-0 | W |
| 23 May | H | Cianorte | 0-0 | D |
| 16 May | A | Santa Catarina | 0-1 | L |
| 10 May | A | Cascavel | 0-1 | L |
| 2 May | H | Cascavel | 1-1 | D |
Barra
2W 4D 4L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against
| 11 Oct | H | Metropolitano | 3-3 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Joinville | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Nação | 3-3 | D |
| 15 Sep | H | Blumenau | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Figueirense | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Volta Redonda | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Maringá | 1-2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | AO Itabaiana | 1-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Ituano | 0-2 | L |
| 26 Jul | A | Ypiranga-RS | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
9 meetings · goals 9:8 · last 9: 3W 4D 2L for Joinville
| 10 Jan 2026Catarinense - 1 | Catarinense - 1 | Barra1-0Joinville |
| 30 Jun 2025Serie D | Serie D | Barra1-0Joinville |
| 17 May 2025Serie D | Serie D | Joinville2-1Barra |
| 19 Jan 2025Catarinense - 1 | Catarinense - 1 | Barra0-0Joinville |
| 21 Sep 2024Copa Santa Catarina | Copa Santa Catarina | Barra2-2Joinville |
| 18 Feb 2024Catarinense - 1 | Catarinense - 1 | Barra1-1Joinville |
| 14 Sep 2023Copa Santa Catarina | Copa Santa Catarina | Barra1-2Joinville |
| 5 Feb 2023Catarinense - 1 | Catarinense - 1 | Joinville0-0Barra |
| 5 Mar 2022Catarinense - 1 | Catarinense - 1 | Barra1-2Joinville |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 6.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.20 | 1.65 | 6.1% |
| Average | 2.20 | 1.65 | 6.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Joinville at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Barra at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.16 | 3.07, which imply roughly 46.5% for a Joinville win versus the model's 35%.
Over their last five matches, Joinville averaged 2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Barra averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Joinville or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.80 | 1.91 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 2.05 | 3.40 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Latest Copa Santa Catarina results
| 18 Oct | Nação 0-1 Blumenau |
| 17 Oct | Hercílio Luz 2-0 Barra |
| 16 Oct | Marcílio Dias 2-2 Figueirense |
| 10 Oct | Figueirense 1-0 Hercílio Luz |
| 9 Oct | Nação 0-0 Marcílio Dias |
| 26 Sep | Hercílio Luz 2-1 Nação |